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Posts posted by tinybill
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just looked at the radar huge amount of raimnnow spreading up over the country again!!!!!
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great video sounds like ozzie needs to check something!!!!!!!!!!
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lt they warm and humid here looked at the isle of white radar/upminster radar large bank of thunderstorms leaving the dutch coast could be driffening to-wards the uk
http://www.upminsterweather.co.uk/test/live_lightning.htm
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In regards to the upcoming hurricane season, while things are looking good for another early start to the hurricane season, i believe that the QBO will be in a positive (westerly) mode meaning that the Bermuda-Azores High will be displaced eastward so that westerly sheer will be prevalant in the Carribean so that the majority of tropical development will occur in the Atlantic, on top of that, i expect El Nino conditions to develop during July, so here are my thoughts for the hurricane season.
May - 0 tropical storms
June - 2 tropical storms
July - 3 tropical storms
August - 2 tropical storms
September - 2 tropical storms
October - 1 tropical storm
In conclusion, i expect a average number of named storms to develop this season with the majority of named storms forming in the tropical Atlantic before curving northward leading to a above average number of named storms hitting the east coast of America, i do expect a above average start to the hurricane season and should no El Nino develop during July, then my estimate may be revised upward.
here are the names for the hurrican season
Aletta
Bud
Carlotta
Daniel
Emilia
Fabio
Gilma
Hector
Ileana
John
Kristy
Lane
Miriam
Norman
Olivia
Paul
Rosa
Sergio
Tara
Vicente
Willa
Xavier
Yolanda
Zeke
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very muggy looks like rain any time just looked at the isle of white storm det showing loads of storms in france
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if you guys are near perry to vidalia acc to the radar you should see some great action
http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?r...1101111&loop=no
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dont know about geting the tea shirts out looking on the weather to-night here on the east coast this weekend looks like its going to pour down over the weekend here on the east coast
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evening looking at at the rardar looks like there top area of interest 1 near hot springs,
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/radar.php?ri...1101111&loop=no
and the other place is near atlanta
http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?r...1101111&loop=no
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That small red echo on the road between Memphis and Little Rock looks intersting as well!
since my last post the area has got bigger
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hi good evening seems on the radar possible tornadoes near west pains
http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?r...1101111&loop=no
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looking at the radar nouthing great going on to-day
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looking at the radar looks like they could have a good first day there looks like there something brewing near barton rouge
http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?r...1101111&loop=no
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weather warning for may 1 st
It appears that there will be a chance at supercells over portions of eastern kansas and northeast oklahoma on monday the 1st.
While it is unclear how - models are in good agreement that there will be a significant increase in the low level moisture in this region resulting in a fairly unstable (3000 j/kg sbcape) late afternoon and early evening atmosphere. It is also unclear just where low level boundaries will end up.... but it looks like there may be a couple of e/w regions of low level focus. The primary front may end up near the ks/ok border.
WNW flow aloft with an embedded shortwave and 40 kts of h5 flow will spread across the threat area starting late in the afternoon. Forcing associated with the wave combined with surface heating and low level convergence should be suff for the development of storms. Deep layer shear of 40 to 50 kts combined with the instability suggests that initial activity will be supercellular. At this time... low level cape and shear do not look favorable for tornadoes. Tho... there is always that slight chance a localized area may have everything come together just right. I would expect some nice late day storm structure and the potential for large hail until evolution toward MCS takes place a couple of hours after dark.... at which time higher lightning photo ops are looking good.
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http://www.weather.gov/radar_tab.php
looking at the radar looks like the weather is turning nice for the storm chasers when they get there!!!
looks like new orleans area is in for more rain
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evening looks like the area arouned fortwoth/dallas is kicking of been reading the local pages reports os 2 inch hailstones there
http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?r...1101111&loop=no
This post has been edited by tinybill: A minute ago
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http://www.bbc.co.uk/suffolk/content/webca...rt_webcam.shtml
http://www.bbc.co.uk/suffolk/content/webca...ut_webcam.shtml
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That sounds so cool, best of luck all :blush:
wish i was there if im about i keep an eye on the dopple radar as there already is good tornadoes there at the momemt!! :blush:
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ipswich
temp
11.1
weather rain
wind
mod-fresh winds :unsure:
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might be daft much cooler than normal 4.0.,at first :lol:
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http://www.upminsterweather.co.uk/test/live_lightning.htm
there seems to be thunderstorms brecking out near liverpool
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look east to night
julie reager said to night the the east could expect heavy snow next tusday coming fron over off the north sea
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looling at our 5 day local weather out look they said the east coast could expect some snow at the end of the week
Autumn And Winter Lrfs
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
rollon winter let us winter posters come back from hibernation, cold weather gales rain looking for snow in the models, glad when sunner over lol