[Model Output Discussion - The final stretch to Christmas]

This last week has really been fraught with danger in trying to predict what would be happening over the Christmas period and as usual, as an avid back seat fan, I've enjoyed everyone expertise and comments!

 

Merry Christmas one and all. 

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion 2]

Just driven through Banstead and light snow falling.

[Snow Watch: London, Ea & Se England]

Based on the blend of all 4 models toinght- GFS, UKMET, ECM & NMM model -

I would have the hotspot for best snow somewhere like-

the south Downs- Banstead- that sort of Area-

PPN Rates through the convective stuff 1mm per 2 hours average- across 12 hours is around 6cms-

PPN rates through the band are tops-4mm p/hour for 4 - 6hours averaging 2mm per hour- = 12mm = 12CMs

Aggregate ~ 15-20 cms-

Thats the sweet spot-

subject to eastward & westward correction-

Steve

BINGO!....thanks for that Steve...I live in Chipstead and have been waiting for this set up for quite some time. Bring it on.

[Will it ever get cold?]

I just couldn’t resist not having a punt at this.

This is my first ever post on this fantastic site (and possibly my last) as I have no qualifications or knowledge whatsoever to comment alongside the more learned amongst you, I have a genuine interest in what the weather is doing on a daily basis and am fascinated in its complexities. I have been a interested casual viewer over a long period of time and have followed many of you and your comments over from the early days on the BBC forums.

For what it's worth here goes...

311206 - London - 1

080107 - King's Lynn - 2

100107 - Peterborough - 2

260107 - Scarborough - 4

040207 - Dundee - 2

140207 - Liverpool - 3

240207 - Blackpool - 2

260207 - Middlesborough - 3

080307 - Newquay - 1