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Lt. Dan

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Everything posted by Lt. Dan

  1. Lt. Dan
    Purely from a model watching point of view, I find today quite interesting to see how what may or may not develop...From a 4km WRF there is some potential showing in the 00z run but the model doesn't develop any significant convection (or precip alone!). There is an area of, perhaps weak, surface convergence in what could be a reasonable background environment. I need to try and plot the strength of the horizontal moisture convergence as I wonder, with a little more push, that could be an area to watch.
  2. Lt. Dan
    6z initialised GFS-WRF only skirting with the instability on the South coast tomorrow morning. Doesn't really make a a great deal of any convection later in the day either. Some decent looking cloud tops in that run though. Will be interesting to see what the next few runs produce.
  3. Lt. Dan
    Oh that was a good capture!
  4. Lt. Dan
    High shear, low cape environments. There are quite a few interesting papers out there (via Google) on this.
  5. Lt. Dan
    Nice!
  6. Lt. Dan
    My motivation is starting to wane too, especially for faint 3am horizon huggers. I’m sure there will be an immense late season display now my attention is drifting elsewhere
  7. Lt. Dan
    Well this is putting me off venturing out tonight…maybe it’ll clear up later.
  8. Lt. Dan
    Like others have mentioned, humidity plays a big part for how uncomfortable I find it. I'm pretty much ready to tap out at 28c though. I have a rather limited tolerance to heat and clear blue skies
  9. Lt. Dan
    There were a few reports on the Glendale app, Newcastle...Belfast...so they were out there, but I saw nothing this far South.
  10. Lt. Dan
    Yea, nothing over this way at all.
  11. Lt. Dan
    Nothing between 2-3am either.
  12. Lt. Dan
    A strip of cloud in an otherwise clear sky….you can guess in which direction needs to get a shift on and move.
  13. Lt. Dan
    Was just about to say the same. Meerkat pose at the window has been adopted.
  14. Lt. Dan
    Cloudy here. And I have to be up early
  15. Lt. Dan
    Petrichor WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK Petrichor is the smell of rain. The word comes from the Greek words 'petra', meaning stone, and 'ichor', which in Greek mythology refers to the golden fluid that...
  16. Lt. Dan
    Yes, just checked my Lightroom catalog and that was a good night. I think the night I remember was 23rd June 2021, that was a high display and was probably the best in the last few years for me. Actually the most ridiculous hobby I could have bought into
  17. Lt. Dan
    2020 maybe the year I am remembering.
  18. Lt. Dan
    I've found it about the same as last year, and both years can be summed up as lame. A few years ago we had some excellent displays, one of which I distinctly remember at about 10:30pm, huge overhead display, which my wife doesn't forget either because I hung up the phone to her as it was happening (gotta go!) I'll prob be on the hunt for another week or so, depending on cloud cover of course.
  19. Lt. Dan
    Perhaps not new to most of us in here…
  20. Lt. Dan
    06z WRF still suggestive of an environment that could support a decent storm later this afternoon, perhaps more so towards Essex, and Suffolk into Norfolk.
  21. Lt. Dan
    Some nice images were appearing on the Glendale App which kept me going until about 3am. Ultimately it wasn't worth the five hour shift for what did show up; way too faint for my high expectations Just hope that wasn't the final display for the year.
  22. Lt. Dan
    When your 00z WRF produces an updraft helicity track over the top of your house I remain unconvinced until I see it with my own eyes.
  23. Lt. Dan
    Very very faint. Not too sure they are going to get much brighter.
  24. Lt. Dan
    Yep showing on camera now. Man that was a shift waiting for them tonight!
  25. Lt. Dan
    Looks decent on the Flensburg webcam as well. Typical. Think I will hang around for a bit longer.
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