Winterdarkness
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Posts posted by Winterdarkness
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Why is metoffice showing high pressure over the uk in January? I’m so done
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4 minutes ago, Skullzrulerz said:
It's moved to the southwest to Cornwall as you can it's built a huge wall across the Tamar bridge
So southwest could be getting snow from it?
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12 minutes ago, General Cluster said:
Personally, I'd like to see an exact copy of 1978-79's synoptics (utterly impossible I know!): I've always been fascinated by 'then and now' comparisons... But, just how similar would things have to be, for such a comparison to be meaningful?
But, be that as it may, the latest GEFS mean NHPs hold plenty of interest:
Wow we could be in luck!!
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On 03/12/2020 at 08:49, mathematician said:
All downgraded as usual...
If I had a quid every time I was promised a winter wonderland I would be living in Canada now, where the snow is real, not a dream like here in this perpetual autumn
I know! All these people are in for a shock! Mild wet and zonal
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Just now, Broadmayne blizzard said:
Is it just me? or has anyone else noticed the similarities between the gfs at 240 plus for the last few days and the synoptic situation around xmas new year 1978/79 and we all know where that winter went. Worth a check on the wetterzentrale noaa charts archive if your interested.
What happened in that winter
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All this hype for what was cold In January is now disappearing on the 6z! Thanks guys for overhyping
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2 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:
Nothing much has changed in the past couple of weeks.
Synoptically, the hemispheric pattern is great but unless you live up a hill in Scotland, there is very little chance of snow in the next ten days.
That is the reality.
From January is when we will see significant snowfall get your sledge out!!!!
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5 minutes ago, bluearmy said:
INCORRECT !!!!!!!!!!!!
please don’t mislead the forum ......
Oh that’s what someone said on Twitter. It got me scared
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Guys we need to talk about the sSW the models have dropped the split?!! Only displacement I’m gonna cry!!
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5 minutes ago, southbank said:
Hi Chionomniiac , any concerns that today the models seem to indicate a displacement rather than split around the 7th Jan ? ironic that GLOSEA finally started coming on board with a SSW that we go from a spilt to displacement as we know with UK luck where the displacement wil end up !!!
Oh no I knew it would end up a displacement great...
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2 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:
gfs Yes...
Ec kind of
Uk absolutely not
U.K. met has been poor this year, I feel there charts are biased for warm weather
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Just now, Met4Cast said:
I'm not liking the trends on the models today, certainly a slight shift westwards across the board in terms of where the low ends up, not hugely by any means but any westwards shift means the air is more modified and thus less cold.
The trend for the second wave of amplification has also been to weaken it's northerly extent, initially pushing into S Greenland but now just making it as an Atlantic high. I'm not buying the height rises around Iceland just yet on the GFS, we were here a few days ago with the GFS progging a GH for some 8-9 runs in a row, we know that hasn't transpired.
Until the EPS start showing the Griceland height rises I'm not buying it, the GFS did this a couple of weeks ago too.
Outlook? Chilly yes, below average into January certainly, rather unsettled with low pressure over the UK bringing spells of cold rain/wintriness mainly over hills but likely to low levels in dribs & drabs. Beyond that???
January is looking very cold with high risk of snow events. There’s nothing indicating an unsettled Jan? Yes this week but not in the next 2 weeks...
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I’m very excited for this winter! January is looking very interesting indeed :)
Meto Uk Further Outlook
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
I totally agree with this