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cookie27

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    Storm Eunice - 18th February

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, Nick F said:

    18z GFS seems to have shunted strongest gusts a little further south, more of an elongated  double centre of the depression, with a wave the northern centre deeper than the southern, but still tight enough gradient on southern flank of the low to bring damaging winds to southern England.

    18_15_windvector_gust.thumb.png.46f163085e8fa814f1c61f987778cea3.png18_18_windvector_gust.thumb.png.a32e0cfe94b5f6f85e54e2724e262aba.png

    GFSOPUK18_12_1.thumb.png.bd9ff9d0cad3b88f1b780b88cc89430b.pngGFSOPUK18_18_1.thumb.png.ead5a08b93cfa6e366f5afd818c4eb45.png

    Does this bring the snow risk much further south too???

    Storm Eunice - 18th February

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    I do feel the Met Office are really praying this weakens as it crosses the country, but I've a feeling is moving to fast to do that and will maintain is power all way. And all the models suggesting their wrong too

    I'm forecast max gust of 67mph on Meto website. I can see them having egg on their face come the 6 o'clock news tomorrow

    • Like 2

    Storm Eunice - 18th February

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, damianslaw said:

    I'm wondering where the TV reporters have decided to set up camp this evening. Somewhere on the coast of N Cornwall or N Devon and somewhere South Wales I imagine...

    I was just thinking the same....most likely Bude, Cardiff, Swansea and Bristol...then London gets devastated and no one there lol

    • Like 1
    • Thanks 1

    Storm Eunice - 18th February

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    11 minutes ago, Wingman Blue said:

    How has ‘the landscape of England changed dramatically over the last 30 years?  Where and how?!!

    Firstly, there are over 30 buildings in London 150m or higher built since. And elsewhere in the country. Population is some 10m higher, more urban development, roads, rail, the list goes on. The country isn't the same exactly is it.

    • Like 2

    Storm Eunice - 18th February

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    I know there has been a lot of comparisons made with 87 and Burns Day storms. But, it's worth remembering that the landscape of England had changed dramatically over the passed 30yrs and there winds don't need to be that strong to cause devastating scenarios like funneling, mini tornados, etc. Also the timing of this couldn't be any worse really, ground will be saturated due to recent rainfall. There are so many more variables to consider this time and probably the best advice is to stay as safe as you can.

    • Like 4

    Storm Eunice - 18th February

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    1 minute ago, philglossop said:

    Having lived through the storms of 1987 and 1990 and remember both very clearly, I think this one is going to join it as being as memorable. I remember the Burns Day  the damage it did here in Plymouth and South Hams and I like others expect a red warning here tomorrow morning unless we get a sudden downgrade.

     

    Today is prep day! 

    I went out and brought loads of candles and make sure phone and tablet charged before Friday...oh and plenty of drink too lol

    • Like 1

    Storm Eunice - 18th February

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    1 minute ago, weirpig said:

    Yep very high winds  open to change but England Wales  anywhere will have disruption

    ukmohd_uk1-52-57-0.png

    I just saw this and did intrigue me greatly at that 200kph in the Atlantic...is that possible another low forming right behind Eunice or 'stingjet' that might be dragged across south england after Eunice.

    Storm Eunice - 18th February

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    I think what might turn out to be interesting is the amount of taller buildings we have since last major storm this south. Places like Shard must be expecting 100mph winds at that high up, infact something like 11 buildings over 200m in London. Let's see if they were built to withstand this extreme event.

     

    Also, wanted to add given the timing and strength it's certain Met Office will change the Amber to Red, I expect tomorrow morning. And might be a government warning advising people to stay indoors as this will be epic event by the looks of it. 

     

    Something the models aren't going for and considering that it's a rapidly declining low is that it further depends still after landfall and as it enters North Sea, but might pick this up once it's properly formed and track is tied down.

     

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