[Spring 2024]

 Bats32 last summer was combined with an el nino though..  Did that play a part in summer last year going down hill in mid July?  That won't be a factor this year.

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

 LetItSnow! ooh I'd take a 1995 type summer.  Probably the best summer I've known 

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

It all feels a bit 2008

[Summer 2023 chat]

42 minutes ago, Summer8906 said:

The difference between Paris and anywhere in the UK is staggering, given the small distance, on a European scale:

Paris - BBC Weather

WWW.BBC.COM

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14-day weather forecast for Paris.

Temps consistently at least 25, and even 31 on one day. Comfortable summer weather, some rain but plenty of fine weather too.

It shows how hard-done the UK is at the moment, presumably there is a near-stationary waving front somewhere over northern France.

Parisians are lucky in that they will seemingly have little to moan about this month at all, compared to other parts of Europe.

But they have plenty of other things to moan about

[Summer 2023 chat]

2 minutes ago, ANYWEATHER said:

As I'm only 12 miles from Tewkesbury Abbey, it was surrounded by flood water but not flooded! To be honest looking at the latest output slow moving areas of low pressure may give rise to flooding issues as we progress through the next ten days where high summer weather has been shunted away far from the UK. ...

Apologies, it wasn't flooded but I do remember that image on the news. Awful summer.

[Summer 2023 chat]

39 minutes ago, 38.7°C said:

At the end of the day (a crap fest day) we're just a tiny island off the Atlantic ocean and right now we are just being a tiny island off the Atlantic ocean. Vibes of 2006/2007 , with 2022 being the 2006 and 2023 being the 2007.  Soon be September a month when the Atlantic takes a slumber and the Jet stream quietens down. 

Wasn't 2007 and absolute shocker from around 2nd May through to August Bank Holiday? With heavy torrential rain most days including two or three serious spells of rain in June and July. I remember a dam nearly bursting in Sheffield and people being air lifted from a flooded retail park on the 25th of June.  Tewkesbury cathedral was flooded in July.  Can't say I've seen any of that this year nor is it being forecasted. 

[Model Output Discussion - 15th March onwards]

41 minutes ago, *Stormforce~beka* said:

Go read some French forums and come back and let us know! I bet they do lol

Will do  

[Model Output Discussion - 15th March onwards]

15 minutes ago, Addicks Fan 1981 said:

I would say as things stand @sundogup to the end of the month that average temperatures with above average rainfall is the most likely evolution, even north of France are in the same boat as us considering the average atmospheric pressure patterns.    

Also I think that people here are preoccupied with weather in their local areas rather than nationwide as if it were.   

At the end of the GFS 00z op run there were green shoots of a change although its a very long way off.   

Wonder if people in Northern France moan a much

 

[Model Output Discussion - 15th March onwards]

On 05/07/2023 at 18:04, Scorcher said:

Model-watching break coming for me now- it really is incredibly tedious at the moment. Almost comical how the UK is a magnet to troughs at times that refuse to move anywhere- why does this seem to happen nowhere else in Europe? I have a feeling in my area we will be feeling short-changed by this upcoming spell too, with only one warm sunny day guaranteed on Friday.

Didn't a low get stuck over Iberia recently in May and June ?,  how about that low stuck over Italy in early May ? Or the one that was stuck over Germany in July 2021 that caused their worse floods ever (at the same time it was a scorcher in the UK).  

[The cold NWlys of early february 2003.]

There was a big story about people stranded overnight on the M11 I think