Mr_Moreau
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Posts posted by Mr_Moreau
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It's rained almost all day today, with just a couple of brief breaks. It's times like this when I'm glad I don't live near any rivers.
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50 minutes ago, Earthshine said:
Met Office suggesting that we might have some lovely foggy Autumn conditions later next month. Hopefully sunshine too.
A bit of autumn sunshine with some good nighttime fog would be great. In the meantime I'm going to hunker down and enjoy the coming windy and wet spell.
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From what I've read I'm definitely banking on a front-loaded winter this year. Some decent cold and snow around Christmas would be great.
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48 minutes ago, jules216 said:
Yes very much like CP Nina. Also the 500mb height anomalies from UKMO reflect CP La Nina winter anomalies. The NAO response is strogest in Jan/Feb with a very + look on CP Nina composite anomalies
So a front-loaded winter could be on the cards then?
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May as well go for milder than average (which is the new norm...), so
12.5C
174 mm
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Beautifully fresh and breezy outside right now, and with the cloud breaking a little perhaps heralding a sunny, fresh autumn day to come. Nothing better than a nice bit of autumnal sunshine.
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It's much warmer than I expected, or what the Met O forecast was forecasting as recently as yesterday. Feels like August all over again. Looking forward to the fresher, if still sunny weather later this week.
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Best:
No 5) 2008/09 Not the coldest but some good snowy spells, especially in early January.
No 4) 2012/13 A back-loaded winter but good, powdery snow at times in January. Cold February and v cold March.
No 3 ) 2010/11 The December to remember. Shame it was mostly all over by January though.
No 2 ) 1995/96 Good cold spells in December and February. Also followed by a chilly spring.
No 1 ) 2009/10 Fantastic cold snowy spells in all three months. Best spell was early January, but February had some good snow too.
Worst:
No 5 ) 1997/98 Don't remember much in the way of cold except early and mid December spells. Mild and unsettled during the festive period, very warm in February.
No 4 ) 2018/19 Forgettable, with little cold weather.
No 3 )1998/99 Stormy at times over the festive period and often mild.
No 2 ) 2015/16 Mild damp winter, not much snow, some incredible warmth during December.
No 1 ) 2013/14 Wind wind wind. Mild mild mild. Wet wet wet. Awful awful awful. Hope I never see a repeat of that again.
Of course, this is based entirely on my own biased preferences. Others' opinions may well differ.
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That huge high over the north Pacific looks as persistent as ever. I was wondering (apologies if this is the wrong forum) if that high in the N Pacific has had anything to do with the recent wildfires over the western United States.
Model Output Discussion - Into Autumn 2020.
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
That would certainly feel quite bracing down the East coast.