Harry
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Posts posted by Harry
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Heavy and potentially thundery rain could spread up from the South throughout the course of tomorrow evening and the overnight period!
Most of France is under a Level 1 watch, so I am of the feeling the rain to come up tomorrow night and for daytime Tuesday could well be an MCS, or thunderstorms embedded in a general area of rain!
Something to look out for tomorrow (or later today if you want to be technical :huh: ) Lets just see how much the SE gets this time round!!!!!!
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Red cells to the NW, rapid intensification to the SE over Benelux
Its just CRAP!
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It's very dark here with a strong breeze starting and rain on and off. Has the feel of a storm but not the look, it's just black from west to east over the coast and Channel.
Was wondering where you were Coast - like the sound of a W to E black sky
HUGE Cu building to my W - why the hell is it all missing us in Kesurex??
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Sky News were wrong then - thundery showers for the SE. Hose pipe ban more like.
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Rain looks like re-organising on the South coast - very milky sky which often would make you think something on the way.
Dark skies to the N & W, blue skies with puffy Cu to the S and E, with the milky stuff behind.
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West of me looks very dark!! Cant surely be the W London cell...unless another is forming.
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As usual - SE remains by and large dry - the major exception, for here at least, was the thundery rain this morning. But that didnt take long in evaporating when the sun came out just before 9am.
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Channel action is looking a tadge more fragmented, lost the reds, but on the whole it is looking more intense. The last hour has seen the predominant colour go from green/yellow, to yellow/pink. And the SE may get some too
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Very rapid convection overhead yet again!! Will anything come of it though....the $64,000,000,000,000,000,000 question (I know its $64,000 but accurate storm forecasting is worth far much more
)EDIT - That gorgeous woman on SkyNews just said of a threat of thundery downpours later on in the SE
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QUOTE (morfius @ 7 Jun 2009, 02:22 PM)
I can confirm the touch down of what looks like an upper F2 tornado in west London.
I will add a damage report once I retreat from my storm shelter.
woahh
hope there is not anyone hurt or any damage
No piccies??
Just put on the BBC News 24 - if there has been a tornado, it shouldnt be too long until it gets on there
And WELL DONE JENSON!
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Turning increasingly interesting over the Channel at the moment!
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Some good convection kicking off over head again - they seem to be towering quite high but its hard to tell when you're beneath it, lol
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Not a wet year here in the SE by any stretch, if anything relatively v dry!
We've had about 70% the avg annual rainfall to date, but would be considerably lower if we didnt have the foot of snow in Feb, which saw monthly rainfall of 130% the avg.
Spring has probably been one the warmest in a long time - just ironic that we should enter June and it be colder than the previous month to two months!
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Big cells now across SW - cells now as they leave Kent and run into N London, showing signs of intensification.
This takes the biscuit!! Though, front in the channel making landfall now around the IoW with almost instantaneous intensification. Quite intense looking downpours across N France also.
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Yeah, the most interesting cells atm on Radar are the ones around the the SW moving slowly NE towards the Bristol area. Gotta say, I was expecting something in terms of storms to have developed by now especially around C-southern areas given the sunshine and CAPE values.
Same here - just wonder if that front over the channel comes ashore enough, and I presume that the time timing should be good, whether that will trigger that available energy into the form of intense and hopefully thundery rain, as opposed to individual cells which at the moment look weak.
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This rain is looking like running ashore within an hour or so??
Can we expect to see intensification as it does - hope so :lol:
UPDATE - That pitiful shower has now faded to nothing in the space of a couple of miles...I'm wondering if the approaching front is killing off the shower potential? I'm not sure of the mechanics of it but you often here forecasters talk of approaching fronts killing off convection before running in.
Lengthy, warm spells of sunshine! If anything, to look outside at the moment you'd think we were under the influence of HP!
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Pitiful looking shower about the pass lol - a face flanel would produce more wetness :lol:
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more sferics over C + N Devon
That's not good for them I feel - the last thing they need is more heavy rain, especially on T'storm proportions!
Some more here would be nice though :lol: am keeping a curious eye on that hook around the L pressure in the channel/N France! Am hopeful that if it follows the same pattern as last night, we may get some intense rainfall at least, may be a banger or two :lol:
EDIT - Well, those cells came to much didnt they...lol! They looked so promising, then, disaster! I know its early in the day, but most indications have been for an early initiation as opposed to late. I am thinking all eyes south to see how far north that pulse gets around the LP
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What is the expectation on the area of precip to the South? Seems to have undergone some intensifcation in the last hour :lol: and at the moment looks like it might run up over us this evening.
Thoughts?
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Finally, I can see brightness on the horizon, the main band of rain is nearly gone and may I just say that the Meto were accurate with this one. All is good again :lol:
The one overhead is getting darker and darker - fear though should it 'deliver' it will have slided past. Though to my south, one cell especially has an exceptionally dark base; I get the impression it is towering nicely but I cant see for this one on top of my house. I presume this is what you can see MW to your West.
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Changing here now, what was looking mess is now looking more and more organised.
A cell coming right overhead, which I have a great feeling, will turn thundery within the next 30 mins to an hour. It seems to be moving N (ish), darkening base! Cant say specifically why, it just feels like it will turn!! Good luck you chaps to my North.
Meanwhile I have a huge cauliflower to my S following behind this overhead cell!
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Those radar returns across southern counties are looking nice!
Sky looking a bit messy here at the moment, which may affected convection! Though, we are at the earliest part of the day, and who knows what will happen as the low moves across to the south
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Btw Harry, your signature has April 7th as a thunderstorm day instead of June 7th
Thanks for that mate
Wow really dark CB to my westRight, eyes are open! Can see some nice towers, and darkening skies towards the south!
Will start to take some piccies I think!
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london and kent late on in the afternoon
I hope you are right Brickfielder
Storm Risk Discussion
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted · Edited by Harry
This is the NW forecast above. MetO are suggesting some heavy rain spreading up across CS and SE areas over night, with lighter rain further W, contradicting the NW forecast.
From what I can see, the rain tonight is coming from a LP system moving out of the Bay of Biscay. This looks to trigger some potent T'storms across most of France. I'm assuming therefore we are only going to get rain, while the potent electrical stuff will stay over the continent....that's a surprise, lol
EDIT - This is beginning to get so tiresome it hurts - SE is forecast some nice CAPE/storm risk tomorrow! Weather forecast - mostly cloudy! All day yesterday it was sunny, blue skies, warm, with naff all! Tomorrow we are forecast the CAPE, but overcast skies!
