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AndrewHamm

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Everything posted by AndrewHamm

  1. Ben Sainsbury Yes its looking that way! Monday looks big time in Kansas. After that not sure where I'll end up (North Texas, Arkansas, Missouri)? Then moisture gets kicked away. I'm hoping we get a moisture return on the 13th or 14th for one or two more days of chasing, but I guess time will tell! Thanks for all the insight @Ben Sainsbury
  2. Now the latest ICON run looks incredible for chasing in OK on the 6,7,8,9 lol. These models are allllllllll over the place. We'll see what the 12z GFS puts out.
  3. Wild day again yesterday! Concerning the long term, the 6th is looking like a big day across the plains. After that, still lots of model differences. I'm still a bit concerned about moisture after the 6th, but I'm also worried that the larger severe threat moves to the MS Valley for the later half of next week, which is not ideal for chasing. But I have been noticing something in models- looks like far west TX, OK, and KS should be getting some much needed rain in the next few days. I don't have much experience in this area, so I hope these aren't dumb questions. But if these areas get rain like forecasted, will this in improve moisture conditions (dew points) in the plains for a while? Could this possibly shift the dry line a bit more west? And are the models compensating for this rain and dealing with the moisture it brings accordingly in regards to severe weather? Hope these make sense, any insight is appreciated.
  4. @WeatherArc@Ben Sainsbury Thank you both for the insight. Latest GFS runs look a bit better but still a bit vague. Hopefully the 6-7th comes to fruition and we get ample moisture and more setups after that!
  5. Looking like an active stretch coming up, starting tomorrow and Wednesday, possibly followed by a short lull. Confidence is raising in a trough kicking into the plains between May 6-7, which could lead to an active few days. Beyond that seems uncertain, a lot of discrepancies between models. Some show almost all moisture getting kicked south back into the gulf for almost an entire week, which would put a halt on severe weather across the plains. I'll be chasing from May 6-14, so I'm excited for the potential on May 6-7, also very concerned about moisture from the 8th onwards. Anyone have any thoughts regarding the long term, especially regarding RH and moisture conditions after the 7th?
  6. What an insane couple days! Any predictions for the next couple weeks? I'm not super experienced, but its looking like early May will remain fairly active, possibly followed by a lull in May starting around May 14? Any insight would be appreciated!
  7. Ben Sainsbury Me too man! Should've gone now. Oh well, hopefully I can get something from May 6-14!
  8. Any updates on the month or so? Wondering about activity in the end of April to mid May. Thanks!
  9. Ben Sainsbury WeatherArc Thank you both very much!
  10. Planning a trip to Tornado Alley this spring. When would be my best chances for tornadoes? My two possible times are either April. 21-May 1 or from May. 6-15. I know things should get started in late April, but I am wondering if I should go later in May to have a better chance. Thanks!
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