Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Shadow

Members
  • Posts

    153
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by Shadow

  1. Hi there Im in a similar boat, or will probably need one by the end. There are afew of us in this area on the board and we are ALL watching this storm with careful consideration.

    The GFS model did brilliantly forecasting this one.

    Bodes well for the future for the winter.:grinning-smiley-003

    Meto still havent updated from amber to red. However with central area pressure of 956mb and a Spring tide will cause quite severe flooding in the western areas low lying to the sea. Monday is the full moon. At Broaford bay there is a 5.7m high tide forecast at 1830hrs on Monday night that just ties iin perfectly. I suspect other areas are in for the same. Whatever you do, if you are stuck with rising floodwater by a flooded causeway..stay in your home youll get wet but nor drowned.

    Large trees are still in full leaf as well (though wont be after the storm) so there is a high risk of windfall. Even if it doesnt feel windy in a woodland at ground level it could be gusting to 90mph on the top of the canopy of the trees.

    Landslips another major issue,I do have particular roads in mind, but any western area could see it. Shadow, watch the strathcarron to Auctertyre road very carefully if driving on it and whatever you do dont drive on it as night. The Beallach Na Ba Pass along with the rest and be thankful are also likely candidates for majot landslips. Rainfall could hit 75mm in some areas with this storm,perhaps even 100mm over higher ground around where we are and we have already had significant rainfall already in the past few days.

    Be safe everyone xxx

    Thanks for the heads up. Unfortunately my son goes to Plockton High School so he will be travelling back on the bus tomorrow afternoon. If I know it is going to be really bad I just won't send him into school. My hubby is an ambo technician based in Lochcarron and is on shift tomorrow so hopefully he won't get called out in it. I definitely won't be venturing out in it thats for sure. Our tide falls in line with Broadford so quite a high tide for us as well. We have forewarned a neighbour who has his small boat near the slipway in Lochcarron and yesterday he took it out of the water as a precaution. Please stay safe over there in Breakish. Take care everyone else in the firing line.

    Becky

  2. Damn the north-west, how comes you always get the good storms and we rarely seem to get them nowadays? I remember a few years back there was a period for about 4 or 5 years running when we got storms quite regularly or at the very least gales, now it's like once every couple of years we get a gale and we hardly ever get real storms!

    You are more than welcome to get whats coming this way, January 2005 we had loss of life up here and carnage. Have just started sorting the garden out, putting stuff away like the patio table, chairs etc. Hubby has just taken his hovercraft off the trailer and faced it towards the direction of the wind we are supposed to have on monday, if left on the trailer it is likely to get damaged at least now it has a chance. It is 22.8 here now and it is feeling very very muggy.

    Sometimes when the weather is bad here I wish I was still living down South West England. Cricky just looked at my weather station and it says 23.7 wowcray.gif

  3. Seems like the southern event for Sunday though is very localised down the channel, dosn't look so strong inland. There's alot of fluctuation on Katia actually there has definately been alot of suggestion that it could come south but the likelyhood is it wont, but if Scotland has 80-100mph winds then the south would still feel the outer effects of it so 50mph or so still a probability, I remember we had that when Scotland had that big storm back in Jan '05.

    I remember the storm here in Jan 2005 this was before I moved up here in February 2005 there were quite a few lives lost and very severe damage. My now next door neighbour had one of her windows blow out. I would hate to have a repeat performance of that storm system.

  4. A surprise snowfall, so something along the lines of-

    Sunday night- Model output discussion very quiet due to the prospects of the cold clearing by an approaching low-pressure, brining in very mild south-westerlies.

    Monday Morning- Wake-up to heavy rain, GFS looks gloomy, temperature at a steady 12.c, BBC forecast the low to move through quickly to make-way for cloudy mild conditions. Any previous snow patches gone. 

    Monday afternoon- Still raining, even though precipitation was forecast to leave hours ago. New meto warnings for heavy rain with 100mm expected in some places

    Monday evening- When walking home (usually from 30m ASL to 210m ASL) it feels significantly colder, I begin to see my breath the higher up the hill I go. A flake of wet snow drifts past me and within seconds the heavy rain turns to heavy wet snow. I look in amazement to see the snow settling instantly, still walking higher-up the hill there is an evident line of thick lying snow (100m ASL) and almost instantly I'm caught in a blizzard. Visibility very low, road is closed but I have to carry on home. I finally get home and arrive at 10cm of snow. 

    Monday night- The snow continues throughout the night, Meto warnings replaced for snow instead of rain. Over 50cm of snow expected with severe drifting. 

    Tuesday morning- Chaos as 60cm of snow-falls.

    If only this were to happen, sounds fantastic. :yahoo:

  5. A surprise snowfall, so something along the lines of-

    Sunday night- Model output discussion very quiet due to the prospects of the cold clearing by an approaching low-pressure, brining in very mild south-westerlies.

    Monday Morning- Wake-up to heavy rain, GFS looks gloomy, temperature at a steady 12.c, BBC forecast the low to move through quickly to make-way for cloudy mild conditions. Any previous snow patches gone. 

    Monday afternoon- Still raining, even though precipitation was forecast to leave hours ago. New meto warnings for heavy rain with 100mm expected in some places

    Monday evening- When walking home (usually from 30m ASL to 210m ASL) it feels significantly colder, I begin to see my breath the higher up the hill I go. A flake of wet snow drifts past me and within seconds the heavy rain turns to heavy wet snow. I look in amazement to see the snow settling instantly, still walking higher-up the hill there is an evident line of thick lying snow (100m ASL) and almost instantly I'm caught in a blizzard. Visibility very low, road is closed but I have to carry on home. I finally get home and arrive at 10cm of snow. 

    Monday night- The snow continues throughout the night, Meto warnings replaced for snow instead of rain. Over 50cm of snow expected with severe drifting. 

    Tuesday morning- Chaos as 60cm of snow-falls.

    Sounds right up my street :yahoo:

×
×
  • Create New...