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Moisty

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Posts posted by Moisty

  1. I have been a reader of this site for several years but am not a weather obsessive and haven't necessarily a weather type bias but the winter model thread can get embarrassing for the sniping that goes on, it doesn't happen during the summer to anywhere near the same extent.

     

    You have to be brave to post in there unless you want extreme cold and snow but I agree with Mushy most people DONT want cold weather, most people just want to see the sun and they will make do with the cold if they can't get the mild/warm to go with it. Posted Image

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  2. I'm a big supporter of the METO and the BBC forecasts but for about the 5th time in a row a big rain event has been badly over exaggerated for this area. At 8am this morning we would be having rain from mid morning until the evening, light rain arrived mid morning, lasted 30 mins, dried up and then the sun came out.

    They seem to be scared they will underestimate rainfall amounts but events will have been cancelled on the back of the forecasts in the last 48 hours. Not good!

  3. Some people should be thankful for what they had last Tuesday night, those storms completely passed Hampshire by and yesterday amounted to about 3 hours of drizzle, I'm not knocking the MO as I think they generally do a great job but when at 9am on Saturday they forecast rain on the south coast by 11am but it doesn't arrive until 4pm then that's not good, especially when you have events arranged.

     

    We cancelled a walk in the New Forest because of the forecast but actually would have been slapping on the sun cream!

  4. Slightly off topic I know so I apologise but it seems that the last week of July very often brings a temporary change in the weather pattern, be it to warm and sunny or cooler and wetter, no scientific facts to my fingertips but I remember this as its around my birthday on the 24th. 2012 gave us the only decent weather of the summer months. 

  5. I'm not one who desparately craves cold and snowy weather and now its nearly mid Feb I say bring on Spring but I am a complete novice at model watching and I enjoy the interpretations made by posters but its amusing seeing the emotions coming out.

    Most people seemed convinced cold and snow was here to stay when only ECM totally went for it. I think METO were always more cautious and people just dismissed the GFS out of hand. More enlightened members who tried to be rational were shot down in flames.

    The thing I find frustrating these days, depite all the models etc is that the common phrase amongst BBC forecasters is 'a great deal of uncertainty...', this is used more and more which makes you think there are too many models, forecasts and tools now for the METO to use and it justs increases confusion.

    I say NEVER believe in a forecast more than 5 days ahead full stop.

  6. Is it wrong to say I am looking forward to milder temps and hopefully a few drier-ish days in the south next week as seems likely now looking at the models.

    I cant come close to understanding the models as well as others on here but I have learnt to always ignore the MetO LRF, there is never any reliability of any forecast past 10 days or so.

    I do hope cold returns but I am happy to see a milder interlude.

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