The metoffice have now moved from below average to above temperature <_< in there winter forecast however they still say it could turn much colder around the end of winter (February) They still say we will have above average precipitation. I have copied there forcast and put it on this post. Forecast for Winter 2006/7 Temperature Following the finely balanced situation of last month, probabilities now slightly favour temperatures warmer than 1971-2000 averages over much of northern and central Europe. For the UK, warmer-than-average or near-average temperatures are the more likely outcomes for the winter period as a whole. However, later in the season, there remains a signal for lower temperatures (relative to average) and an increase in the frequency of cold snaps. Note that even an average winter is likely to include some notable cold snaps and snowfalls. Precipitation Signals have changed since last month, with wetter-than-average conditions now favoured over parts of northern Europe and drier than average favoured in some southern and eastern regions. For the UK as a whole, a winter with average or above-average precipitation is the more likely outcome. Last winter saw much drier-than-average conditions across northern Europe and all parts of the UK - much as last autumn's forecast had suggested. In the south-east of England this was the continuation of a long period of dry weather starting in November 2004, continuing through to the summer of 2006.