Coxxy657
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Posts posted by Coxxy657
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11 minutes ago, bluearmy said:
This tpv segment is headed into scandi and Russia
if ya change the view to Europe, a little bit breaks off and ends up just above the uk
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im actually really excited to see if the ecm comes back in line with the others lol
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1 minute ago, Tom Jarvis said:
Already a massive difference on the ECM between t48 and t 72
Difference from what ? 6z ? Gfs ?
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8 minutes ago, Eagle Eye said:
Turns out that you can't get the old members so I'll have to use the 06z, 12z and 18z GFS runs and the 0Z and 12Z ECM runs (yesterday)
0Z ECM (51 Solutions)
Mild solutions(which will be fully mild) - 0
Snow in Britain - 51
Snow in Scotland - 50
Snow in the North - 40
Snow in Ireland - 13
Snow in Northern Ireland - 16
Snow in Midlands - 33
Snow in Wales - 30
Snow in South - 21
6Z GFS (31 Solutions)
Mild solutions - 0
Snow in Britain - 31
Snow in Scotland - 30
Snow in the North -20
Snow in Ireland - 1
Snow in Northern Ireland -1
Snow in Midlands -12
Snow in Wales -11
Snow in South -4
12Z ECM and GFS (81 Solutions)
Mild solutions - 0
Snow in Britain - 81
Snow in Scotland - 80
Snow in the North - 77
Snow in Ireland - 7
Snow in Northern Ireland - 8
Snow in Midlands - 58
Snow in Wales - 55
Snow in South - 43
18Z GFS (31 Solutions)
Mild - 4
Snow in Britain - 27
Snow in Scotland - 20
Snow in the North -10
Snow in Ireland - 0
Snow in Northern Ireland - 0
Snow in Midlands - 10
Snow in Wales - 11
Snow in South - 1
Total of (194 solutions)
Mild - 4
Snow in Britain - 190
Snow in Scotland - 180
Snow in the North -147
Snow in Ireland - 21
Snow in Northern Ireland - 25
Snow in Midlands - 143
Snow in Wales - 107
Snow in South - 69
This is by no way a chance, we all know how well the members perform, this is just to show a trend on each run and an overall trend
I'll miss out the 0Z, 6Z for now, more updates later if I have any energyso only 4 mild solutions from 194, deffo a cold trend then right ?
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2 minutes ago, Staffmoorlands said:
The trend has been for the cold to be kept further north though. Now looks a rainy Christmas for many south of Sheffield
im sure the trend has been for colder conditions ? across various models? , and even the gfs 00z showed snow across the southern half of the uk for the 26th and 28th, still a long way to go with this i think
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Just now, That ECM said:
South of the m27 event.
Perfect for me lol
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Well at least the 6z brings a little white stuff to the south coast on the 27th lol
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Don't think I've ever watched one area of low pressure across so many model runs LMAO it's actually exhausting lol
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1 hour ago, Scott Ingham said:
Further lows tracking ever further south than the one on christmas day could bring southern areas into play by 240+
Good run this if you like snow!!!
I was going to ask the likelihood of these subsequent lows sliding ? In assuming as long as the block holds they will slide ??
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So what's the chances of that snow now in the Midlands making it's way down here ? Or is likely to die off as it travels down the country ?
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definitely a shift west from the 00z to my untrained eye anyway lol
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Nothing but rain here in pompey :0( sso sick of living on the south coast lol winter barely exists down here lol gutted
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Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
thats not even a day lol, thats 6 hrs isnt it ?? complete flip in 6 hrs lol