Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Winterdarkness

Members
  • Posts

    24
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by Winterdarkness

  1. 10 minutes ago, CreweCold said:

    I have to admit, my thought was that perhaps they don't want to or have been told not induce panic buying in an already sensitive situation. 

    In the modelling we see, maybe 10-15% of progressions are modelled as per Metoffice. 

    This said, why make the video in the first place then.

    I totally agree with this 

  2. 12 minutes ago, General Cluster said:

    Personally, I'd like to see an exact copy of 1978-79's synoptics (utterly impossible I know!): I've always been fascinated by 'then and now' comparisons... But, just how similar would things have to be, for such a comparison to be meaningful?

    But, be that as it may, the latest GEFS mean NHPs hold plenty of interest::santa-emoji:

    npsh500mean-006.png    npsh500mean-144.png

    npsh500mean-222.png    npsh500mean-384.png

    Wow we could be in luck!! 

    • Like 1
  3. Just now, Broadmayne blizzard said:

    Is it just me? or has anyone else noticed the similarities between  the gfs  at 240 plus for the last few days and the synoptic situation around xmas new year 1978/79 and we all know where that winter went.  Worth a check on the wetterzentrale noaa charts archive if your interested.

    What happened in that winter 

  4. Just now, Met4Cast said:

    I'm not liking the trends on the models today, certainly a slight shift westwards across the board in terms of where the low ends up, not hugely by any means but any westwards shift means the air is more modified and thus less cold. 

    The trend for the second wave of amplification has also been to weaken it's northerly extent, initially pushing into S Greenland but now just making it as an Atlantic high. I'm not buying the height rises around Iceland just yet on the GFS, we were here a few days ago with the GFS progging a GH for some 8-9 runs in a row, we know that hasn't transpired. 

    Until the EPS start showing the Griceland height rises I'm not buying it, the GFS did this a couple of weeks ago too.

    Outlook? Chilly yes, below average into January certainly, rather unsettled with low pressure over the UK bringing spells of cold rain/wintriness mainly over hills but likely to low levels in dribs & drabs. Beyond that???

    January is looking very cold with high risk of snow events. There’s nothing indicating an unsettled Jan? Yes this week but not in the next 2 weeks... 

    • Like 1
×
×
  • Create New...