Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

lutfishah

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    41

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Posts posted by lutfishah

    Winter 2012/13 Pt 5... Expectations, Hopes And Wishes

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Hi guys

    I have seen Piers Corbyn forecast for october and november... And i must give him credit that his forecast for october was perfect. He spoted the october cold in the beginning of the month. Now november the forecast is infront of me. and there are cold periods in the beginning of the month but I'm gonna watch the period from 12-20th of November. If what I see from the forecast is true in the coming day then I have to say that Piers Corbyn is a good forecaster.

    The dates of october cold were sooooo perfect....

    Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    I am going to trial a prediction for the next month in order to see how possible it is to predict stratospheric events. Here it is:

    I am going to suggest strong wave activity will lead to a Canadian Warming(CW) middle to last third of November.

    This will follow the snow cover growth in October leading to the stratospheric feedback. The analogue years when this has happened previously are good, and this October's Eurasian snow cover will be promising and tropical ozone levels will have recovered somewhat.

    I suspect any warming will follow on from MT activity prior to the waves entering the stratosphere in around 2 weeks time.

    We haven't seen a CW for over 10 years.

    Good luck chio.. Posted Image

    London & South East England - In Between The Cold Spells Discussion Part 30

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    10th of january I asked Piers Corbyn about the coming cold....

    I asked him that models are showing cold coming but it also pushes the cold back with each run or looks like the models are not sure........

    Here what he said...

    Thanks Mr Syed. YES. Two things. (i) The MetO BBC forecast issued 1300 Wed 12th reduced Sat London Forecast temp from 12 (fc 12 hours earlier) to 10C. (ii) THEY ARE NOW ADMITTING (as 1300hrs GMT on BBC news24) IT WILL TURN COLD NEXT WEEK (date not given), map showed whole of Britain & Ireland in cold pool... So HERE WE GO AGAIN! I wrote on 9 Jan on the 'New Year...' thread:- EITHER Our 11-14 period (80% confidence in our long range) holds and the milder air is forced to stay South giving colder than standard maps; OR The mild largely gets through but it then turns much colder 15-17 Jan (85% confid). We also have continuing cold/very cold+snow later. Whatever way Joe's 'No more cold plunges' this winter assertion will not succeed I say with 99% confidence. Thanks Piers

    Winter 2010/2011 Part 3

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    A couple of things to highlight here.

    But the official forecasters have said that this winter could be unusually mild and dry, with temperatures at least 2C more than last year’s big freeze in which snow and ice caused travel chaos across much of Britain

    A spokesman for the Met Office said: “This is not an official forecast, it’s data that would form part of a longer term prediction.

    “If you look at the whole picture across north west Europe, there’s a higher chance of a cold winter than a warm one.â€

    Now take the first paragraph, temps upto 2c warmer than last year's big freeze. CET for winter 2009/10 Dec 3.1c, Jan 1.4c and Feb 2.8c. The actual running mean CET is Dec 5.1, Jan 4.2 and Feb 4.2. So temps of upto 2c more than last winter would bring an average winter at worst.

    Last paragraph is very significant. Now taking on board I don't see that they are really predicting a mild winter. They also mention that no data from La Nina or NAO are taken into account so IMO.....headline grabbing journalism.

    BFTP

    Totally agree with you....

    Winter 2010/2011 Part 2

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Hi guys,

    This is my first post for this year... but I have been reading all posts cool.gif.. nice to see you all

    Well here is a link for the joe laminate floori's Europe winter update before his full winter forecast for Euorpe

    European August Heat and its Connection to the Euro Winter

    http://www.accuweather.com/video.asp?channel=vblog_laminate floori

    what do you all think??? :)

    Hi guys,

    This is my first post for this year... but I have been reading all posts cool.gif.. nice to see you all

    Well here is a link for the joe b Europe winter update before his full winter forecast for Euorpe

    European August Heat and its Connection to the Euro Winter

    http://www.accuweath...laminate floori

    what do you all think??? :)

    Oo ... whats wrong... i cannot post joe's name here.... lol

    well .... type "Joe b video blog" in Google.

×
×
  • Create New...