okidoke
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Posts posted by okidoke
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Wow you know nothing exciting on the horizon when no model thread is there only local and moans lol
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In Great Yarmouth we have a blizzard! Heavy flakes and good covering
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Have to say this but over 9 days ago I dropped the comment about how this has happened before .. we get so excited for stuff 10 days away only to find models back off, water down or flip .. now yes it's going to be cold and possible snow for some but after sat nxt week hello atlantic and good bye winter ..
The models were showing cold Feb now backing off I mean what's the point
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Just now, JoeShmoe said:
It’s always 10 days away, it was last week, it was yesterday and it will be tomorrow
if our t+240 winters ever came off we’d be like northern Finland
I mean what could possibly go wrong !
Yep hurts to say .. you are right .. and what will most likely happen is it will keep going that way and even then it will get downgrade after downgrade and all looking at norm bored Jan and Feb zonal
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It's never a good sign when the models keep pushing the cold back .. we never learn
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25 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:
Booooom, any negativity needs to stop. The mean is amazing at day 11 - and most importantly MOVING AWAY FROM A WEST BASED NAO - Winter is coming, poss historic event
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Lol no such thing as a possible historical event past day 10 lol its always been like that in la la land
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So funny .. you know its going all T#**s up when u see the moan thread is as busy or sometimes more than main thread .. when I come on the forum and see that I know its not looking good
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13 minutes ago, booferking said:
It really is bipolar in here another beautiful mean chart day 10.
But day 10 .. better if it was in a few days
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We always do this. .. get over excited to soon I remember years a very similar set up all models showed cold .. and snow then 1 Member showed mild .. .and the flip was insane so remember nothing is set in stone till you actually see it and feel it lol
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OK let's be realistic.. a ssw will kind of happen but the pv won't split like 2013 so let's all move on!
We might get some northerly outbreaks but these will be fleeting .. we may get some frost but understand we are nxt to the Atlantic which will always bring those west or south west winds and rain .. we live in the uk
Winters are becoming warmer .. its so funny to see people want and hope that we will get weather like America and Europe get
Winters over ..
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26 minutes ago, s4lancia said:
Massively improved (low bar) charts over the past 24 hours, however some want to see it, as finally some consistency (doesn’t mean it’s going to happen of course) with energy diving SE and Bartlett-esque EU heights disappearing as quick as they appeared. Azores high in this context is far more palatable than certain alternatives.
Decent warming showing up through the upper layers as well…
warm-up will do nothing we need a split and even that does not guarantee cold
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What planet is this person on? nothing in the models show this! lol
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So doom and gloom again today .. the jet is so strong at the moment and the monster power vortex .. only hope is a ssw BUT it won't be enough for a split so no point talking about looks like westerly or south westerly for a long while ...
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This morning in Great Yarmouth, Norfolk We have 4oc .. almost warm compared to rest of UK currently.. we have had no snow, yesterday we had an ice day and freezing rain .. but I fear that's it coming to end and zonal or southerly winds coming for rest of month
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OK so I have been watching in the background for a few days seeing all the eye candy and I'm shocked that once again we have been lead down the garden path it's happened before SO many times yet we never learn, cold block won't move. Well it seems mild always wins .. you couldn't make it up -nao and southern England ends up ..meh
I remember a few years ago all models bar 1 went for cold and snowy and which one do u think one it was a massive flip.. top tip wait till its 24hrs away to get excited
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8 minutes ago, E17boy said:
Hi peeps
We on here seem to always get our wheels fallen off when an upcoming cold spell fails. I was just wondering as a matter of interest has there been any predicted mild spells in the past that have failed and ended up as epic cold.
Would be interesting to know how the setup turned.
regards
No never lol
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so the hunt goes on! and thats what its going to be a hunt .. nothing is likely to come to anything I think we may get a few cold snaps end of jan and feb but will be mostly mild!
I think the best chance to get some snow will be late march /early April as is every year .
lets pack up and return Nov 22
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1 minute ago, Lukesluckybunch said:
i will take the op please...hahaha 10/10 and 9/10
This is again pointless it's in fantasy island ?
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8 minutes ago, swfc said:
What on the 12z. Its only out to 96 hrs and looks the same,bang average
It's all over .. in fact if you think Dec was rec mild .. wait till Feb! And March and April will be cold and wet .. someone will repost this after and I'll be the king forecaster here lol
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You have to laugh.. a snowbomb I thought that's something you buy in Asda
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1 hour ago, Tim Bland said:
How often do you read this? If you follow it regularly you will know that 2 weeks ago it was describing below average temps and widespread snow and ice for this week. In fact on Wednesday they were talking about snow for central areas on Christmas Day… truth is they are not very accurate and haven’t ‘called it right’ very often so far this winter and they could flip to cold and snow again any day
Lol yes But we know that won't happen
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Well looking at the long rang model from the Met who seemed to have called it most of the winter already looks grim! ;-(
Least we forget before Christmas when we saw all those amazing winter charts they stuck to their mild forecast and was right!
9th - 23rd January 2022
There is the potential for a short, settled spell to begin the period, before more changeable, milder condition return later in the month. Feeling colder with a risk of fog during any settled spells. Still the chance for some widely milder conditions too, bringing the risk of heavy rain and strong winds at times
I think the polar vortex is so strong and continues to be so with no or little signs of that changing which will only make zonal and southerly winds even more stronger
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OK .. let's pretend the below is all showing cold .. and that one member showing mild ..it happened before that one member was right ... so you never know
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This is what I cant get my head around! the last time we had a decent LONG cold spell (comment when that was as I forget)
I remember seeing the assembles with 90% staying cold or very cold and there must have been only 5 members saying mild! now you would of course seeing that as a done deal and what happened the few mild assembles got it right! ... SO I guess what I'm saying maybe just maybe the few that are still showing cold ...might be right
Keeping the Christmas spirit alive as the comments are all pretty down today
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Moans, ramps and banter
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
how many many many times we go down the garden path do we never learn!!
its a bit or a lot of snow for some but even If you do get it will be gone in a day or so .. nothing cold on the horizon .. once again the models have flipped to mild .. shame they never flip to cold!
see you next winter for more of the same at best a couple of colder blimps!