Cryosphere.
-
Posts
33 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by Cryosphere.
-
-
5 minutes ago, sheikhy said:
Come on a bit late today as my nana has just passed away this evening after having covid!!!lived a 100 long years!!!what a fella!!!any snow on the 18 models for sunday monday?!!all is not lost it seems on the 18z!!?
So So sorry for your loss....MY thoughts are with you...
-
3
-
1
-
-
- Popular Post
1 hour ago, Allseasons-si said:Hold on mate,...i am sending out the cavalry
Great charts tonight and the gefs mean is further north with the Scandi high than the 12z...
Sob.. you just made me cry with laughter..with the dogs post.After such a bad year and having lost family to this awful cov19 ..its the first times my tears are part laughter... Thankyou Ali :) x
-
15
-
1
-
3 minutes ago, Beano said:
Big signal for a warm up by next Friday for majority of uk, a nice dry, mild high pressure after a winter locked up..sounds pretty nice!
cheers walter !
-
1
-
-
26 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:
I am only saying what it shows on the tin and that looks to be pushing NE to me,i am sure you will do fine out of this snow event and i hope you get a good dumping but what i am stating is there are chances further north looking at that latest radar.
agreed....changes are a on-going..northern areas may be game..or with a shout. good for a covering. The most northern point is non script..surprises are, what they are. btw...great freezing fog in stockport right now.
-
1
-
-
40 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:
That system is still pushing NE!!!!
hmmm!
indeed...more bones too chew on as thats much way further north..
-
2
-
-
And the winner of the most excellent award of being most excellent...goes too..."Homer simpson!" These models are...at best ..say no more..
-
48 minutes ago, NickyB said:
I love your posts Kasim. Don’t let them get you down.
Kasim, your posts are honest and informative..please may it continue
If i may ..let me tell you a story...
Once a poor nomadic man walked the barren plains, his feet swollen, hands blistered and eyes stinging in the wind. Pulling his cart behind him the poor man lumbered onward until he came too a crossroad. At this crossroad he saw a well dressed man..a rich well dressed man; the well dressed man lifted his hat and looked at the poor mans cart.."what provisions do you carry that you are willing to trade?"
The poor man wiped his eyes and answered "i have just butter and poor cheese".
"Then i shall trade you a kilo of my fine sugar..for half a kilo of butter and half a kilo of cheese" said the well dressed rich man....The trade was done
Next day..the poor man tired and weak pulled his cart into town....only to be confronted by the well dressed man and the sheriff."This man has cheated me" acclaimed the well dressed man..."He traded me less than the kilo we agreed..for my kilo of sugar..he was a 1/4 kilo short"
The poor man stayed silent....closed his eyes and shrugged his shoulders with no answer...The rope was already in place as the sheriff adorned the noose around the poor mans neck.........The rope sang in the wind...with no words from a poor mans last breath...
Upon examining the poor man cart the sheriff came upon a scale hang.....now with this man having no means to buy weighing blocks, the only possible chance for him to weigh measure for measure was againts the well dressed mans kilo of sugar........
Once again...the rope sang in the wind with no words of a poor mans last breath..Just the image of a smile...
somtimes you just cannot win.. smile and carry on..
-
3
-
-
14 minutes ago, Cavehill Snow said:
Some many conflicting signals all trying to impose themselves at the same time - so charts look unrealistic. Just look at that area without any isobars - stretches from N Spain to just south of Iceland and from the Isle of Man to about 500 miles of west coast of Ireland. Will never happen in reality
Pin the donkey on the tail...
-
46 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:
i know this is a pretty pointless post, but if this landed at T384 on GFS 18z, most of you would go crazy:
Interestingly the agonised cat face is present on both charts. That must mean something is brewing...
That aint just any old cat....There be the Snow Leopard..eyes white
-
3
-
-
59 minutes ago, ianmm94 said:
Here come the doom and gloom posts again
still lots to chase for the British Bulldog yet....
-
2
-
-
10 minutes ago, Stu_London said:
Good to see a few more breaching the -10C mark
alas in the chinese cookie cluster..
-
as i said WoW seriously good steamer for sw wales...
-
Hop onward folks.. lets hope this dry air invection will not such out our percipition..
-
1
-
-
2 minutes ago, Backtrack said:
No one knows where your location is. No where is getting a good dumping right now, it's raining in most places across the region. Rather than being 'done', just do what most do. Get in the car and drive to the peaks.
if your gunna bite the cigar...smoke it..
-
1
-
-
sw welsh streamer in full effect..
-
Once again the shadow affect comes into play...
-
1
-
-
18 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:
Mother of god! The whole damn lot is coming here if GFS 18z T312 is to be believed.
You can’t stop It from there....half the vortex...but given background signals and SSW knowledge it is quite a likely solution....let’s see what the morning runs bring.
Thats nation-wide standstill material....
-
17 minutes ago, ICE COLD said:
Vortex ripped to shreds can we take advantage?
Buckshot effect..
-
8 minutes ago, Optimus Prime said:
I think it should be mentioned (as per CET thread namely; Realitivistic that whilst the 14-day period up to the 10th hasn't been particularly news / record worthy it will have almost certainly been the coldest 14 day period since January 2013 (~ 0.8 C vs -0.4 C) and is comparable to the coldest 14 day period in 2018 (Feb/March 2018), 1.2 C
That is worthy of the very least a mention.
Next weeks mild looks to have been watered down to an extent at present.
Would be nice if this recent cold spell is a sort of calibration for what can be compared against for the rest of the winter.
And at least this year there is some brutal (by modern standards) cold covering a large portion of Siberia. Might be worth keeping an eye on its westward progression.
Indeed OP that`s certainly noteworthy in my book..Much more more input needed day by day as it come`s; we are still in with a shout of something more polar on the horizon...
-
1
-
-
2 minutes ago, MATTWOLVES said:
Well folks,what i will say is this...if we do manage to tap into an E/NETLY in the near future,we shouldn't be having a problem with the 850s...the cold looks much more intense and expansive on many ens now.
Quick update from Marco P regarding the GFS 12z which shows a less dramatic warming in a weeks time...more importantly is that the 12z was also showing extreme warming again during week 3 of January...now if that comes off it would surely spell the end of the Vortex....
DONT HAVE NIGHTMARES.. I think that was from crime watch
Book them..and they will come..
-
4
-
-
5 minutes ago, phil nw. said:
Some promising trends today.
2 main features stand out, the development of a UK high trying to ridge North and the building deep cold pool to our ne.
It looks like this may become the general holding pattern until the downwelling of the SSW hits the 500 pattern.
Good signs that modelling is showing the re emergence of ridging in the Atlantic flow. The building Scandinavian trough looks really juicy for later too.
I think its just a little early to expect anything more but allowing for the lag effect it shouldn't be too long before we see further changes as we get more pronounced heights into the pole.
As a wise man once said...short term pain for longer term gain.
-
1
-
-
8 minutes ago, Lukesluckybunch said:
I guess it is really but it just frustrates me we always seem to chase day 8,10 charts away
SSW sudden and dramatic or pushes right through.
-
LaN / SpJ plus cold pooling toward the NE = HELLO!
-
50 minutes ago, IDO said:
...it is complicated, but I would expect some colder shots at least even in the worse case scenario. The BFTE is what is up for grabs and that maybe less likely. Greenland blocking is my call if we do get a good coupling. We should know more by next week...
Guys i think..we have been somewhat... Hoodwinked again, How many times have been here...? More times than ive had hot dinners. Winter after winter we watch in rejoice and anguish in what cards the models will deal deal us. Most of us looking for something colder; sometimes just a flake will do..But if im honest and i include myself in this...THE FULL HOUSE!!. Well many of us seem to think that this current SSW was our trump card or wild card if you wish..It is not and never was..; yes it can and often does push polar air to mid-latitudes as we know..where? we can stipulate..when? we can speculate..its mother nature at it best if i may say. Sometimes we put all our eggs in one basket...and that basket always seems to be ten baskets away.
-
7
-
Model output discussion 10/02/21
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Mr Data i think..