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Jake March-Jones

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Posts posted by Jake March-Jones

    Model Output Discussion - Into Winter

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    @MATTWOLVES 3 I have literally never interacted with you but have of course seen your sad news on here tonight. So sorry for your loss. We lost my father in law this time of year 6 years ago. It really makes the feelings at this time difficult to process but just know whatever you go through over the coming months is totally normal. Please reach out if you need help. I’m sure the entire community is with you x

    • Like 7
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    Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    13 minutes ago, damianslaw said:

    I think this is a statement repeated nearly every year at this stage in the year, most recent years since 2010 have showed an outlook like this - exception 2013, and 2021, but never cast aside anu chance of something wintry appearing however fleeting, most years deliver at least a burst of something cold and wintry at some point Jan-April, I include March and April... its still early in the season and the coldest part normally occurs mid Jan to mid Feb, mind may take something to beat the early cold we had in December which was a rarity.

    I'm often left disappointed due to my location (Lincs coast). Had a small flurry in December and most years we barely see any snow. Even in the December to remember we had the two days of snowfall then nothing for the rest of the month. Though snow was on the ground for a few weeks. Anything after Feb tends to last a day before it melts so always seems a let down. Yes my expectations are too high lol

    • Like 1

    Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    21 minutes ago, MATTWOLVES said:

    Anyone else noticed that when you scroll up and down the screen there's little snow symbols been added? I keep thinking my phone is smudged and I keep scrubbing to try and get em off! If you don't allow yourself time to laugh you will eventually crack up folks..so make the time even if its just once a day! It helps...Trust me.

    I think the mogreps 12s are on the mend..some colder runs now emerging.

    Come on guys get with me 🤪

    Could contain: Plot, Chart, Smoke Pipe

    Could contain: Plot, Chart, Smoke Pipe

    Could contain: Plot, Chart, Smoke Pipe

    Haha I literally did this earlier... I wasn't wearing my glasses and thought it was me

    • Like 2

    Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Nick F said:

    Looks like all models, apart from GEM, are singing from the same hymn sheet day 7, staying mild next week away from Scotland, which looks like it could pull in some cold air from the north. Though 12z EC det looks like it could go on to good things after day 10.

    End of the road for getting cold arctic air down across all the UK next week and back to the drawing board? Maybe too much spread to discount something like 12z GEM just yet, we may see the cold arctic air get further south yet, but the low moving away from New Foundland early next week and phasing with the upper trough close to our NE appears favourite for now. Unless the models are completely underestimating l blocking near Greenland and its potential to encourage mid-N Atlantic ridging.

    Was only on here an hour ago and we were cold? Christ almighty people throw the towel in too easily.

    • Like 4
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