Westerly Gales

I'm a wee alarmed by the Net Weather home page since yesterday. Of all the calendrical months March is the one with the greatest potential contrast. Not even October can compare. This is a scientific fact & can be seen more prosaically by the 3 seasons-in-1 month that March can throw (not autumn!). This has been a brilliant cold start for you coldies (hell for the rest of us!). Thing is that many people will miss the "if the current synoptics stay like this" and rush off to the "coldest March in decades" on the home page. Given what March can produce from cold to hot it is just way too early to start pitching those sorts of ramps. The first benchmark is the 4.5C of March 1996. That's the one to beat really. Cos it only takes 5 warm days in March to raise the overall by 1C. Looking at the midnight runs we should end up somewhere around 4.7C at this present stage. Thing is it could go anywhich way from here: below 4C is definitely possible, but so is above 5C.

Hi - new on here. Is it 2 late to have a crack at this? If not I estimate the March CET will be 7.7C. Cold beginning, warm end.