azores92

looking at the latest radar i think its almost fair to say the worst of the rain is over. the front is dissipating a little bit. i think a weather warning for the south-east is a little farfetched.

parts of the midlands have been badly hit. torrential rain non-stop here today on my visit to brum. at least 15mm i would say so far.

so really there is nothing to say that el nino or la nina impacts the NAO?!

i have stated it before, and i will state again, this is probably just a blip to the system with a strong la nina, as many people have stated before, if next year has a negative NAO then im sure a milder blip is not too far away. the question is, will these strong la ninas that we are currently experiencing get stronger in the future. if so, then these cold winters will become more common, and of course, the cold winters will not be so evident in the uk. however, if el ninos gather strength, which is more unlikely, then global temperatures will be higher, and people will start to worry about AGW once more. for us to determine what the temperature around the world is likely to be come 20 years, we need to know the effects of CO2 on the stratospheric system, pressure systems, the NAO and el/la nino/a.

can i say; i'm neutral towards this argument. the thought of a colder spell strikes me as being a little farfetched, but anyone is entitled to their opinions. the other day on the accuweather website i was reading that this cold spell is a one-off event, due to an unusually strong la nina present. however, in the next few decades, i still believe there will be a bias towards stronger la ninas, and to some extent that the statement this man gave has flaws in it. so i can see some deep fluctuations within the next century; some very cold years, and some very hot ones aswell. hopefully next winter will have a moderately low NAO, so we get some good precipitation which will fall as snow!

damien although there is time to change, i do not think any records will be broken next weekend. imho i think the most likely outcome is several centimetres to higher ground across some parts, with wetter snow and sleet to lower parts. correct me if im wrong, but thats what its shaping up to be. i wish it will change for the better

can i ask someone, what is the likelihood of this year being a positive NAO year? many thanks.

dry?! we've nearly had 24 hours worth of persistant rain!!

well lets just say if that pulled off, virtually all of the uk would be in the grip of a snow event. the heart of the low is enough to give whiteouts with the tight isobars,in scotland and even the southern uk is at risk for strong winds. possibly a little overplayed, but we shall all see what bbc weather predicts for monday by eight pm.

can someone answer my question please? la nina is expected to disappear by the end of the year, implying perhaps a better winter?!

to summarise record breaking temperatures hit part of central england(-10), with plentiful frosts, and snow was in very short supply. come on next winter, just imagine what would happen if 1963 happened all over again. the website would have to close down due to so many posts!

so what do we think about the winter. some are suggesting a temporary halt to la nina, after a gradual weakening throughout 2008, and some are suggesting yet another mild year. i personally dont know, what do you think?

the question is; what does next winter hold, and is it gonna be a lot better than what we have had so far? i personally believe that this warming trend cycle may be broken next year as a one-off, but noone knows. the charts throughout 2008 show a mixed bag, some months well above average and some below. winter of next year hasn't been predicted yet, so we shall have to wait and see. what do we think?