MetWX

Anyone watching the radar, what's that stuff appearing towards London on the 00:30

Are these imports drifting to the West of the IOW tonight into the South West?

No storms for me either, I feel left out!

Yes, it's been over a year for here also. Gone are the days of regular storms drifting up from the near continent during a summer evening. I am looking forward to this week to see if anything should come off, I was mightily disappointed when the MCS a few days ago didn't even get here, seemed to fizzle out on the coast and all I saw was a few distant flickers of lightning. I still think it's too early here to get a storm, seems that the channel kills most storms off before they make landfall, not sure if this is the temperature of the sea or other factors causing a negative impact on the storms.

Seems like whatever is near IOW just increased in intensity, brighter echo's on the latest MetO radar.

It seems fairly hazy here, a good amount of cloud around but as of yet no convection is taking off. Just a milky looking sky with gaps in the cloud now and again.

On the T+132 and T+153?

I'll be keeping my eyes open for anything coming inland from the channel, not so sure of something reaching here though if it takes a westerly drift.

Is there any reason why the likes of Hampshire is omitted from the storm risk on Monday, just curious as to the factors involved for that decision.

I just had a heavy shower here, the skies look a bit menacing with the remaining light outside. Just fired up Google Earth with the GPS receiver and the Meteox overlay so I can track the precipitation a bit closer.

Got some immense rainfall here at the moment in Hampshire.

CAPE - Convective Available Potential Energy, defined as the amount of energy a parcel of air would have if lifted vertically through the atmosphere, the higher the number the better. LI - Lifted Index, defined as the temperature of a parcel of air at 500hPa (~ 18,000ft) subtracted from the temperature of the air surrounding it at the same height. In order for thunderstorms to develop, it requires parcels of air to continue rising, the bigger the difference of the air surrounding the rising parcel equates to how forcefully that parcel of air rises, the lower the number the better.