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Sully79

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Posts posted by Sully79

    Midlands Regional Discussion Feb 2021 Onward

    in Regional

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Sully79 said:

    Honestly bud I’m happy for you might take a drive tomorrow ! enjoy you seem to love it just as much as me looking at the radar I might get abit tonight and wake up with abit iam this winter has been a wired one for sure

    Predicted txt makes me sound like an idiot must check before I post lol  

    Midlands Regional Discussion Feb 2021 Onward

    in Regional

    Posted

    1 minute ago, sheikhy said:

    Feel so bad for you mate!!i really do!!its happened to me plenty of times before!!and it just ruins my mood thats how much i love the snow!!!

    Honestly bud I’m happy for you might take a drive tomorrow ! enjoy you seem to love it just as much as me looking at the radar I might get abit tonight and wake up with abit iam this winter has been a wired one for sure

    • Thanks 1

    Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

    in Regional

    Posted

    46 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

    Fantastic ecm 12z up to 168 hours!!this is how i expected the 144 hour chart to look on ukmo but i dunno what happened lol!!!also winds are east north east from 48 hours to 144 hours so more areas getting in the act for snow showers!!!ukmo a bit to south east right now!

    How sheikhy how we looking after today’s models mate ?

    Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

    in Regional

    Posted

    23 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

    Still looking good man!!18z gives us 6 days in a row of temps below 0 during the day!!the big band of snow seems to be pushing south for sunday but never fear we got snow showers coming in of the north sea so all is not lost!!

    Thought so mate we are missing out on sat sun now I think shame can’t win them all  

    Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

    in Regional

    Posted

    1 minute ago, sheikhy said:

    As of now!!!!leicester 20cms of snow and non stop snow from saturday night all the way to monday according to gfs!!but am pretty sure the ecm will have something to say about that!

    Oh ya fighter that’s quite a lot I’m hoping this happens il be as happy as a pig in Pooh Il ask you again tomorrow for an updated if that’s ok 

    Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Sully79 said:

    Thank you I respect your honesty in this situation because all I want is the same as you guys but sometimes get lost 

     

    Guys you’re all legends and play a pivotal part in this forum I’ve been on here for years but never posted because I trust in what you say I’m a winter weather chaser and I love it just wish I could drive up to Scotland for a week like I normally do for my snow fix but can’t right now gutted 

    • Like 4

    Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Uncertainy said:

    I don’t think it’s a contradiction as such, these situations are so rare, almost mythical that they require near 100% model agreement to have a chance of verifying.
     

    The very fact the GFS, one of the worlds top models (although an irksome and highly flawed one) was dissenting from the majority view meant that it had to be taken seriously. That’s why it (and the ECM over the weekend) were driving everyone in the weather world demented with their stubbornness!

    Equally, the fact it has now come into line with other output gives the Countrywide easterly more credence. You are right that there is often too much emotion driving this forum but that is human nature - it manifests everywhere from Twitter to tower blocks. It’s up to the readers to make their own minds. 

    You make a good point though and you should always feel free to ask questions and receive respectful, informed answers. Hopefully the weather will reward us with an epic spell this time. 

    Thank you I respect your honesty in this situation because all I want is the same as you guys but sometimes get lost 

     

    • Like 5

    Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    1 minute ago, ICE COLD said:

    Hi mate . The reason everyone is lovin the latest gfs 18z run is because it has now come into line with all other output for the easterly. So they all now show roughly the same out to day 5 . The reason it was getting slated is because it was the only model output not showing an easterly but now it’s flipped with its ensembles. Hope that helps . 

    Thanks for clearing that up for me much respect I’m a newby and learning my no disrespect intended

    • Like 5

    Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    Guys for forgive me if I’m wrong but all this talk about the gfs being s&@@&t and not reliable but now the best run make your minds up I’m getting confused.com!!!!???? I’ve been on this forum for years like other people have a model is only as good as what you want to see and believe I think it’s most certain it will get cold and it will snow and I do understand the passion I’m worse than the kids when it snows but guys don’t say one thing and then contradict yourselfs 

    • Like 3
    • Thanks 1
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