kippure
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Posts posted by kippure
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And he has a nice stab at everybody, when he says...
"WATCH Standard Met - and the rest - slither and slide as scientifically predicted Solar-lunar-magnetic action give us weather they said wouldn't happen!"
But didn't he just say
Special UPGRADE statements on DECEMBER after forecast errors
I'm confused
This person sums up it up
On 01 Dec 2011, Saskia Steinhorst wrote:
It seems to me that the weather prediction for mid to late November in itself wasn't an "error". The solar activity in region 1343-1342 on Nov 10th, small proton storm on Nov 26 and the filament eruption in solar spot 1353 on Nov 27, resulting in a full halo CME impacting earth on Nov 28 would throw any prognosis for a loop. This actually proves beyond a shadow of a doubt that earth's weather is directly influenced by solar activity (or inactivity) which can abruptly alter any "set" weather patterns. Piers predictions for November may have been "off" but his theory has been completely confirmed again ;-)
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I think we are,
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1.2 here. First of many frosts to come..
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Yes, he's not one for sitting on the fence by the look of things !!
Who's this guy ??
http://www.youtube.com/user/WeatherSchool
Thats all i know. Does a daily forecast.
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Saw the vid, could,nt tell if it was serious....or not...
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What happened micheal fish? Did he get a box in the nose? :o
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What the forecast accuracy or the actual winter? B)
BFTP
lol both
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1878 was another one, not that I remember it but it did lead into a very cold December, and a very oold and snowy winter overall.
That however was a different era and I'm certainly not suggesting similar will happen this year.
I'd quite happily take a re-run of 1985/86 as February 1986 was an exceptional month here but before I get too enthusiastic I'm mindful of GP's winter forecast which suggests a cold start and a possible dry and mild February.
I'll be very interested to see what BFTP's and Roger Smith's forecast comes up with.
I cant wait for bftp.s and rogers forecast, hope it is better then last year
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hello kippure
where is this picture taken?Meall a' Bhùiridh is a mountain on the edge of Rannoch Moor in the Highlands of Scotland. It lies near the top of Glen Coe and Glen Etive, overlooking the Kings House Hotel inn and the A82 road. The Glencoe Ski area is located on the northern slopes of the peak.
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Joe B's thoughts on video for the upcoming European winter.
Pretty much in line with GPs initial thoughts,from what I can tell.
http://www.accuweath...hannel=vbbastaj
Regards,
Tom.
It was not what i was expecting. My heart sank. but i hope we get some snow at least.
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The lecht
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1919 was the coldest autumn of the century, though the following winter was mild and nondescript. October and November were particularly cold, though there was also an exceptional early snowfall event in September (even on lower ground in some northern parts).
http://www.personal....britweather.htm is your friend, kippure.
Is there any particular reason why 1919/20 has aroused your interest? Do you see analogues between 2010 and 1919?
While i was looking at ssts for 2003 they resembled 2009-2010. Thats what made me think we would get a severe winter 09/10. So i begun a troll through presure patterns for september to march. 1919 is nearly a carbon copy of today.
I havent much information on the hurricane season of 1919. But after the new year 1920 was a rather mild winter with a snowying period end of march 1920.
By my reasoning, when the hurricane season is over hp will be able to establish to our west and a repeat of last year is on the cards.
The reason i think we will have a cold winter is, the jet on a south ward track, low solar activity are ther main driving factors.
I see a cold first half of autumn like 1919 and a cold start and end to winter, Not like january feb march 1920.
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Just been looking at the archive winter of 1919-1920 weather patterns. Has anyone any info on that winter to hand.
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This picture is from Firefly from Winterhighland.
Picture from yesterday
http://www.winterhig...e=19#msg-125634
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A while back I said that I would wait to see what the hurricane season would bring to our shores. Right now we have two major tropical systems in the atlantic, and if the GFS is to believed none will make it over as extra tropical features. Instead they will slowly degrade while moving towards Greenland. We did see something like this earlier on this year, with weather systems in the atlantic almost being turned on there heals and going off in the opposite direction. This year it has started even earlier.
The NAO is also negative and continues to be stubbornly so.last year at this time it was positive and brought along with it a spell of wet and windy weather that broke my hubbys wind turbine.
Its been what I would call a benign summer and continues to be so as we move into autumn. I cant see no let up in the current situation. I think we could very well be in for a repeat of last winters slack, very cold airflow, but this time starting much earlier. We just need that air to cool over the continent and we will get what europe gets most years.
There has been another thread about the gulfstream, it has switched off, but it hasnt got the power it should have at this time of the year either. If the southern ocsillation can swtich moods Im sure the gulfstream is more than capable of slowing down as well.
Perfect Summary of whats going on right now. I do see what you are saying about atlantic systems not been able to break through, Low pressure systems are just dieing out in the north atlantic and heading to greenland. When the blocking starts to develop out over the west atlantic like last year, its going to be another cold winter.To me its not "if" any more just "when".
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i had a sprinkling of snow yesterday here in Alberta..was certainly a cold drive across the priarie to Jasper this morning..some spots down as low as -9c
I envy you, Use to work up at Ft MacMurray. Some classic cold winters, well below zero, late ice breaks in May. Hope to get back there soon. Live it up there.
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Severe Cold Winter
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The mans a LEGAND.
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<P itxtvisited="1">MONDAY 3 AM <P itxtvisited="1">LATE WEEK SNOWS LIKELY IN LONDON <P itxtvisited="1">Okay thaw is over.. time for more fun and games. <P itxtvisited="1">The next 5 days will find the upper ridge popping back northwest over Iceland which turns Great Britain into an Iceland. I think the heaviest snows of the season are on the way for the southeastern part of Great Britain ( London) as the deep northeast flow and the very chilly air coming over the water picks up plenty of moisture and the snow flies a new later Thursday into Friday. In any case as we approach Valentines day we find much of Europe in classic cold with the mid and late week maps featuring and icelandic high pressure aloft and plenty of low pressure aloft from Spain to the Balkans and the drainage southwest of cold air back into the west. Make sure you have something, and someone to keep you warm. ciao for now ****
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Some pictures of snow in the wicklow mountains today
where is this picture taken?
Ireland - Regional Weather Discussion
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
1.6c White frost on the Cars