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Posts posted by Golden Hound
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I really hate this weather, it causes more disruption than a heavy snow fall, I have 3 dogs and they are feeling it too, I have a camping weekend starting tomorrow been planing for ages in Kent, with temps approaching mid ninties f this is going to be a problem until Saturday by the look of it. On top of that we had no rain here since June 2nd, and the very weekend I go away its gonna be the hottest day of the year and its gonna chuck it down with rain as well.
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Can someone give me a quick update as i've been busy all morning and am slightly confused. According to a text message from my brother the BBC were forecasting heavy snow for my location and I quickly dismissed this and said it won't affect us. So my question is did the BBC predict this for Cambs on Sunday? I am at a loss why they would predict this because in my opinion any precip will remain many miles to the S of me.
The best chance in my opinion for snow across E Anglia is tomorrow afternoon although not expecting very much.
I will add N parts of E Anglia for Sat, S parts could see snow on Sunday i.e Essex, Suffolk.
I just watched BBC Look East weather report for the weekend, currently they forecast a few snow/sleet showers to pass through early morning Saturday then late Saturday night into Sunday a weather front from the south pushing up meeting the cold air and then they sounded unsure what type of precipitation, could be rain or sleet or snow!. In my location a saw gritter trucks this morning applying salt to some of the roads already so they must be expecting snow or ice i guess.
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Based on what I've seen, he's pretty much spot on.
CAPE/LI, shear, heat, humidity, lapse rates, pretty much everything is perfect for severe thunderstorms, potential for supercells and/or MCS and/or bow echoes.
There is potential for several hours of torrential rain, frequent lightning, large hail (Estofex thinking potential for hail upwards of 5cm, but maybe this is more reserved for France), strong wind gusts and yes the potential for some tornados (and NOT necessarily the 'mini' variety).
All in all its an exceptional period of weather in the coming 36-48 hours with many areas of England and Wales in particular at risk of this severe weather.
Tonight the highest risk of severe appears to be London and the Home Counties (with Kent, Sussex, Surrey, London, Hampshire, Brighton & Hove and Essex at the greatest risk based on Estofex' thinking) though the risk of intense thunderstorms generally anywhere from Kent to Devon and northwards. Tomorrow the focus shifts to home grown thunderstorms once the overnight action has moved off, with the potential for some intense, severe thunderstorms to break out anywhere really across England and Wales and perhaps S Scotland. Then there is some variability in the models as to what may happen tomorrow night, with some including the UKMO pointing towards yet more widespread thunderstorms breaking out from the South and spreading North tomorrow night and through Sunday morning. Sunday at the moment seems to be largely down to what happens today and tomorrow. If for whatever reason the introduction of fresher Atlantic air is delayed, the threat of more severe weather persists chiefly across C and E England. If the CF has cleared through by this point, then potential for some 'UK standard' heavy and thundery showers, most likely again across C, S, and E England.
That's the best I can summarise it at this stage - basically there's a lot of uncertainty (as always with convective weather), as last night proved with a far wider outbreak of very active thunderstorms than was anticipated.
Whatever happens, stay safe and do bear in mind these storms are not expected to be our usual stuff - frequent, rapidly developing and severe thunderstorms appear likely with the threat of potentially dangerous weather (certainly by our standards anyway)
Good luck one and all
Thanks, living at the bottom of a hill that runs for almost a mile means flash flooding for sure, seen it several times already this year but about 14 years ago we had a good hour of real heavy rain and the road became a river about 2ft deep.
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2013 Annual Ipswich, Suffolk. Very dry this year, just 164mm so far. Source: http://www.ipswichweather.co.uk/Current.htm
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Gotta go to work now, will be driving till 1am, wondering if its gonna be possible after 8pm, will the drain covers get lifted off with flash flooding? hasn't happen here for 4 years or so.
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Looking forward to whats about to unfold.
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It's a good start!.I spotted this on the shelves in Sainsbury's a couple of weeks back. Does it count?
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Same here, dislike it intensely, quite enjoyed the weather earlier this month, warm dry air, but this unpleasant. Can't wait for the first flakes of snow!.It's SO SO humid here, more so than it's ever been all year so much so my head is banging
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What's the storm situation for East Anglia for the next 24-48 hrs?
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Why can't the Met Office/BBC get their weather forecasts correct? even for 24hrs in advance they have not been accurate 3 days in a row. When I went to NYC, the report I watched on TV was dead on balls accurate, predicting exact time of arrival of rain, timescale and quatity of precipitation. Now they are having this meeting to discuss whats up, well they scammed us by calling it global warming, then when that dont fit they scam us with climate change, now they have a meeting to figure whats going! Its called nature.
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Agree re above, also there are reports of dogs becoming very sick and worse because after a walk they lick their paws and ingest the salt which can lead to severe de-hydration and the de-icing chemicals can be fatal to dogs. Screen wash contains ethylene glycol. I love the snow, but but it may be a good idea to wash/wipe dogs paws in fresh water before they lick themselves.
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Hey you guys in the west can you quit pushing your mild weather over here in the east!. Been sub zero and kinda snowy all week and thats how I want it to stay. Thanks. Lol.
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-8c, cloudy. This is in the town centre!. Was reports on weatherquest twitter of -18c in Norfolk yesterday morning, not sure if this has been confirmed.
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Wow,-7.4c, wonderful.
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Typical, they forecast we snow get nothing (yesterday) today forecast dry and a nice snow shower dumped 1/2in just now. I'm now going out to make it yellow!.
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Its certainly expanding on its eastern flank, and that thames estuary feature continues to look interesting. Plenty of reports from the E coast please!
Im delving into the midlands thread to see reports there
SK
Still Nothing in Ipswich, I'm thinking a drive out to the coast is in order.
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anyone else going to be watching country files weather forecast with eager anticipation??? even though it is the BBC
I'm ready for it, laugh out loud!
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Doubt it, just been speaking with Paul Knightley (Meteogroup) on Facebook and said not to expect any disruption as not much showing shower wise after tomorrow's event passes through.
Dont forget to post yer pictures those of you in the North of our Region, suppose a 40 mile drive North would not be outta the question if the roads are clear, can make Ipswich in 40 minutes from here!
Will post if Ipswich gets snow worth mentioning, currently dry, sky partly cloudy.
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What radar is everyone using?
I'm using met office radar, looks to be at Lowestoft at 1800 hrs. I have just cleaned one of my windows!, lol so I can see the lamppost clearly!
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Large area of precip currently in North Sea moving south west, similar to thunder snow event on Suffolk coast 3 years ago that was not forecast or expected, dumped 3in of snow in 2 hours!.
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Sorry Mods if this is of topic but i've been longing to say this.
I can't tell you Ian how envious I am of you. My dream has always been to have a career in something I am passionate about and its clear Meteorology is more than just a job to you. I enjoy your contributions on this thread also love your forecasting style on TV. The last TV forecaster who in my opinion had a similar passion was a chap called Jim Bacon on Anglia weather. I wonder what happened to him?
Jim Bacon runs a weather forecast business in Norwich called Weather Quest, he still broadcasts weather forecasts on BBC Radio Suffolk and BBC Look East TV.
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
in Regional
Posted
Current situation in Ipswich, I’m heading east to near the coast, looks heavy there.