qseghj6
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Posts posted by qseghj6
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The lower resolution on the ECM (24hours) can be deceiving; the chart at T168 could look very different as it evolves in and out over a period a few hours, the –8c to –10c 850's would bring great instability as they push in from a relatively warm north sea. Many eastern areas of the country would be at risk of heavy snow, with moderate falls pushing well inland.
Have noticed someone saying it's crazy talking of snow depths at this stage, remember this is the model discussion thread and it is here to discuss what the varying synoptic could deliver and evolve into.
Do you think from a true blown easterly it would be possible to predict potential snow depths or streamer likelyhoods purely from sea surface temperature ?
Do the models take this into account ?
Its looking relatively mild out there !
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May be of use for those that want to see what is going on upstream.
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WTF is that the end of the world??
Thats what I thought day after tommorow ! I dont think I will trust the russian models
http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/wmce_cartes.php?&ech=30&mode=1
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A Weird thing just happened.
We had a snow shower about an hour ago which topped up our 7 inches with a further quarter of an inch. Just been outside and not a cloud in view but its snowing from nothing !
Can see the stars etc but shiny small crystals are falling moderately. Never ever seen anything like it before
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I'm sure there is an archive charts from 1963 which is similar? It might be around early February 1963.
http://www.mikett.plus.com/winter-62-63-maps/february/index1.htm
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Last year at this time the models were not as reliable due to lack of data input over the festive season. As we are at the same period now is the same thing likely to affect the next few runs ?
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Sorry I'm gonna be REALLY annoying, Pure snow from the start, Nearly 4 new cm's to now. Temp -0.97 DP -2.5
Same here !
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if they reach sheffield they should reach here
Just been standing outside looking west towards the pennines, you can see really beefy looking showers and as they move east they are simply vanishing. Not looking good for sheffield atm
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Temps in Newcastle are hovering around 0.5c and its hammering down with snow and laying.
tyne bridge cam confirms this !
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Yup - of course, snow lover for ever. And, to be fair, convection of snow, wind or rain, is pretty much the same thing. That's why I gave an area 400 miles wide and 100 miles tall for the two or three events ... lol
Hi Nick,
Do you think a stingjet is possible from this ?
Dan
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I think that living for 37.7 years of my life in Solihull. This would be the 4th in comparison to 1978, 1982 and 1991 for snow and cold temperatures.
Now where are the global warming brainwashing anarchists now?
The silence is deafening.
Phil.
They will be back, hopefully not in greater numbers. They will proclaim that the global economic downturn is causing less CO2 emissions around the globe, that its a temporary blip and we will be back to warming in 10 years.
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I have just spent the last hour or so reading the forecasts at the bottom of the 62 / 63 charts and wishing this year would compare !
http://www.mikett.plus.com/winter-62-63-ma...uary/index1.htm
http://www.mikett.plus.com/winter-62-63-ma...uary/index1.htm
http://www.mikett.plus.com/winter-62-63-ma...arch/index1.htm
Enjoy
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moderate snow grains in S20
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With Christmas Day now at t + 384 on this mornings GFS 00z operational run we have our first hint as to what the day itself might bring :lol: It shows high pressure centered over Ireland with mildish temperatures. The good news is that the GFS will probably show a dozen other scenarios between now and the day itself.
Like this one ?
Storm Doris - Atlantic Storm 4
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Just gone round same with VIR873P