Jupiters Winter
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Posts posted by Jupiters Winter
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All Snow East Birmingham. Heavy but small flakes for now.
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Sleet. East Birmingham.
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T144 Still holding onto excellent Uppers. The next T's are important and decisive of trend.
T168 - I cant see atlantic winning here in next few frames. More undercutting possible ..
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Lovely ECM upto T120. Snowy snowy T96/T120
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hmm problem at 150 hrs,low does not disrupt and go south on the oz!!
Big differences between this and the previous GFS run. Not to worry about I suppose now that the models have begun to trend towards the ECM. And STEVE was correct to say a day ago. GFS 8-10 runs will do what it has done so far. Trend towards the ECM. Even though after T144 it loses the heights on this run.
Edit; spoke to soon, It is a late horse run. Gets there at the end and probably about to deliver a eye candy fi.
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Oh and the UKMO big step towards the ECM. A good start to the day. With more improvements throughout the day.
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GFS trying its best another run tilting towards the ECM solution @ T96 so far.
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Interesting +T144 charts of the ECM coming up by the look of things...
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mad snow . east birmingham now
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heaviest so far this winter East Birmingham now.
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Oxygen for my snowman. 1cm covering so far. NAE looks good for the area aswell as the radar.
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UKMO still undercutting but After T72 pattern seems unreliable. Never the less two in a row for the UKMO..
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The good old lamposts!!
Here we go, and it's still coming down the same rate, we're getting slowly whiter now :-)
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Jet profile :-( Atlantic in on this run after T120. Poor heights up north. 6Z and a sunday comes into consideration here.
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GFS precipitation charts are never so accurate... The higher resolution NAE model provides better precipitation details closer to the timeframe.
Wow i like that chart alot cheers jupiters thanks for the info, i am new to this so how come the gfs looks completely different regarding snow line.
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Jet strong southerly tracking. length of cold increases on GFS.
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Excellent GFS out to T105 - Snow cover and -14 seen as a Minimum around Oxford. My oh my.
@ T120. I have no comments. Frozen lakes, frozen pipes. frozen sheep, frozen everything. V tricky week acording to GFS.
Im not a ramper but this run has tapped in the signals.
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if upto High resolution was not cherry enough. T192 + till the end is simply undescribable
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The jet must be overcooked at T180 Knowing the GFS at this timeframe. I think I should stop viewing here now.
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GFS magic @ T126. The usual westward corrections.. Face value as it stands ... Well done ECM.
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All the 12Z OP runs look stunning but very likely to be edging towards the colder end with little Ensemble support. Forthcoming OP run Downgrades are very likely with maybe a north westerly component for a few days to become visible on following runs.
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That is another potential chart @ T144, the very last frame. The same/similar potential that should have been nearer to T96 by now has not come to fruitation YET.
Ensembles were reasonable, probably another top end OP run early doors.
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<Reliable timeframe, which according to GFS00Z run should be nearer to the T72 mark>
So a new thread starts a disappointing morning in terms of cold progress being knocked back consistently now.
GFS 00Z run downgrades. UKMO 00Z Not so good either. ECM maybe delivers somewhat better. Important 12Z's today.
Spring Model Discussion 21st March 2013 006z onwards...
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
It is a win win situation for you.. The mild will have to come soon.