[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

 andymusicnice to look at, wont happen of course.

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

4 minutes ago, Lord Grogon said:

“Don’t worry too much about snow chances. Small features will always pop up at short notice that the models won’t yet see”.

I must have read this comment a thousand times in some form over the last few days. 
 

So what has changed? I know people may be a bit grumpy that the models are firming up on an end to this cold spell. But there seems to have been a complete collapse in excitement for the next week. Are people simply overreacting to Wednesdays low no longer going in the desired direction. Or is there something else?

Snow watch to a bore fest frost watch essentially. Models started to subtly flip a few days ago, some were clinging on but it's normally writing on the wall at that point. 

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

41 minutes ago, snowblind said:

So the ECM did send the low pressure further south along the north coast of France. So GFS the only one that gives our region a sniff of snow next week.

Wait and see I guess still along way off and things could change for the better in terms of snow.

Looks like we have a frosty cold week in store at least.

ooo frost watch..how very exciting lol I'm hoping we get some kind of reversal given it's still 5 days away but id does look like the writing's on the wall

[SE, London & EA - Weather Discussion]

29 minutes ago, throwoff said:

Looking at the latest met office I’m not feeling it for overnight now.

I got a strong suspicion we are in for rain.

I agree, only rain, not cold enough for any snow.

 

[SE, London & EA - Weather Discussion]

32 minutes ago, BLS said:

Also the Met office really are not having any of this snow talk for the south until maybe Wednesday evening also have a low tracking very close Thursday/Friday in the channel a shift north would be nice unlikely though 

Why are they carrying on with warnings then for tonight and tomorrow night, bit odd as I see no chance tonight other than rain.

[Model Output Discussion - Into February]

23 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

No, the 510 dam is rare not even December 2010 achieved that. In last 30 years or so there has probably been two occasions and that’s 1991 beast and 2018 beast. How can we forget the latter unbelievably the 5 year anniversary is very soon, it was likely the latest on record too.

Very easily if you live here in the south - it wasn't really much of an event here!

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

On the edge of the red zone in east berks. Luckily so far nothing too bad no worse than a regular one here and hoping it stays that way! 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 08 Feb 2021 Onward]

24 minutes ago, iowpompeylee said:

I would expect a bit more nowcasting southern central? Or is it sleet? 

Rain here 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

These sort of setups very rarely deliver a lot where I am but great to see some of you mire south/east getting some!

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

Huuuge flakes now

berkshire 

 

 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

20 mins worth and settling nicely 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

2 minutes ago, XLNC said:

Temp dropped sharply, dew point already at -1C looking good so far for tonights front pushing from the west.

I'm literally up the road from you in Twyford..Looks like we are right on the borderline of it all but temps lower than expected currently so hoping that may bode well!