Tigers
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Posts posted by Tigers
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Hi,
I`m travelling down to Brockenhurst from Yorkshire for a week this coming Friday and I wondered what the situation in this particular area was like regarding flooding and its associated problems if any? I `ve seen the weather warnings and news etc but wondered if anyone had more specifics
I know thousands of people are having a truly horrendous time down in the South West to put it mildly, hope everyone stays safe and all this rain eases urgently and people can rebuild their lives and livelyhoods
Any help re travel would be appreciated guys as I don`t know the area well at all
Thanks
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Someone mentioned it on the model forum i think
Yes I have also seen a couple of mentions about this around the forums last day or so, think TWS for one of them not 100% sure. Also local forecast and national have mentioned this breifly albeit without much detail at this stage so we may get lucky!
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Sleet has finally turned to moderate snow here
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Very light snow grains here in Tadcaster, bit of sleet mixed in there to
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Indeed!!
I`ve just watched the recently updated one online and its 50/50 again after the weekend showing alot of snow for yorkshire at the weekend then they have no idea at this stage which way its going wether staying cold and I qoute `more disruptive snowfall` or becoming milder!!
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Reading the majority of this evenings posts you don`t have to be a genius to guess their location, there is life north of the Watford gap you know
One set of runs, tomorrow will be different again no doubt it was only around a week or so ago nothing even remotely cold was showing in the models
When will people learn
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At the moment there is quite a big change taking place over the east pacific with a breaking down of the ridge there, the pacific jet is however unlikely to be strong though with energy being pumped into the sub tropical jet, because of this type of pattern you're always more likely to see pressure trying to increase over scandi and to the ne.
So the models will always have difficulty in deciding how far north and east low pressure will get with everything grinding to a halt near the uk, in a sense this is whats been causing the recent model problems, however the atlantic will make a more successful attempt to get in this weekend and into next week, IMO it will win in the south but for northern areas especially scotland this isnt such a certainty.
Hi Nick,
Would that explain Met Office press release yesterday? Could it be they have been studying this carefully too?
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Further wintry weather expected
Snow has fallen across many southern areas of the UK today and now things are slowly improving as the weather front begins to lose its strength. As things return to normal, Met Office forecasters' attention is turning to the possibility of further wintry weather over coming days.
Tonight and at first tomorrow (Friday), ice and fog could well be a problem for some areas, giving some tricky driving conditions. There is also a risk of some further snowfall over parts of Wales and north-west England during the day.
Through the weekend and early next week, there is a risk that weather systems could bring more wintry conditions with snow and ice to some parts. At this stage, the detail of these is not clear-cut and it is advisable to check the latest forecasts and travel conditions over coming days. The best weather advice and warnings can be found on the Met Office web site.
Transport networks are key aspects of the country’s infrastructure and the Met Office works with other major organisations in helping to keep the UK moving
Just read it-
the modelling looks good for snow for the NE & the borders but not at this stage furtehr south- they are getting fairly persistent with this now & a backtrack is less liekly than the last few days.......
S
Thanks Steve
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Hi Steve what are your views on Saturday!
Brian.
Good for the Borders & possibly areas to the SE of that..... you are on the divide....
S
Hi Steve
Apologies if you have already been asked....
What`s your take on the press release from Met Office today with little current model support?
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-->QUOTE(Paul B @ 7 Feb 2007, 04:05 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>Hi Steve, certainly looks like GFS is shifting towards GEM at the moment! Doesn't surprise though as these northeastern blocks are noitoursly difficult to shift.If indeed this does happen (starts the wishful thinking) should we be getting very excited when it does?
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One thing for sure, the Midlands & Wales are going to get a pasting. I don't know yet whether it is going to snow here, I don't know if the front will make it to Manchester. I fear it may stall & stay over the Midlands. Boo Hoo! I have got Thursday off also which isn't so bad, wasn't a bad day to book off eh! So I can model watch alllll night. Anyone else?
Just showed on BBC few mins ago the PPN moving west to east and pretty much fizzling out before getting any further than Manchester by the looks of it.
Are any charts showing pulling in an E/NE if this happens which would be better for the longer term if so?
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A wintry run for us in the North East, with snow showers spreading inland from the east tomorrow, a band of precipitation (likely snow inland) on Thursday, more snow showers spreading inland on Friday/Saturday, and then Sunday looks like a more certain snow event than Thursday up here. It looks to me as if mild air will encroach to almost all areas by Monday on this run, but for how long remains to be seen.
Further south it seems that Thursday remains the main focus of attention though as GP said above, Sunday could easily upgrade...
Has this appeared on this afternoons runs and would you count inland as far as North Yorkhire in that summary?
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WHHHHOOOOOOOTTTTTT!!!!!!!! the bbc midlands weather just said snow thurs' fri AND saturday and temps' of just 3'c!!!!!!! yet the meto said it'll get milder at the weekend?? oh well, i know which one i'm going to cling to whilst at work today lol!! and i'm not gonna listen to another forecast today either.......PROLONG THE DREAM!!!!!! :-)
Pretty much same thing Look North just now also except 2C Sat!!
Think Beeb have access to data we don`t or possibly see updated model runs much earlier than us mere mortals!!
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Cant complain at +12 it has no -10 850 air into northern scotland though, despite net-weather radar overlay already showing it in scotland right now??
The bbc site has been completely updated now makes very interesting viewing
What`s BBC site saying?
Looks same as earlier to me
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"could go as far south as north France, could go as far north as Manchester"
Oh dear...
Classic forecast but at least if the uncertainty is as bad as he suggested it puts the models current wobbles into perspective
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Ignore those 5-day forecasts. They seem to be mostly wrong more than 48 hours out.
What time the ECM ens out?
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it has no -10 850 air into northern scotland though, despite net-weather radar overlay already showing it in scotland right now??
South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 26/1/14 12z ------->
in Regional
Posted
Thanks Karlos much appreciated, sounds like should be relatively ok then, at the moment anyway!
Take care everyone effected