Daisy

Anyone seen this article from the BBC? Dust storms affect hurricane activity Thought it was quite interesting Regards, D

Just been looking at NW Radar. Those storms are looking pretty nasty! :lol: Can't wait until the reach here!

Lol , That's exactly what happened to me last year!! (Had to get a few tins of soup in; was convinced by everyones interpretations of the charts that we were in for the coldest Winter since....... !) So close yet so far, a real roller coaster. Of course I know better this year ( Sorrry post out of context now. Didn't realise how much the thread had moved on :lol: ) D

The sloes were so ripe some of them were squidgy! If you rubbed off the bloom they were still a nice purple black colour underneath. I think they are ready (but I am no expert!) Would we have usually had some frosts by now in cooler years? Thanks for the book reference P3, I will look it up Daisy

Encouraged by the posts in this thread I made sloe gin for the first time the other day. It's already turned a beautiful colour and I can't wait until christmas to try it out! I love foraging for for hedgerow foods. There was a good session tonight on the Chris Evans Show on Radio 2, he had a professional forager on as a guest. Would love to go mushroom hunting etc... sounds really good fun!

Yuk! As long as we don't have them over here....

Very funny! Remember looking forward to Mr CSF's posts last winter and you have him down to a tee!

I have an irrational fear of anything that flutters at high velocity! I hate moths and daddy long legs if they are indoors but can cope with moths and buttterflies outside' and spiders and crawling insects wherever. I think it is the noise they make - I completely lose it if there is one in the same room as me.

Thanks very much all for your time and effort. I now need to read several times and digest all the information, so much to learn. I find this really fascinating and really do apprecitate the help I have been given. Good thread Smich! I was wondering if there was a magazine on "meterology for the lay person". I bet it would sell loads in this weather obsessed nation. Maybe a future business idea for you experts?! :blink: Best regards Daisy

Thanks for your replies folks. I don't want to put anyone to too much trouble, :lol: Life's busy enough without annoying newbies! If there are any textbooks anyone could recommend initially- that would be great. (I'm pretty sure my knowledge isn't up to published papers yet!)- I didn't study Geography after the age of 13 so I've got a bit of catching up to do! Best regards Daisy

Hope someone can help me with this... Teleconnections!! I have been trying to understand the posts by Steve Murr and Glacier Point etc... and I am finding it all extremely interesting but it is like trying to learn another language! (Even the help Guide-sorry Steve) I think I have got to grips with positive NAO. Azores high Greenland low etc.... However am I right in asssuming that it is the positive NAO that causes the jet stream (can someone please define "jet stream") to be strong from (the USA or southern Atlantic?) which causes zonality across the UK in the Winter. If the NAO is negative then the difference between the Azores anticyclone and Greenland low is much less causing weaker jet stream and less zonality and hence less mild wet weather as we don't have the relatively warm,moisture-laden lows from the Atlantic and it opens the door for air to appear over the UK from other areas depending upon where the high pressure is at that time. E.g if high pressure is to the North of Uk then polar air masses may move down and then across the UK? Neutral NAO??? :huh: OK now this is where I get completely stumped. The Pacific Jet is this the part of the jet stream that crosses the Pacific Ocean and hits western USA? Is the Pacific Jet the winds that cause the PNA (Pacific North American Pattern) as in Steve Murrs "guide to Teleconnections"? If PNA is neutral, can this have an additive effect on the jet stream, causing a weak atlantic (is this a.k.a. subtropical jet stream??) jet stream to have a kick up the backside?- so perhaps a return to zonality (cyclogenesis?)?? Is this effect augmented further by a Positive PNA? (Negative PNA jet moves to the south of the UK?) Or is this complete nonsense (politely put!) :lol: (Is there a jet stream from the USA or is this the subtropical jet ?- does this move up the Eastern coast of the USA but originates from the Azores High?) Is the pacific jet , jet stream , subtropical jet etc all the same wind/ moving air mass progressing over different parts of the world but in one continuous loop that can be split (bifurcated?) or moved from its normal path to a more southerly or northerly direction according to its strength and areas high pressure?) aagh!! What is the AO? (Atlantic Oscillation?) and then of course there is the QBO, the PFJ...........sorry to use abbreviations but I do not know the proper terms....... .....the ENSO (-Southern Oscillation? -High pressure in the Pacific, low pressure in the Indian Ocean??-something to do with the El Nino-(ocean warming in the coastal regions of Peru and Equador/Pacific??) Maybe we'll leave that one for a while! Plus do the trade winds have different names?? Are trade winds surface winds whereas jet stream is higher? I don't ask for much do I :blush: Sorry to be a nuisance but any assistance (no matter how small) in trying to understand quite complex (IMO :huh: ) topics would be gratefully received. Cheers all Daisy Dullard!

Thank you Chewy2 and Mr S I am often up before most of the board are posting so I'm trying to fathom out the GFS 00Z charts and ensembles myself and then check back on what the forum are saying later. (Have to say my interpretations are generally way off! ) but at least I'm trying! So thanks for all your help folks- you've been great! I'm sure I'll have loads more questions...... D

Hi all, Please could someone help me to understand the GFS ensembles. I think I am OK with the top set of data but what are the bottom lines on the chart refering to? For example, in the chart below there is a very noticable peak around about day 21 coloured in a turquoise /green colour. This is followed by a slightly smaller peak in blue. Could anyone explain to me what these signify? Thanks very much, regards D

Thanks for that question about the toppler Smich, I assumed it went over the top in altitude Certainly learning loads. Cheers everyone Daisy

Thanks very much for help. The thread was useful too, I'm not sure I have understood it all yet. I need to keep reading and going over it. It would be great if there was a night class I could go to. This weather stuff is getting me hooked! I'll be having my own weather station next! :lol: D

Hi all, A complete newbie who knows nothing I am afraid but I am interested in learning more. Its very addictive! I tried posting this on another thread but was totally ignored . I guess everyone else was too interested in the charts to be bothered answering what to them is probably a silly question, but you've got to start somewhere.... I wonder if any of you intelligent folk could explain to me what an outlier is? I see it all the time in the replies on the forum and wasn't sure what it refers to on the charts. I was wondering if it was a "rogue" event that looked like it was going to happen then didn't, or whether it was a finger-like projection on the charts showing much milder or colder air, or something else entirely! If anyone could help explain that would be great :lol: regards D