will_wonka

I know the more "experts" amongst the squad here are stating the next shot of chilliness will come, but timeline wise over the past month or so it's gone from generic Feb, to first half Feb, mid Feb to now end Feb / early March by some here. Truly pin the tail on the donkey. i know "scientifically and with modelling assistance " 10 days is a good benchmark for future potential will it / won't it get cold / mild but frankly it's still guesswork and pattern interpretation. Signals yes but as we know - no guarantees. We are bound to get "colder" at some point, whether sustained or just a shot. I think for us amateurs and I'm a super am - it gets frustrating to hear about potential that constantly pushed out by timeline. For those that do flip the coin or go with a hunch stating "it's a dead cert" certainly amongst the more regular squad, are brave or just (maybe due to frustrating Synoptics) just think f*** it and hope it happens. I guess if it pays off then credibility is abound and we all wonder what others missed! If it doesn't pay off, credibility shot due to a wild guess. i think the majority of model discussions are excellent on here - sometimes right, mostly not but that's the joy of weather on this small rock. Keep up the great work. ive lurked for years but the excessive "xx mentioned Feb", "xx said we will get something in his prediction back in July" - yes I'm dramatising - gets a bit long in the tooth as it rarely verifies and if it does, was nothing more than a good guess - Lady Luck and nature teamed up! sorry for the whine but used to be "very real" on here - seems now it's a bit ego based. mods - please feel free to move.