Tommyboy2007
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Posts posted by Tommyboy2007
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Look at the little cell just popped up to the east of the IOW. It looks as if it could be intense. Please !!
No, on second thoughts forget it. 10 55 radar shows that its stopped.
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The action area seems to be about 35-50 Miles offshore, maybe due to the warm SST's at this time of year, would certainly give it another 90 minutes before deciding wether more form or to jack it in. Wish I was more on the ball with this today as I most probably would have picked a spot and got some pictures, looks like the clean air CG variety Storms which are oh so rare in the Uk!
Paul S
Yeah, the kind that would look great on a time lapse video. There seems to be some forcing for the convection moving east, contra to the direction of the steering winds looking at sat animation. I'm holding my breath and am ready to run.
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Yes
Seems to be decaying from here as well, not as frequent as about 30 mins ago!
I would not rule out more convection throughout the night in the same areas though just offshore and running into the Kent and Sussex areas. More showers tomorrow morning.
I remember a few days b4 Haloween a few years ago we experienced one of our most spectacular Storms of that year, probably 3 or 4 years ago if anyone has any info on this, it struck about 8-10pm!
It did feel quite humid today as well.
Paul S
Do you think there could be further electrified cells like these Kentish beauties, further on into tonight ?
The convection doesn't look so menacing further East along the channel. I am so up for a chase to the coast tonight if there was any chance.
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Having spent some of the day reminiscing about October 87, talk about a 968mb low does get the old juices flowing !
Is this the calm before the storm. I sincerely hope so.
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Yes, I thought you might add that
but i haven't heard anyone else, forecasters included, say that.
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Metcheck, Netweather and finally UKWW have issued their warnings associated with this event, which was first flagged up by GFS over 7 days ago.
Why, at the time of writing this post, are the MET Office refusing to acknowledge this event with any form of warning, with only hours to go ? It baffles me. Is it because the Meto model doesn't agree ? So what ? All other models are, and have been, in agreement for days.
They will probably wait until it's happening, and then... out come the warnings, way too late, as is often the case.
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NHC has just labelled a new system North of the Canary Islands as TS Grace, currently at 65kts and heading North towards the South of England/Irish Sea by Tuesday.
Definitely one that caught me out and possibly a cold-core centre as many of the variants in the NE sector of the Atlantic have tended to be, could bring some intresting temperature variations and rainfall totals if this makes landfall in the South and Central areas.
Noticed this little feature just before i went to bed last night. Couldn't believe my eyes when i looked at satellite this morning !
Grace, our own little storm, after so little activity in the atlantic basin, generally.
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Nice new cell just popped over Northern France. Looks like it could be quite potent. Just proving that the environment is currently conducive for more MCS type convection tonight hopefully.
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Postcode zoom wont go beyond 15.35pm It's definitely not working. Hope someone at NW realises soon or the afternoon/evenings chase will be harder than usual.
Somebodiy's onto it. good luck chaps.
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its odd, the radar postcode zoom function works ok, just not the UK/Euro radar
Postcode zoom wont go beyond 15.35pm It's definitely not working. Hope someone at NW realises soon or the afternoon/evenings chase will be harder than usual.
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I have been trying to get the radar up for 15 mins now but no joy was working 15 mins ago. Hope servers havent crapped out already. This would be a bad point to lose radar.
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I'm expecting an impressive shower to come by here in the next hour, there are some pretty dark cloud bases edging further South. Judging by Radar it would confirm there are showers heading in my direction. Surprised there are no sferics but if not that, then hopefully some hail and squally wind gusts.
Rumble of thunder!!Oh yes!!
Beautiful roll cloud coming in now! Please let this be the one!!
You sure it's not just Thundery rain ?
Hope it's a good one. -
Well the wind has picked up considerably over the last couple of hours so it seems as if Bill II is on our doorstep
It'll be a very blustery day tomorrow, though I'm more focused on the risk of thunderstorms, or thundery showers. Dang, I used the word 'thundery' Just when I thought it was safe to come back on the forum. Doh !
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Horsham has been crazy this morning. Heavy rain, gale force winds, thunder, lightning, floods, in fact, total armageddon.
Not really.
It's been crap.
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Hi weather09,
No hard feelings. No matter how much we talked about Thunder, it still didn't happen today :lol: Maybe Ex Bill will bring a few surprises on Wednesday. Clutching at straws ? Maybe.
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If this thread hasn't been erased by the moderators, and I would fully understand if it was, I want to apologise to Weather09 for upsetting you. Your right, i am one of those people. Please forgive me, as I really didn't mean to anger you.
I will try and be more considerate in my future posts.
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Pat, have you been stirring things up mate??....lol.....this is going around in circles isnt it, or to quote you on your storm chase "rotation, rotation!!"
I am sorry, truly sorry for everything.
Anyhow, who is your most rated guitarist ever.
For me it's probably Paul Gilbert, but i am very into shredders. Nuno Bettincourt (Extreme and the rest) is also one of my top axe men.
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Actually, I almost forgot. We had the same discussion a while back and John Holmes came into the discussion and agreed with me, that the term 'thundery' is used to describe the intensity of the rainfall.
Aha, there you have it. John Holmes, by the way, used to work at the Met Office. There was me and another person who said the term 'thundery' rain was used to describe rainfall of which the intensity was similar to that in a thunderstorm.
John Holmes replied, that both my comment and the other persons comment were correct. Now, disagree with me.
Gulp !!
Could I in fact be wrong........let me see ....errr...................................................NOPE ! Sorry.
I would however concede, that when forecasters predict "Thundery rain" , they are not expecting prolific amounts of electrical activity and quite often, the observer will only witness rain. Anyway, I don't know about you, but I have had enough of this debate, and if totally honest, I do wish I hadn't started it.
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Ok, I'm gonna leave it at this. My view is not wrong, you just don't agree with it, there's a difference. Now, if you are not willing to accept the inevitable, different views of others on here, then why did you open a thread for a debate?
You're arguing with me because you can't accept the fact that someones view is different to yours and that they explain it well.
OK OK I give up ! You have an opinion and I respect that.
It would seem that whilst arguing, no actual rain or thunder has actually happened here in the South East which is a shame.
But you are still wrong
na na na na na !! -
But like i said, if we get weather fronts coming in from the west with torrential rain mixed in, does that mean its 'thundery rain'? just because there is some torrential rain around, i certainly don't think so.
Yesterday(and the day before) was a good example, i don't think i heard one forecast menturning thundery rain yesterday when the graphics showed heavy/torrential rain in Northern ireland and western Scotland. Thundery rain is rainbands with thunder mixed in, not rain that is the intensity of a thundery shower/thunderstorm as the rain of that intensity is normally 'torrential rain'
Thank you Geordie.
Finally, someone who is making some sense.
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No. I think you'll find that the word 'thundery' (in this context) applies to the type of rainfall itself: i.e, sporadic in nature, sometimes torrential sometimes not and possibly accompanied by thunder??
IMO, it's quite possible to have 'thundery' rain but absolutely no thunder - anywhere?
PS: International Rescue calling John Holmes!
NO NO NO ! If rainfall is sporadic in nature, sometimes torrential but with no thunder, then it must be called sporadic, sometimes torrential rain. Why would the word thundery be used to describe rain with no thunder ?
This thread is becoming hilarious !
Please, Please would somebody on Netweather, back me up. I'm going crazy here.
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Well i would be delighted to kick things off in this new thundery argument.
Thunder, is the sound created by a lightning discharge.
If thundery rain is forecast then the forecaster expects there to be convection embedded in either a frontal rain band, or an MCS. He expects some lightning, somewhere. If conditions do not seem likely to produce convection sufficient to produce lightning, then he will forecast rain, heavy or light or whatever.
If a shower passes above an observer, and no lightning is seen or thunder heard, then it should be described as a shower. He can describe the rain as heavy, torrential, light, moderate, blustery, tropical etc etc but NOT Thundery, for obvious reasons.
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Thats what i said so not sure why you are quoting me on that! I just said "I'm probably wrong" because i usually am
The expression "Thundery rain" CAN be used to describe very heavy rain.
I think that you are confusing the difference between an, out and out, isolated thunderstorm, with the thundery activity associated with the embedded convection that often occurs within frontal systems. either way, lightning occurs and the sound is thundery.
So, i take it, there was no thunder heard in Cheltenham ?
It'll be a very blustery day tomorrow, though I'm more focused on the risk of thunderstorms, or thundery showers. Dang, I used the word 'thundery' 
Friday 13th / Sat 14th Storms
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Keep your wits about you. Sounds a bit dangerous.