The Tall Weatherman

Friday at 07:22

This storm is still growing strong out there in the North Sea, somebody on the northern Lincolnshire coast may have quite the display.

Monday at 20:53

@Iceman2606 I saw the same hailstorm yesterday as well, the rainbow and Mammatus at the end were lovely !

April 28

The SPC forecast seemed to verify well last night. Sadly it is looking like there has been some bad damage in the community of Sulphur OK. A few early reports suggest there has been a fatality and a few brick homes have been completely destroyed.

April 27

@Eagle Eye I really do hope the some morning convection can clear away a bit of the risk but I am dead concerned about the latest HRRR. A completely an untapped environment over much of the Central/western portions of OK and then we suddenly see multiple storms that look very nasty. If storms can get control of this atmosphere it will be most likely a scenario where every single storm is tornadic.

April 27

Moving our heads always from a historic outbreak filled to the brim with photogenic and potentially violent tornadoes, today is also looking rather active and very significant. This event has uptrended in the fact the environment is primed and storms look discrete when they form according to almost every model set available. Huge curvature in the Hodograph along with a 60kt LLJ, also a very moist and an unstable atmosphere should be in place as the first storms fire. The SPC have noted this risk and have upgraded to MDT across much of Central OK including OKC and parts of Texas and Kansas

Storm Prediction Center Apr 27, 2024 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV

Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.

April 20

Managed to catch the last glimpse of Comet 12P Pons brooks while on holiday despite the sunset light. The next big comet will be Comet C/2023 A3 (Tsuchinshan-ATLAS) if it doesn’t disintegrate.

April 2

Hellish signature and Tornado on the ground near Prospect ! Looks violent sadly

April 2

Tornado on the Ground in West Virginia currently ! Storm net predicted this 15 minutes in advance !

April 1

Even in Northamptonshire we could see it. Multiple bright flashes over the horizon of the Nene made it quite special despite the poor frequency of bolts. Hopefully we see more of this in the future ️

April 1

N/E Oklahoma and the Texas/Oklahoma border in my opinion is most favourable right now for tornadoes based on the HRRR. The SPC does not seems to be picking up on the southern Oklahoma area where discrete supercells at the back end interact with a highly sheared environment as seen on the curved hodographs and an influx of Energy as it moves N/E. Definitely a big hailer event with some supercells getting tornado warned and many not. Sig tor parameters are also off the charts.

March 31

@Eagle Eye It seems based on soundings that MU Cape does weaken over the channel although not enough to get rid of all the storm activity. As soon as the channel muck reaches southern England the Arome thinks it will explode into life. <1100 J/kg of Surface based Cape and MU cape across much of Central Southern England should be enough to cause some potentially active storms this evening. Personally I think that any storms in front of the band would be stronger than the main band so we should radar watch for the next few hours.

March 30

Definitely some scope tomorrow evening for some storms in the south ️ The Arome model shows <900J/kg of surface based cape in the Afternoon across the far south and widespread strong radar returns. Diurnal heating and sea breeze convergence should also aid convection across this area as we move into the evening. Models are still some time out so we should wait and see

March 29

WOW ! Golden hour did not disappoint ! Managed to get in on some of the Mammatus and some beautiful storm structures including some Iridescence and huge anvils. The thunderstorm threat seems to be diminishing now for the near future where cloudy and rainy skies seem likely

March 29

Ok convection so far today including a nice rainbow but so far have not seen any cells that have really caught my attention unlike yesterday. Hopefully we can have a rumble or two later.

March 28

Big-time storms heading towards Northamptonshire and surroundings right now.

Lightning frequency’s are great for March !!

March 27

Tomorrow in the South-western areas looks to be quite interesting as @Eagle Eye pointed out. Locally could expect <1000 j/kg of Surface based Cape tomorrow in the South west and central areas along with a strongly sheared environment (0-1km SRH) that coincides with a curved hodograph. I would not be surprised that if storms matured in this environment especially in the south-west, we could see properly strong storms even later on into the evening hours tomorrow as seen on the Arome model. A tornado seems unlikely but could still happen if the ingredients line up.

March 26

The next few days could be the first thunderstorm days for some of us. Cape seems minimal in the next few days and seems to peak on Thursday and Friday where we can expect scattered downpours and perhaps a rumble.

@WeatherArc Wow what a storm that was ! Don’t remember seeing a clear bolt 100+ miles away before that and hopefully we see something like it this year

March 24

This event later will have a very conditional tornado threat as the SPC highlighted but with soundings like this taken outside the OKC metro it looks like we could potentially have a strong tornado tonight. Right-moving shear munching beasts look likely !

March 23

The Setup tomorrow in Oklahoma and Kansas looks good in terms of the kinematics and subtle details but what this setup lacks is moisture and instability. Storms may struggle to mature with the meagre Cape and dew points(50F) but if any of them manage to pull out of the mud we may have strong tornado producers on our hands. The sounding reveals weak capping and an alarmingly curved hodograph with 0-1 km SRH exceeding 400 m2s-2 !

The SPC have labelled a 5% risk for tornadoes around the Central/western Oklahoma and the southern areas of Kansas.

March 18

I managed to take some untracked photos last night featuring 35 shots of Comet 12P/Pons brooks. It seems to be getting brighter every day I see it.

March 15

I know my first photo looks feeble compared to the others but I only managed 1 minute and 30 seconds of exposure time. The Andromeda galaxy, the Triangulum and the Comet are all visible throughout the grainy image.

March 14

A surprise large Tornado on the ground now in Kentucky. Ryan’s stream below

March 13

Comet 12P/Pons brooks is looking better everyday I see the photos. If we somehow manage a clear night here the Comet is easily visible through small binoculars and under properly dark skies it looks to be visible only just through the Naked eye.

Also the Comet seems like a great photo opportunity paired up with Andromeda and the Triangulum.

March 3

I was a bit annoyed the aurora wasn’t a bit stronger so I had to edit the aurora pillars a lot to bring out the colour. Taken around 8PM.

March 3

We have liftoff ! Hopefully this holds a few more hours

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