First post here so please be gentle on me. Remarkable warmth here this morning for early February and the birds think it is spring. Before too long it looks like changes are afoot which may lead to a quite different end to the month. The GFS model teases us all the time with its wild swings in FI but for what it is worth I think here in the South East our most interesting spell of winter is still to come. Hints of something from the north east look very possible around the 20th and if we are lucky who knows it might even snow. Despite the clear warming in our climate if we get the synoptic set up just right it could just deliver for those of us yet to see any proper snow in this long winter.