BendertheRobot

Good luck. You might do ok with sun later I hope. We're off there tomorrow for a day and night. Looks ok.

Main roads are fine, no issues at all. Thawing well on them too, perhaps due to the slightly different nature of the snow. Well played by the Met Office IMO, no need for a red.

A gentle reminder that, if you go to your user settings, you can add your location to your username.

That's really all up to you. Demonstrate, using charts and knowledge, why he's wrong. Other twitter users will then make their own mind up.

Derek is, as far as I recall, still skiing. So any forecasts will simply be a repeat of the Chief Forecaster's assessment. He's retweeting what some of the charts currently show. How about, if you want to call him out to the BBC, just post on his twitter feed and debate him?

He hasn't. Not really, he's been posting some temps and arpege charts. Anyhow, my post was a bit tongue in cheek, he has and will be reporting on snow as he's currently skiing

I'm 100% certain Derek will be reporting on snow this week.

Yeah, seems reasonable. It's unexpected given the massive wind speeds, you'd expect the wind to force the snow over the obstacle at such speed it wouldn't have a chance to drop. I suspect some sort of vortex effect. It was remarkable, driving around today at just how many places exhibited it. Even on our street, which faces East, the snow came up, to the end of the cul de sac then settled on my neighbours drive opposite (his house faces South, so the walls are East and West) squarely up against the West facing wall.

Perhaps my compass is off but, why so many drifts on the west side of walls in an easterly? All the monster drifts in Ogmore are on the other side of the wall than you would expect?

4am this morning we had a few extra inches, and total road coverage. That had gone by the time I got up at 7. Garden pretty much green again now. A very quick thaw indeed. The drifts will take a while to go but the main stuff will all be gone by Monday in many areas. Next weekend looks fairly unlikely given how relatively close we are in the models.

Wonder if the GFS signal for next weekend is a result of the 2nd SSW?

The motorway webcams really do demonstrate why the Met was right to time the red for 3 pm

Spot app forecasts are always pretty poor as indicative, but the latest Net Weather one is actually quite worrying. And an upgrade on earlier.

M4 Junction 33

It doesn't. It says 6, then heavy snow till 2 am

The red warning started for SW and Wales 1hr an 40m ago. The MO will over estimate the arrival so that people can be safe. It starts on the South Coast so stands to reason that it won't therefore be immediate. And it makes sense to bracket two regions together expecting, on a northerly track, one to get hit before the other. Look to the SW England thread, go from there.

What time does the Met Office app state heavy snow for Porth?

Well, it's going to be more intense precipitation with more wind. Visibility will take a big knock.

If you're feeling blue, just have a look at the radar, there's hours of it out there, it varies in intensity. But it's coming. No need to panic. It's exactly as predicted, hours of light snow leading up to the main event.

Just made it back from Cardiff to Pencoed. Much heavier in Cardiff but people, sensibly, making their way home. University(ies) now closed. Lighter in Pencoed but hunkering down for the main event.

I've a good feeling about this one. I'll go 20, 25-30 for north of Cardiff.

It's bonkers here. M4 shut, house rattling, trees down, main line suspended (wind has smashed level crossing barrier), wall down at Tesco (it had partially fallen over already due to an accident).

I think, because of the existing cold, this one has some capacity, particularly given today's slight thaw. Interesting times.

Aye, NAE looking fruity. Only needs a 50 mile northwards shift to be chaotic during the working day.

No criticism of them intended. They've been excellent. More a comment on sods law than anything. Their performance has been excellent but what are the odds on them being hauled over the coals based on a safely issued amber that never happens.