10th of january I asked Piers Corbyn about the coming cold.... I asked him that models are showing cold coming but it also pushes the cold back with each run or looks like the models are not sure........ Here what he said... Thanks Mr Syed. YES. Two things. (i) The MetO BBC forecast issued 1300 Wed 12th reduced Sat London Forecast temp from 12 (fc 12 hours earlier) to 10C. (ii) THEY ARE NOW ADMITTING (as 1300hrs GMT on BBC news24) IT WILL TURN COLD NEXT WEEK (date not given), map showed whole of Britain & Ireland in cold pool... So HERE WE GO AGAIN! I wrote on 9 Jan on the 'New Year...' thread:- EITHER Our 11-14 period (80% confidence in our long range) holds and the milder air is forced to stay South giving colder than standard maps; OR The mild largely gets through but it then turns much colder 15-17 Jan (85% confid). We also have continuing cold/very cold+snow later. Whatever way Joe's 'No more cold plunges' this winter assertion will not succeed I say with 99% confidence. Thanks Piers