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SJFCPH1

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Posts posted by SJFCPH1

    Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    58 minutes ago, cheeky_monkey said:

    im 100% sure we are locked into a warm dry winter here in Western Canada ..which can only be good news for the UK and Europe as that's where the cold will go this season...happy sledging :snowman-emoji:

    Yuk...

    12 years in Calgary and only saw one really brown depressing Winter ...

    And as depressing as it is there that was hard...😁 Always saw Ying and Yang between there and here .... 

    Scotland Weather discussion

    in Scottish Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Regarding the madness over in the Mods........

    Things looking interesting...

    I lived in Calgary for 12 years and they're roasting ( compared to normal )Also at the moment Edmonton has recorded 0 Snow days ( so far ) .....Quite unreal....!

    Back here we could be frozen and it's ALL linked...

     

     

     

     

    • Like 3
    • Insightful 1

    Scotland Weather discussion

    in Scottish Weather Discussion

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

    Last 3 GEFS means (again Tuesday eve seems a fair landing zone for measuring time)

    sn10-acc-mean-met-uk-1.png sn10-acc-mean-met-uk-2.png

    sn10-acc-mean-met-uk.png

    Extremely noteworthy. And GEM linking close 

    sn10-acc-met-uk-8.png

    I'd have most of us within an Amber zone and trends highlight a zone from the Great Glen extended east will likely merit a Red zone, maybe I should create the KW warning metrics 😁

    This reminds me of that famous / infamous if you're the 2010 transport minister 😆🤣🤣 stalling front 

    2010 archives-2010-12-6-12-0-png-3678d68664e3

    2023 gens-31-1-36.png gens-31-1-42.png

    A watchful eye on the mid > longer range period I like the JMA (0z was similar) convective easterly maybe on the menu

    animncc6.gif 

    With mind-bogglingly high phase 8 amplitude of the MJO

    I'm expecting continued exciting outputs by end of March as the phase 8 composites link to blocking and further high developments across Greenland 

    Screenshot-20230303-061853-Chrome.jpg nada-8-mar-ok.png

    cfs-0-306scw4.png cfs-0-330lvt0.png

    cfs-0-336yet4.png

     

     

     

     

     

    Brilliant 👏  KW.

     

    With the Model thread split in 2 this is a godsend as saves trawling through them....   😁

    • Like 6
    • Thanks 1

    Scotland Weather discussion

    in Scottish Weather Discussion

    Posted

    19 minutes ago, Northernlights said:

    A bit off topic noticed severel convoys of white artic lorries being escorted on the A96 today . Does anyone what they were?

    Surprised this has not been deleted yet . ? ! 

    Nice n cold tonight..  Raw .

    Saved here from the mountains next few day's. Tonight's Euro model very interesting for next week... But WAY to early to be confident...

    Enjoy the cold had a nice walk just north of Perth with white caps to the west..  FRESH .

    • Like 3
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