[Yorkshire and E England regional discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

43 minutes ago, Beverley Lass said:

Best I can say is I think there's a decent chance we will get a dusting.

Is it because the wind is more northerly or not?

[Yorkshire and E England regional discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

1 hour ago, Beverley Lass said:

Snow risk map for Thurs.

 

You think we’ll get some in bev and hull?

[Yorkshire and E England regional discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

34 minutes ago, on the coast said:

UKMO Precip charts look interesting tomorrow for us. Somewhere is going to get lucky in the morning along the coast.

Any pictures of the chart? Thanks.

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

What times ukmo 168 chart?

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

Any update on ecm 6z?

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

8 minutes ago, Froze were the Days said:

Who does the 

10 minutes ago, Rob 79812010 said:

Alert!!! Net weather monthly update through to 6 Feb one of the best I've ever seen!! The models are certainly onto something

Doesn’t seem to be too bullish to me.

[Yorkshire and E England regional discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

I was under the impression as the high moves we get a easterly feed which could give snow showers.

[Yorkshire and E England regional discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

Any chance of us getting in on the snow next few days?

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

Just now, Anthony Burden said:

GFS Nudging towards severe weather,met office update 

What do you mean?

[Moans, ramps and banter]

1 minute ago, JimBob said:

The latest models are looking great for Scotland over the next two weeks. Nothing much to shout about for England & Wales though. Maybe February will bring better winter fortunes for us all. 

??

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

I remember before 2010 and 2018 models had wobbles on way counting them down from way out only to come back to them amazing charts we still are in the game. The icon may be the turning point for the better again.

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

3 minutes ago, Aiden2012 said:

Oh my could these charts even get any juicer

You would likely be snowed in for days bottom of the wolds pipe busters my friend

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

5 minutes ago, Pembroke Dangler said:

Love thy Neighbour and look out for the elderly this could be historic if it plays out the way it is on the means and some of the operational runs today proper pipe bursters.

Good for business as I’m a gas fitter yeah been a lurker for a long time never seen charts like these.

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

4 minutes ago, Pembroke Dangler said:

This could rival 62/63 and 81/82 for longevity of cold 

This could grind this country to a halt as we are not used to that type of cold 

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

Could this really rival 2010?

[Yorkshire and E England regional discussion]

21 minutes ago, Jeremy Shockey said:

Snow on top of the Wolds

Where is this please?

[Alternate Model Discussion - into 2022]

11 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:

Wavy north to south.  As opposed to zonal, direct west to east - which for the UK brings the prevailing westerlies from the Atlantic.  This has been largely absent, apart from for very brief periods,  for about 1 year now.  Some appear worried that this might suddenly change on Christmas Day of all days!   

The NH pattern has been unusual this year, right through the summer months too. 

Thanks for that been long time lurker so still learning much appreciated thanks.

[Alternate Model Discussion - into 2022]

5 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:

We’ll see - I think the mods changing this thread to slow paced rather than short range might help.

I’m not that phased by the 12z runs so far - I think they show that the envelope of uncertainty is enormous, even at firstly early times, even T72-T96.  At that range you’d back the UKMO over the others for this neck of the woods for sure.  I think the uncertainty might be due to the weakness of the block, which in turn is ‘perhaps’ related to the NH being primed for a meridional jet for ages now.  

And if the ops are struggling at short range, then with their lower resolution, the ensembles are no help either.

On to the ECM.

Hi Mike what does that meridional jet mean please thanks.

[Alternate Model Discussion - into 2022]

7 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:

Boxing day onwards looking pretty high confidence for cold and wintry now

Xmas day more 55/45 for cold into England

Do you think prolonged or a cold snap? What is you take on the blocking I get a feeling very rare Sypnotics for the time of year.

[Alternate Model Discussion - into 2022]

Do we honestly believe that them ec46 and mogaps could have got this so wrong I know CFS is known for its crazy outputs and reliability?

[Alternate Model Discussion - into 2022]

Kasim how are you what is your thinking honest which way this will go are we in for a prolonged cold spell !possibly historic or do you think we will miss out again?

[Yorkshire and E England regional discussion]

Thanks @Winter Cold is there anymore snow chances do you think that low in the North Sea? Tomorrow and Friday?

[Yorkshire and E England regional discussion]

Showing snow around hull on radar but nothing falling here anyone near by having any?

[Yorkshire and E England regional discussion]

Big snow shower inbound for hull now some intensity to it aswell

[Yorkshire and E England regional discussion]

29 minutes ago, joggs said:

Now meto favouring milder. You just know there's gonna be no great breakdown.

Not on their 30 day forecast updated at 4?