Frosty.
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Posts posted by Frosty.
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with ack to Met O this is their latest outlook in print on their site, I will post the link in a sec
Starting cold and windy over NE parts of UK with sleet and hill snow. Elsewhere some brighter spells before cloud and rain spreads from the southwest during Friday. This cloud and rain will spread northeast to all parts of the UK over the weekend bringing milder weather to most parts by Sunday. The rain may be preceded by some further snow for northern mountains. After the week-end British Isles will remain unsettled with further periods of rain, though with shorter less wet showery intervals in between. Predominately southwest or west winds will bring milder temperatures, although the far north may see near normal temperatures and some further snow for high ground. Windy condition are likely with gale or severe gales for west and southwest parts at times through the week.
their forecast for the whole UK for days 3-5 is this
Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:
Mostly dry and sunny on Tuesday, but some rain, sleet or snow will reach the far west later, then spreading slowly north and east during Wednesday and Thursday.
the link is
Not much to get excited about in that little lot really. Snow is pointless if it's going to turn to slush and rain after a couple of hours.
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It's going to be thrilling knife-edge stuff between thursday and saturday next week, it will be excellent if the cold air can win a battle against the mild just for once. Major snowfalls are possible for the first time in a few years.
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ECM has been performing poorly of late; so I take this latest run with a large wad of salt.
You might need some of that salt for your garden path soon PP.
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see my blog for your likely weather frosty
Thanks John I will have a look, hope it's good news.
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At least we get Summers
Looks to me like wind and floods will be the main topic in a few days time
LOL you are welcome to your hot sticky summers, we get hot sunshine but always a refreshing breeze which is much nicer. Back on topic, the latest info suggests a change to much colder conditions nationwide next week with an increasing snow threat later in the week although northern and eastern exposed locations will see snow showers from sunday night onwards through to midweek.
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Okay i'll say it for the last time!!
The 6z is aload of gack and real disappointment!!
We heard you the first time. When does it ever get snowy in southern ireland anyway???? Even though the 06z seems progressive it should not be taken as gospel, the models will ultimately struggle with the breakdown later next week, just as it did in March 1996 when countryfile predicted a mild week ahead and it was bitterly cold with south easterly gales off a very cold continent which turned the rain to heavy snow as the isobers kinked. High pressure to the east acted as a buffer, stalling the fronts and feeding continental cold air into the mix for several days.
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Exciting week ahead IMO with a lovely sunny crisp weekend across the mainland, sparkling sunshine under High Pressure with frost setting in rapidly at dusk. A weak front edging south across northern scotland tomorrow with colder showery air tucking in behind bringing the first sprinkling of snow to the northern highlands on sunday night. As the High gets squeezed away south the Northerly winds will drive south bringing some welcome snow showers to eastern britain. Midweek sees a lull with slack pressure but a large dense pool of arctic air which from past memory sometimes proves ultra reluctant to shift. As depressions and fronts approach slowly the winds will become south easterly and strengthen, a potential major snow event could be the outcome between thursday and saturday next week.
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Over on two they have reduced the xmas snow risk down to 15% for the north and 10% for the south. With High Pressure (Bartlett) being over the near continent and a very mild south westerly airflow coming up across the uk, dry for most although the far north west will be more unsettled with patchy rain or showers. They have been utterly dreadful on two with promises of cold Northerlies for the second half of December proving to be utter tripe. If it now pans out as they suggest it will be the most boring christmas weather you could imagine, cloudy, mild and dry= yuck.
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Very Good Thread Bob,
Much more interesting than our rubbish weather this autumn, well done mate!
Karl
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What a pity that this weekend into next week sees an Easterly airflow all the way from Russia and yet temps will be between 15-18c 62f. Most of you would be digging snowdrifts off your path had these synoptics occured in mid-winter. Crumbs of comfort can be found though with High Pressure to the north and east there is every chance of some wintry weather as we slide deeper into autumn.
karl
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The best hopecast I have ever read, unfortunately the greenhouse gasses have destroyed any chances of a return to classic winters of the 1960's, 70's and early 80's. Indeed, if the climatic experts are to be believed we will all boil to death this winter and every winter thereafter........
karl
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Bright and Dry
Few scattered cumulus
Wind N 12 mph Press 1024 rising
Vis 25km and a sizzling 13 degrees
(as in Shetland no heatwave here!!)
At least it is bright there with scattered fair weather clouds unlike here where it is dull with leaden skies and the odd spit of rain blowing in on a light to moderate northerly-north easterly wind, 14c 57f and feels like autumn already.
Karl
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Overcast and cool, light north easterly breeze, 12 c 54f. Little or no improvement likely with a maxima of 15 c 59 f.
karl
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The METO have issued a Heatwave warning which is valid until Wednesday 5th July 2006. They have issued NHS Direct telephone numbers for people who may well suffer from the intense heat and humidity. Temperatures of 35 celsius 95 farenhite will cause railway tracks to buckle and some road surfaces to melt and people are advised to be careful and not to forget the slip slap slop policy when going out in the midday sun.
*END OF WARNING*
Karl
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Currently 3 celsius with a strong easterly wind and light sporadic rain, very springlike, not.
KARL
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Sleet, 3 celsius, strong easterly wind at 35 mph with gusts to 50 mph, lovely morning!!!!!!
Karl
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I think by April we will all be ready for warmer weather but just remember that cold winds and snow showers can occur just as easily on northern hills and the north in general. It is bitterly cold up here with a few snow flurries and biting North wind, temps only 0c despite sunny interludes.
Karl
PS, JOY, Edit drizzly showers to light showers
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dry
i think thats the theme of it. have you ever seen the radar that empty? its like its august
Yes, no radar activity today and yet another dry august day.
Karl
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Partly cloudy, light north east breeze, mild at 5 celsius 41 farenhite. Expecting a high of 7c 45f but sunshine will be limited today.
Karl :lol:
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Today's update:
From http://www.meto.gov.uk/weather/europe/uk/outlook/index.html
Yet another sub-standard forecast from the met office. They have produced consistently poor short to medium range forecasts all winter and it looks like this represents a continuation of their hapless predictions. It is obvious that they have a blind spot to actual events, they failed miserably to predict the heavy snows that badly affected the far north and indeed their interpritation of this was 'a few wintry showers', we actually had a foot of level snow. They predicted a bland drier and slightly below average CET this winter and for that we offer our congratulations but as far as short to medium range forecasting goes they have failed miserably.
Karl
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Cold and after a sunny day there is a build up of high cloud (cirrus), winds are light from the south and temps are hovering around 3c 37f.
Patchy rain predicted tonight, temps slowly rising after an early evening minimum of 2c 36f.
GFS 06z charts discussion
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
It all depends on the potency of the cold air digging down from the north and whether a strong enough cold block can become established. The cold air will fight but victory will ultimately be achieved by the mild atlantic 9 times out of 10.