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wintermaster

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Posts posted by wintermaster

  1. The reason why there is always a chance wintermaster is that with these synoptics there is always a possibility of streamers setting up. This happened last year and also in Feb 09 that where not really forecast (until 24hrs or so previously). If your in the model thread you will have also read at some point that forecasting snow is nigh on impossible, it depends on a varying number of factors. The facts are to wait for the cold (which is now here/coming) and then wait for the chance of snow. The uppers are easily cold enough for snow, especially once the very cold air arrives on Wednesday. At present we are see small snow showers/graupel showers with uppers of -6c to -7c (that have not been forecast) which look to be building slightly. On Wednesday night we get hit by uppers of around -12c to -13c (atleast) which will create far more convection off the north sea than we are seeing today. This COULD lead to heavy snowfall, IF other factors fall into place.

    This chart shows the predicted wind direction at this time.

    http://cdn.nwstatic....6/42/ukwind.png

    This would condusive to a Kent streamer (not thames streamer as the wind had a northerly component to it and is not a complete easterly).

    As always, I maybe wrong!!!!

    EDIT - Another point to note is that the chart shows that the wind strength will be relatively strong. Around 30mph coming of the North Sea, this again would be condusive towards Lake effect snow i.e. some type of streamer.

    http://en.wikipedia....ake_effect_snow

    Thank you for taking the time to respond to my post. I am a novice i have been following this site for about 5 years. I really hope your right.
  2. Indeed, I have to say I would not like to be a MetO forecaster today. There is a risk of heavy snow in the SE over the next few days and also a risk of absolutely nothing as well. At the moment it seems they are siding with the absolutely nothing route and it appears that they are already wrong!!!! :rofl:

    -- sitting on the Olympic Park at the moment and it's snizzling!!

    Peope keep saying there is potental for snow in the South East this week. But its not been mentioned by anyone at the Met Office or on any weather forecast. Sounds more like hope casting to me. Read the model thread its all doom and gloom this morning. I sure hope your right though.

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