IceDaysAndBalticNights
-
Posts
30 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by IceDaysAndBalticNights
-
-
4 minutes ago, Eagle Eye said:
I know this from my own research but a person's memory is easily tampered with by themselves without them realising depending on theirown age a lot and their mentality or you might just be a statistical anomaly
I've got a photo from March 2nd with me standing on top of an 8ft drift if you'd like to see it? you can ask anyone in the south wales valley's but this was the most snow we have seen since 1981-92. Not having a go at you at all mate btw I'm just trying to make the point that yes our climate in the British isles is getting a little bit milder but that doesn't mean that our winters are getting any milder and more snowless.
-
1 minute ago, Quicksilver1989 said:
Absolute boulderdash, UK winters ARE getting milder and your post isn't even correct. 1928-29, 1939-40, 1940-41 and 1944-45 were all notably cold winters.
The 30 year rolling average from 1992-2021 is 4.9C.
The average during the 20th century was 4.2C
The average during the 19th century was 3.7C
The average during the 18th century was 3.5C
The average from 1661-1699 was 2.9C. Only 1 month in the last 10 years has seen a CET lower then 2.9C and that was March 2013.
So UK winters are getting milder with severely cold winters becoming less common.
Like I've said they can keep getting milder for all I care I've seen more snow in the past 12 years than the last 30 so happy days, storm Emma being the best in March 2018 8ft snow drifts that lasted for weeks
-
1
-
-
8 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:
So, what's your explanation of the fact that our 30-year average keeps rising?
The 30 year average means abousutly naff all that can keep rising for all I care, feb 2009, winter 2009-10, December 2010, January and March 2013, December 2017 and feb and March 2018 all produced more snow than anything I've ever seen in the 90s and early to middle to 00s in my location but that goes to show a changing climate doesn't mean less cold and snow!
-
1
-
-
3 hours ago, Ed Stone said:
On the contrary, the ever-rising 30-year means are quite clear: winters are, on average, getting milder.
After the cold winter of 1916-17 we had to wait 30 YEARS for another cold winter and that was in the 20th century! To say winters in the UK are getting milder is nonsene, winters in the UK have always been mild!
-
2
-
-
1 minute ago, iowpompeylee said:
BBC were also bullish about there not being a hurricane in 1987…….
They were right though as there wasn't a hurricane
-
3
-
2
-
-
4 minutes ago, steveinsussex said:
As someone who takes as much interest in the models as you do I’m amazed you take any notice of the apps further than 12 hours out!
It's not just the apps though, I suggest watching the met office week ahead forecast on youtube that got uploaded today.
-
What happened to binning the gfs?@Met4Cast
-
2
-
-
2 minutes ago, tight isobar said:
I’m sorry it’s cutting so deep with you!!!!
It's not I was just replying to your comment thanks for the concern though.
-
3
-
-
4 minutes ago, tight isobar said:
We’re not talking about wales though- but the capital of England @ most highly populated part of uk- including surround.. it’s highly unlikely to happen anyway! But the point it’s even modelled is worthy of note... moving on!
Doesn't matter if it's for wales or London though does it, to say it'll be Armageddon is just ridiculous.
-
5
-
-
2 minutes ago, Wold Topper said:
'Armageddon proportion' is a bit dramatic
Couldn't agree more, we've had 2 red warnings for snow here in South East Wales in the last 8 years. In 2018 we had 8ft snow drifts and there was no armageddon, everyone just got on with it and carried on as normal.
-
5
-
-
8 hours ago, knocker said:
Uninterersting is by definition subjective. I have just wasted ten minutes zipping through the MOD thread which was about as interesting as watching paint dry. Imo, irrespective of personal interest, a more detailed meteorological look at the outputs in the reliable time frame is always worthwhile for two reasons. Firstly, many people are interested in the detail for five days ahead, and secondly, you can get a grip on the likely evolution as the models enter the more unreliable time frame. I will just leave it there because this is a much travelled road which leads nowhere.
Couldn't agree more knocker I love your posts they are always unbiased and professional, I won't be going into the MOD thread again as it's full of hopecasting, wishfull thinking and complete and utter meltdowns if the models don't show what they wan't it's embarrassing.
-
7
-
-
11 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:
192h+ is the key, 168h could be decieving
If the ecm is good, our hands might not permit us to type anything other than emojis or exclamation marks.
Not sure there was any need for such a belittling and patronising reply as it doesn't really help us newbies such as myself understand what the models are currently showing
-
2
-
-
2 minutes ago, sheikhy said:
Ecm at 144 hours!!!!!
Could you perhaps start adding a bit more to your posts than just constant emojis and exclamation marks?
-
8
-
-
11 hours ago, Sceptical said:
25cm might have the south of England calling out in army, but not in Scotland.
More like 5cms these days
-
1
-
-
Hi guys hoping for a cold and very snowy winter this year in south east Wales, last year was very fustrating we had some snow but nothing to write home about. A winter similar to 2012-13 would be perfect imo we had a cold spell in the middle of Jan with a red snow warning and March was quite severe with the cold waxing and waning throughout the month lasting until April
-
1
-
Winter 2021-22 Chat, Moans and ramps thread
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
No mate I was talking about the west we normally always do best in battleground suituations, I do think easterlies are becoming more rare though which is most likely down to climate change, high pressure over the Azores and Europe has had a big influence over the past few years and has been a big winter killer for us in the uk