mettalfabrik

solar flux at 88 now possible that one of the flares came from area thats not rotated into view yet cheers #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# GEOALERT BRU352 UGEOA 30512 91218 1146/ 9930/ 11182 20182 30182 99999 PLAIN NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 18 Dec 2009 until 20 Dec 2009 PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 088 / AP: 011 PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 088 / AP: 012 PREDICTIONS FOR 20 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 087 / AP: 007 COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to stay at moderately active levels, with risks of C-class flares from NOAA AR 1035. Geomagnetic activity is expected to be mostly quiet with risks of isolated periods of unsettled conditions either late on Dec. 18th or early Dec. 19th. The reason is the possible effect of the partial halo CME of Dec. 16th.

the latest fom SIDC and 1035 #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# GEOALERT BRU351 UGEOA 30512 91217 1238/ 9930/ 11172 20172 30172 99999 PLAIN NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 17 Dec 2009 until 19 Dec 2009 PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 010 PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 011 PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 012 COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to stay at moderately active levels, with risks for C-class flaring activity from NOAA AR 1035. Three C-class flares occurred on Dec. 16th, the first one being associated with a partial halo CME. This CME might increase geomagnetic activity from quiet to unsettled on late Dec. 18th or early Dec. 19th. cheers

latest from SIDC :Issued: 2009 Dec 16 1242 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# GEOALERT BRU350 UGEOA 30512 91216 1223/ 9930/ 11162 20162 30162 99999 PLAIN NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 16 Dec 2009 until 18 Dec 2009 PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 083 / AP: 001 PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 012 PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 007 COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to reach active levels, with risks of C-class flaring activity from NOAA AR 1035. A C5 flare occurred in this AR at 01:35UT on Dec. 16th. This region still has potential for producing new C-class flares. Geomagnetic activity is expected to be mostly quiet for the next 48 hours. CHEERS BLACKDOWN

latest metars southwest\ish ================================================== ICAO : EGDM Station Name : Boscombe Down Time : 15 / 18:50Z Temperature : 1.0°C / 33.8°F Dew Point : 0.0°C / 32.0°F RH : 93% Wind : E (100 degrees) at 8 mi/h Pressure : 1017.9 mb Sky Condition : Broken clouds at 2400ft, Overcast at 3000ft Weather : Light Snow ================================================== ================================================== ICAO : EGDL Station Name : Lyneham Raf Time : 15 / 18:50Z Temperature : 1.0°C / 33.8°F Dew Point : 1.0°C / 33.8°F RH : 100% Wind : E (80 degrees) at 6 mi/h Pressure : 1017.9 mb Sky Condition : Broken clouds at 600ft, Overcast at 2000ft Weather : Light Rain And Snow ==================================================

just driven back from chard right on the side of the blackdown hills 3\400ft above sealevel rainsleet\snow falling there and getting harder just rain down here in ilminster next the levels

hi all the summary for the previous week from SIDC CHEERS :Issued: 2009 Dec 14 1421 UTC http://www.sidc.be/products/bul

it appears that 1034 has just chucked out a large flare tho not earth directed GEOALERT BRU347 UGEOA 30512 91213 1257/ 9930/ 10132 20132 30132 99999 PLAIN NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 13 Dec 2009 until 15 Dec 2009 PREDICTIONS FOR 13 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 075 / AP: 003 PREDICTIONS FOR 14 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 076 / AP: 003 PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 076 / AP: 001 COMMENT: A flare occurred. At the moment of the flare peak, GOES14 does not provide any data of the X-ray flux. From EIT pictures, it is clear that NOAA AR 1034 is the source region. There are on disk signatures of an associated CME. Since the source region is not located near the disk centre, the CME is probably not Earth directed. In ACE data, we see a magnetic field reversal in the Bz-component. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet.

metars for europe as far west as nancy-metz in france luxembourg and sarbrucken-stuttgart germany all showing light snow now ================================================== ICAO : LFJL Station Name : Metz-Nancy-Lorra Time : 13 / 13:30Z Temperature : 0.0°C / 32.0°F Dew Point : -1.0°C / 30.2°F RH : 93% Wind : NE (40 degrees) at 9 mi/h Pressure : 1019.0 mb Sky Condition : Scattered clouds at 900ft, Broken clouds at 1500ft, Broken clouds at 2400ft Weather : Light Snow ================================================== ================================================== ICAO : ELLX Station Name : Luxembourg (Aut) Time : 13 / 13:20Z Temperature : 1.0°C / 33.8°F Dew Point : -5.0°C / 23.0°F RH : 64% Wind : ENE (60 degrees) at 15 mi/h Pressure : 1017.9 mb Sky Condition : Few clouds at 2700ft, Scattered clouds at 5000ft Weather : Light Snow ==================================================

latest rtty transmission from the german weather sevice haamburg general synopsis for northern europe 12zutc just to keep tabs on whats happening in real time WEATHERREPORT FOR GERMAN COAST ISSUED BY MARINE WEATHER SERVICE HAMBURG 13.12.2009, 12 UTCGENERAL SYNOPTIC SITUATION: LARGE HIGH 1036 SCOTLAND, WEAKENING, MOVING NORTHWEST. RIDGE 1030 SOUTHEASTNORWAY, WEAKENING, MOVING SOUTH, TOMORROW MORNING 1025 NORTHGERMANY. FURTHER RIDGE 1020 NORTHWEST OF CAPE FINISTERRE, WEAKENING A LITTLE. LOW 1018 NORTHEAST OF JAN MAYEN, MOVING SOUTHEAST SLOWLY. DEVELOPING SECONDARY DEPRESSION NEXT NIGHT 1020 JUST NORTHWEST CAPE SVINOEY, DEEPENING A LITTLE, MOVING SOUTH, TOMORROW NOON 1017 FORTIES. LOW 1009 NORTHRUSSIA WITH TROUGH 1025 SOUTHEASTERN BALTIC, NEARLY UNCHANGED. HIGH 1040 EAST OF SVALBARD, WEAKENING, MOVING SOUTHEAST. RIDGE 1030 CENTRAL SWEDEN, NEARLY AEED. GALE CENTRE @-4 '3-, WEAKENING, MOVING NORTHWEST. SECONDARY DEPRESSION 989 AT 50 NORTH 30 WEST W NING A LITTLE, MOVING SOUTH.

just decoded this RTTY transmission from the GERMAN WEATHER SERVICE HAMBURG using multipsk some body getting snow and not to far away east WESTERN BALTIC: NORTHEAST TO NORTH ABOUT 3, IN THE WESTERN PART LATER LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS, LOCALT MIY, SEA 0,5 METRE. SOUTHERN BALTIC: NORTHERLY WINDS 4 TO 5, WESTERN PART FIRST 3 TO 4, SNOWSQUALLS. BODDENGEWAESSER EAST: NORTHWEST TO NORTH ABOUT 3, INCREASING A LITTLE, ISOLATED SNOWSQUALLS, SEA 0,5 METRE. SOUTHEASTERN BALTIC: NORTHERLY WINDS 5, SNOWSQUALLS, LOCALLY MISTY, SEA ABOUT 1 METRE, INCREASING TO 2 METRE. CENTRAL BALTIC SEA: NORTH ABOUT 5, SHIFTING NORTHEAST, SNOWSQUALLS, SEA 1 METRE, LATER ABOUT 2 METRE. NORTERN BALTIC: NORTH 4 TO 5, FOR A TIME INCREASING 6, SHIFTING EAST, FIRST SNOWSQUALLS SEA 0,5 TO 1 METRE, INCREASING ABOUT 2 METRE. GULF T TA: NORTHEAST 3 TO 4, INCREASING 6, SHIFTING EAST, FIRST SNOWSQUALLS, SEA 0,5 METRE, LATER UP TO 1,5 METRE.

a good website for monitoring meteor activity http://www.tvcomm.co.uk/radio/live.html

hi Geminids hit max tonight clear skies hopefully http://spaceweather.com/

to back up my earlier post here is the latest metar from jersey airport ================================================== ICAO : EGJJ Station Name : Jersey Airport Time : 13 / 09:50Z Temperature : 5.0°C / 41.0°F RH : 93% Wind : ENE (60 degrees) at 17 mi/h Pressure : 1025.1 mb Sky Condition : Few clouds at 1000ft, Broken clouds at 1500ft Weather : Rain And Small Hail/Snow Pallets Shower ==================================================

hi this chart certainly seems to back up i luv snows last post for some wintery stuff circa thursday

hi and good morning i view this chart every day and its the first one this winter thats mentioned any kind of wintery precipitation albeit sleet for normandy also because its a flight forecast for flights below 18,000ft it gives the airframe icing height down to 2000ft which is also the lowest its been this winter\autumn, i hope this is the harbinger of things to come bryan http://www.jerseymet.gov.je/forecast/jersey/flight.htm

THAT is one reason to get your sunspot data from SIDC although a few months behind the data is obtained from obsevatories using methods unchanged from certainly 1848 and more explanation here http://www.sidc.be/news/106/sunspotnumberclarified.pdf

the latest set of predictions issued yesterday i have my doubts but hey what do i know sorry about the format see it properly here http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/weekly/Predict.txt :Predicted_Sunspot_Numbers_and_Radio_Flux: Predict.txt :Created: 2009 Dec 08 1800 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). # Please send comments and suggestions to swpc.webmaster@noaa.gov # # Sunspot Number: S.I.D.C. Brussels International Sunspot Number. # 10.7cm Radio Flux value: Penticton, B.C. Canada. # Predicted values are based on the consensus of the Solar Cycle 24 Prediction Panel. # # See the README3 file for further information. # # Missing or not applicable data: -1 # # Predicted Sunspot Number And Radio Flux Values # With Expected Ranges # # -----Sunspot Number------ ----10.7 cm Radio Flux---- # YR MO PREDICTED HIGH LOW PREDICTED HIGH LOW #-------------------------------------------------------------- 2009 06 2.9 3.9 1.9 70.0 71.0 69.0 2009 07 4.1 6.1 2.1 70.3 71.3 69.3 2009 08 5.5 8.5 2.5 70.8 72.8 68.8 2009 09 7.0 12.0 2.0 71.4 74.4 68.4 2009 10 8.9 13.9 3.9 72.2 76.2 68.2 2009 11 10.8 16.8 4.8 73.2 77.2 69.2 2009 12 12.9 19.9 5.9 74.4 79.4 69.4 2010 01 15.1 22.1 8.1 75.9 81.9 69.9 2010 02 17.7 25.7 9.7 77.7 84.7 70.7 2010 03 20.5 29.5 11.5 79.6 87.6 71.6 2010 04 23.4 32.4 14.4 81.4 89.4 73.4 2010 05 26.4 36.4 16.4 83.4 92.4 74.4 2010 06 29.3 39.3 19.3 85.6 94.6 76.6 2010 07 31.6 41.6 21.6 87.7 96.7 78.7 2010 08 34.3 44.3 24.3 90.2 99.2 81.2 2010 09 37.1 47.1 27.1 92.7 101.7 83.7 2010 10 39.8 49.8 29.8 95.2 104.2 86.2 2010 11 42.5 52.5 32.5 97.8 106.8 88.8 2010 12 45.3 55.3 35.3 100.3 109.3 91.3 2011 01 48.0 58.0 38.0 102.8 111.8 93.8 2011 02 50.7 60.7 40.7 105.2 114.2 96.2 2011 03 53.3 63.3 43.3 107.7 116.7 98.7 2011 04 55.9 65.9 45.9 110.0 119.0 101.0 2011 05 58.5 68.5 48.5 112.4 121.4 103.4 2011 06 60.9 70.9 50.9 114.6 123.6 105.6 2011 07 63.3 73.3 53.3 116.8 125.8 107.8 2011 08 65.7 75.7 55.7 119.0 128.0 110.0 2011 09 67.9 77.9 57.9 121.0 130.0 112.0 2011 10 70.0 80.0 60.0 123.0 132.0 114.0 2011 11 72.1 82.1 62.1 124.9 133.9 115.9 2011 12 74.0 84.0 64.0 126.7 135.7 117.7 2012 01 75.9 85.9 65.9 128.4 137.4 119.4 2012 02 77.6 87.6 67.6 130.0 139.0 121.0 2012 03 79.3 89.3 69.3 131.5 140.5 122.5 2012 04 80.8 90.8 70.8 132.9 141.9 123.9 2012 05 82.2 92.2 72.2 134.1 143.1 125.1 2012 06 83.5 93.5 73.5 135.3 144.3 126.3 2012 07 84.6 94.6 74.6 136.4 145.4 127.4 2012 08 85.7 95.7 75.7 137.4 146.4 128.4 2012 09 86.6 96.6 76.6 138.2 147.2 129.2 2012 10 87.5 97.5 77.5 139.0 148.0 130.0 2012 11 88.2 98.2 78.2 139.6 148.6 130.6 2012 12 88.7 98.7 78.7 140.2 149.2 131.2 2013 01 89.2 99.2 79.2 140.6 149.6 131.6 2013 02 89.6 99.6 79.6 140.9 149.9 131.9 2013 03 89.8 99.8 79.8 141.1 150.1 132.1 2013 04 89.9 99.9 79.9 141.3 150.3 132.3 2013 05 90.0 100.0 80.0 141.3 150.3 132.3 2013 06 89.9 99.9 79.9 141.2 150.2 132.2 2013 07 89.7 99.7 79.7 141.0 150.0 132.0 2013 08 89.4 99.4 79.4 140.7 149.7 131.7 2013 09 89.0 99.0 79.0 140.4 149.4 131.4 2013 10 88.5 98.5 78.5 139.9 148.9 130.9 2013 11 87.9 97.9 77.9 139.4 148.4 130.4 2013 12 87.2 97.2 77.2 138.8 147.8 129.8 2014 01 86.4 96.4 76.4 138.1 147.1 129.1 2014 02 85.6 95.6 75.6 137.3 146.3 128.3 2014 03 84.7 94.7 74.7 136.4 145.4 127.4 2014 04 83.7 93.7 73.7 135.5 144.5 126.5 2014 05 82.6 92.6 72.6 134.5 143.5 125.5 2014 06 81.4 91.4 71.4 133.5 142.5 124.5 2014 07 80.2 90.2 70.2 132.3 141.3 123.3 2014 08 78.9 88.9 68.9 131.2 140.2 122.2 2014 09 77.6 87.6 67.6 129.9 138.9 120.9 2014 10 76.2 86.2 66.2 128.7 137.7 119.7 2014 11 74.8 84.8 64.8 127.4 136.4 118.4 2014 12 73.3 83.3 63.3 126.0 135.0 117.0 2015 01 71.8 81.8 61.8 124.6 133.6 115.6 2015 02 70.2 80.2 60.2 123.2 132.2 114.2 2015 03 68.7 78.7 58.7 121.7 130.7 112.7 2015 04 67.0 77.0 57.0 120.2 129.2 111.2 2015 05 65.4 75.4 55.4 118.7 127.7 109.7 2015 06 63.8 73.8 53.8 117.2 126.2 108.2 2015 07 62.1 72.1 52.1 115.7 124.7 106.7 2015 08 60.4 70.4 50.4 114.1 123.1 105.1 2015 09 58.7 68.7 48.7 112.6 121.6 103.6 2015 10 57.0 67.0 47.0 111.0 120.0 102.0 2015 11 55.3 65.3 45.3 109.5 118.5 100.5 2015 12 53.6 63.6 43.6 107.9 116.9 98.9

hi all did,nt see any last night due cloud but heard some though! how? check out this brill site for more info.anyone who watches :the sky at night: will know this guy http://www.tvcomm.co.uk/radio/index.html cheers bryan

hi all the EA take on things http://www.environment-agency.gov.uk/news/113215.aspx? after this afternoons episode at 1345-1430 here in south somerset looks like we could really in for it.hardest rain and wind i have had for sometime ,rain horizontal could,nt see across the road for the spray being blown along really quite violent for those 45 minutes

cheers paul ,,thats what its been like down here today foggy! bryan

Hi all as always this morning i have a look at http://www.jerseymet.gov.je/forecast/jersey/flight.htm because i love their pressure maps and their forecasts which are updated 4 times a day this morning there is the term COL in purple on the map as well as the red HIGH and blue LOW Can anyone explain this term please

evening all SIDC PREDICTIONS for the solar flux GEOALERT BRU300 UGEOA 30512 91027 1236/ 9930/ 10272 20272 30272 99999 PLAIN NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 27 Oct 2009 until 29 Oct 2009 PREDICTIONS FOR 27 Oct 2009 10CM FLUX: 080 / AP: 002 PREDICTIONS FOR 28 Oct 2009 10CM FLUX: 081 / AP: 002 PREDICTIONS FOR 29 Oct 2009 10CM FLUX: 080 / AP: 001 COMMENT: Solar and geomagnetic conditions are expected to stay quiet during the next 24h. NOAA AR 1029 is still producing B- and C-flares. bryan

hi all have,nt posted for ages this sunspot looks like it may be a goody ,does any one know the effect of increased solar activity on hf radio propagation as shanwick radio seems to have alot of background noise but more so on certain freqs but yesterday was very good rx wise solar flux seems to be peping up in last few months which i am told is a good indicator bryan

hi all a few pics taken on 02\08\09 on drive up to porlock and lynton and exmoor on the A39 some stunning views across bristol channel to be seen

yes MW it flew over us and was finding it hard going in the head wind.and thanks for the comments everyone and a few more from lands end cliffs at lizard point cheers bryan