suffolkboy_
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Posts posted by suffolkboy_
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48 minutes ago, GSP said:
In the 87 storm, I remember seeing images of swathes of trees down like something had barrelled through a forest. I wonder if that was a sting jet in operation?
They should be doing this now while people are together and can talk more about it, and prepare.
Yes in Suffolk Rendlesham Forrest was obliterated. May well have been a sting jet. We’re not looking at that severity tomorrow. I doubt I’ll see anything like 1987 in my lifetime.
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I've been trying to find where we have seen anything comparable to this in the last few years in Norfolk/Suffolk. The only thing I can find close in the last 5 years is the 18th January 2018, which the MetOffice messed up on, only issuing a warning when the event was already underway. Here's the maximum gusts for that storm, and Friday's storm looks like it will trump this. The storm in 2018 cause a lot of power outages.
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8 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:
According to the BBC app thingy, a mean windspeed of 67mph at 1pm, Friday, is the strongest I can expect. Time to put bricks in your wheelie bins, folks!
The BBC app isn't the clearest. When the symbol is black that means gusts, when it's white it's mean speed. Only shows gusts when they're over 40mph
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Just now, stripeyfox said:
I know we're all weather enthusiasts on here - but I'd really like to wake up to a downgrade in the morning.
If this hits like some of the models are showing then there is going to be a lot of disruption, damage and probably even death for a few unfortunate people.
Arguably you could say the same for any extreme weather. People are struck by lightening, people are killed by extreme cold or heat. People need to take head of the warnings and give weather the respect it deserves.
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Dan Holley talking up Friday’s storm for the East more than the national forecast.
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11 minutes ago, rubble79 said:
When was the last time we had winds like this in the SE? I’m thinking it was around 9 years ago? I know we’ve had a few storms since but I can’t recall the winds being at this strength
28th October 2014 was the last time I experienced such winds in Suffolk, and that was very localised as it was due to a sting jet. 10 miles up the road it was just an average autumn storm. This willow branch flew over 50 yards and nearly hit my grandmothers house.
Im sure there were sustained winds over 40mph in January 2018 (obviously gusting much more) but I was on holiday in Australia at the time and missed it.
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3 hours ago, StingJet said:
Even I have a raised eyebrow of concern now , still at this range , plenty of scope for change .. GFS 18z pub run last night completely downgraded the Storm , only to ramp it up again on the 00z and 06z runs this morning. ECM and UKMet have been pretty consistent over the last couple of days with regards to the evolution of track and intensity. Additionally the cold air mixing in now is an upgrade so to speak with the potential for blizzards across a good swathe of the UK, at least it will be in and out rather sharpish.
I'll not speak of the Sting Jet just yet ... last one I experienced was Storm Kyrill 17th / 18th Jan 2007, a significant number of us UK and Euro SpeedSurfers were waiting patiently at West Kirby, Wirral for the 80+ kt Westerly to moderate to a sailable 40-50Kts
for those who are not familiar with said phenomena
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/learn-about/weather/types-of-weather/wind/sting-jet
The sting jet I experienced was on 28th October 2013 which was pretty localised in Suffolk. I recorded a just of 92mph which is insane for inland Suffolk. It only lasted a few moments but there were trees being cleared for days afterwards. A branch from a willow flew some 50 yards and landed just short of my grandmothers house. It was big enough that two of of couldn't move it and had to cut it in-situ.
I wasn't alive for the storm of 87 but it seems that those sorts of wind gusts were present for a few hours, I'd be very surprised if I see a storm like that in my lifetime.
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Heavy showers already kicking off. Looking at the radar returns, just north of Bury St Edmunds has seen near 30mm in half an hour. With such light winds some places could see some flash flooding today.
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1 minute ago, Blazerblue said:
Looks like the bulk of the rain will be leaving the here just after lunchtime, unless another deluge is on the way or some homegrown storm comes along, so not as bad as it was looking earlier on. But looking horrible further west.
Another band will be coming through just after lunch. Still looking like a very wet afternoon for us. Might get a lunchtime walk in mind you.
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52 minutes ago, Purplepixii said:
I gotta ask, would it not be more responsible for the Met Office to replace the thunderstorm warnings with rainfall warnings? The rate this stuff is falling, and the time it’s taking too, must be causing more issues than the (low) possibility of a thunderstorm?
That's exactly what they've just done. Revised warning for rain now in place:
"Spells of prolonged and often heavy rain will continue to affect parts of England today, before clearing from most areas this evening. 20-40 mm of rain will fall quite widely, with a few locations seeing 50-70 mm within around 12 hours - the wettest weather is likely to be over parts of East Anglia, the East Midlands and southeast England, as far west as Hampshire. Some thunder and lightning is also possible, most likely over parts of East Anglia and southeast England but heavy rain is the main hazard."
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2 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:
Has anyone noticed the vertical line of showers over S Yorkshire that have just developed out of no where?
Yep, saw that. Convergence line I would imagine.
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Cell now gone up in East Suffolk about 15 miles from me, and first rumble just heard
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Sun trying to come out here with a temp of 22.6C and a dewpoint of 20C
Looks like something starting to happen east of Chelmsford going by the radar so convection must be firing up.
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Sun trying to break through here. 22.6C here a dewpoint of 20C. My lunchtime walk is certainly going to be sticky.
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My word it's close this morning. Raining at 19C with a dewpoint of 18C. It's going to be unbearable when the sun breaks through later. Still, give us a good chance of some surface based storms hopefully.
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15 hours ago, Mapantz said:
Those projected PWAT's are ridiculous!
Could be some serious flooding issues.
Reflected in the MetOffice warnings of 30mm in an hour, and 50mm in 2-3 hours.
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-1.1C here wind a keen wind blowing - it feels colder today than it has during this whole cold spell I think!
No thaw at all today with no sun and very low dew points.
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So how cold are we going tonight then guys?
MetOffice latest text forecast says -9C (earlier said -10C). Weatherquest at UEA said potentially -12C.
How low can we go?
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I'm stuck under what shows as light snow on the radar. Have been all day yet nothing is falling. All it's doing is stopping the temperature from falling (holding at -0.1C here).
Hopeful that when the wind turns NE and then NNE later tonight we might see some snow showers that North Norfolk has been hogging.
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I was thinking that we weren't going to be seeing much more snow out of this cold spell but the latest MetOffice video forecast actually looks pretty good for Eat Anglia right through tomorrow and into tomorrow night.
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4 minutes ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:
Just got home! Getting an absolute pasting!! If the streamer intensifies further, then who would rule out a bit of thundersnow!! That would be the icing on this wonderful cake.
Lynn looks like it's getting a pasting. Looks like it won't be stopping for some time yet either. Enjoy
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3 minutes ago, Mark said:
I'm liking the look of that
I just went out in it to get some firewood in, was covered in snow in seconds. I live on the side of a minor A road and it's gone from being clear to completely covered again within 15 minutes.
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5 minutes ago, Mark said:
The precip coming from the North Sea and EA is looking very good. Really hoping it starts to pile through SE London soon.
Any reports from Ipswich area on intensity?
Just north of Ipswich. Heaviest it’s snowed so far this cold spell. Video doesn’t do it justice and lots of fine flakes
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2 minutes ago, NewEra21 said:
Things are definitely starting to pick up on the radar just of the EA coast and towards the Thames estuary. You'd expect these areas to gradually grow bigger and increase in intensity over the next hour or so!!
Well the one of the East Coast of EA is making a beeline straight for me...I'll let you know.
Radar is always a bit unreliable during snow. It hasn't stopped snizzling all day but radar showing nothing
Storm Eunice - 18th February
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Yes there is, for North Cornwall and South Wales, where risk is greatest. Further Red will only follow when/if there's more certainty regarding an sting jet feature etc.