[18z Model discussion - snow but how much and where?]

Going by what people have been saying about the high to the southwest, is it looking like rain/sleet for peeps in the SW? Please put me out my misery

[Will it snow in......?]

I certainly wouldnt rule out Snow but it will probably be more sleety if there was to be any wintry percipitation in.

You probably have about:

30-40% chance of snow

50% chance of sleet

50-60% chance of rain

Its difficult to tell for Bristol at the moment i think.

Thanks for your reply atleast I have some hope.

[Will it snow in......?]

Will it be cold enough for snow for lower levels in the South West? Or will it be a rainy sleety mix?

[GFS 06z charts discussion]

Yes that is true, cornwall and devon have been known to see very deep snowdrifts from this type of scenario, I hope every single one of us wil see some lovely snowflakes in the week ahead.

I hope you're right but the ''Will it fall as rain?'' question comes into mind.

[GFS 06z charts discussion]

Im sorry I am trying to learn how to use these charts but I'm still confused :S lol. Does this mean there will be snow coming in from the east and the west of the UK??

[Glimmer of hope model discussion]

I'd say that pretty much spot on with what I'd also expect in a situation like this. Where snowfall occurs would probably be on a rough line from manchester eastwards (pretty much) with rain further west.

If the potentially scenario occurred then I'd say precentage figures such as these below would apply

Aberdeen: 80%

Edinburgh: 70%

Glasgow: 60%

Carlisle: 60%

Newcastle: 55%

Belfast: 30%

Liverpool: 20%

Manchester: 50%

Leeds: 70%

Bristol: 20%

Birmingham: 50%

Cambridge: 50%

Exeter: 30%

London: 40%

Dublin: 10%

Portsmouth: 10%

Brighton: 5%

These arent actually figures but perceptions of what might happen.

So is this going to be snow for east, rain for west scenario? If so bring on summer, I'm already bored with winter which is a change Have fun in the east

BB

[The cold spell]

That might be the case in your location, but in the south, where most of the snow happened to fall in this spell of weather, 2-3cm is a big deal. I don't think anyone in their right mind would describe it as a pasting or anything like that, but it is significant, because it doesn't happen every year. I had 4-5 cm of snow on Wednesday which basically lasted for the morning. For people in favoured locations for snow, that might not seem like much, but for me it was quite major, because I've not seen that much snow lying in my location for quite some time. Therefore, personally speaking, it's been a good cold spell for me, even though it hasn't been at all potent nationwide.

I suppose this cold snap just highlights the differences between the north and the south.

I agree.. 2-3cm is the best for sledging tbh Too much snow and you don't move.

[February CET]

4.4

[December CET]

I might aswell put in my thoughts, i'll go for 3.4C

1st Week - Mild, wet (similar conditions to what were having now)

2nd Week - Below average temps mainly dry

3rd Week - Cold, frosty and dry

4th Week - Cold and snowy. Snow being mainly the the North and West.