Us Chase Day 2 - Monday 1st May 2006

[Paul Sherman]

So for today or for tomorrow for us guys :lol:

It looks like we should have a proper chase day today and we are already in todays Target area so a nice lay in is in store all round after yesterdays marathon. Looks like an I44 Corridoor day for us from North East Oklahoma all the way to Missouri. A developing Low pressure area in the Panhandles at present will kick off Severe T-Storms tomorrow which could be MCS In Nature. At present lowish DP's are creating beautiful Clear skies for Convection to be seen which is great for Photo Opportunities. Photo's will always be posted one day later, so Mondays Photo's will appear when your Tuesday morning breakfast arrives. So what happened Sunday 30th April.

We arrived about 230pm and had a long wait in Security and getting Car Hire and Firing up Barons, so we left about 530pm and headed North on I35 Towards Oklahoma City partly for todays Risk area and partly because Severe Storms were Firing. Temps today maxed at 84f with Dew points at 55 and Humidity at 34%, so nice crystal clear skies. We have positioned ourselves in Norman (Ok) for a jaunt east and North East tomorrow for Severe T-Storm Risk. Nice moisture returning on Southerly Winds with Maxas tomorrow at 29c.

Regards

Paul Sherman

[wolves78]

thanks for the update

ozzie hope you are enjoying your first few hours there mate good luck with your chase l8r

[Anvil Crawler]

Just to add to Pauls Post,There is talks about me seeing my first supercell tomorrow :lol: Paul and Matt are curently talking about tomorrows chance of a supercell and there is a small risk tonight of a something developing but i shall not hold my breath. :lol:

[SnowJoke]

Glad to hear you have all arrived safe and well, hopefully you'll get some good storms building on monday to make a great start to this years tour :lol:

[Anvil Crawler]

Things are definately looking up for my birthday on thursday with several severe risks on thursday,friday or saturday.

[Paul Sherman]

Hi Guys, Currently sitting in Norman (Ok) slap bang in the Middle of Severe Risk Today, looks mainly like Strong to Severe T-Storms today with Large Hail the main risk but Isolated Tornadoes can not be ruled out, action should be from 3pm until late tonight so could have some amazing Lightning Pics to Upload tomorrow. Looks like being a VERY Active week and all in the same risk area until the Weekend so no long drives

Tomorrow looks likely to be Upgraded to a Moderate Risk with a Greater chance of Tornadoes before Severe Storms continue in the same area for Wednesday. Thursday through Saturday has a Severe risk now from the SPC Site in the same areas again. I cannot believe the situation for this week as it looks like being a really active week. Today we are going to get some essentials from Home Depot (HailSheild) And making sure all equipment is working properly before the action kicks off in about 6 hours time. Temps today in the low 80's with tomorow being near to 88f. Look out for the Monday 1st May Pictures thread tomorrow.

Looking good for Ozzies First ever Supercell Today

...SRN PLNS...

WEAK COLD FRONT SETTLING S/SE ACROSS OK AND NW TX WILL BE FOCUS FOR

LATE DAY/EVENING STORMS AS EML CAP IS BREACHED. MID/UPR LEVEL FLOW

WILL BE SOMEWHAT WEAKER RELATIVE TO POINTS FARTHER NE. BUT 30+ KT

DEEP W/NWLY SHEAR SHOULD NEVERTHELESS BE SUFFICIENT FOR SUSTAINED

STORMS/SUPERCELLS WITH VERY LARGE HAIL GIVEN DEGREE OF INSTABILITY

/SBCAPE TO 2000 J PER KG/. DIURNAL STRENGTHENING OF LLJ AND

GRADUALLY INCREASING MOISTURE AVAILABILITY SUGGEST THAT SOME OF THE

STORMS WILL REMAIN ACTIVE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. POTENTIAL WILL ALSO

EXIST FOR MERGERS WITH BACK-BUILDING ACTIVITY IN WRN/NRN AR.

Paul Sherman

[kold weather]

Hope everyone is well out there Ozzie.

As Paul said moisture now pushing into the plains replacing the dry air that was in place yesterday. Satilite shows only a couple of weak looking cells over OK though over Kansas there are some fairly large, if not amazingly potent cells.

Eastern OK is looking a good bet today if you don't want to travel that far, infact possibly just 150 miles or so could be more then enough, and xconsidering how many miles storms chasers can do, 150 miles in one day isn't actually that bad.

Models forecasting generally between 1-3000kj's of cape depending on the extent of solar heating. Models also predicting reasonable deep shear upto 25-35kts as a jet streak pushes through the region during the late afternoon period.

Ridge now moving away to the east (Along with the dry air) and some Voricity is now moving down from the North-west (Which is why some cells have broken out over Kansas) This is a cold front which is moving SE. This is the main reason for the increase in moisture over the plains and is, combined with decent heating during the late afternoon and more likely in the eveing, going to be enough to breach the cap I feel.

I'd go towards Eastern OK but thats just my ideas, its upto you what you lot want to do!

[Guest Mr_S]

Hiya Paul & Ozzie!

Glad to hear you made it safe and well, And sounding like a good day to get the chase on!

Here's wishing you all luck and Safety with loads of jealousy on top lol!

(We want pics )

[south_holland_uk]

happy to hear everythings under-way , now eagerly awiating the text and pics from your ventures

have fun and stay safe...

S.H.U

[fuzion]

looks like you should have quite an active week guys

lucky gits

Forecast Discussion

SPC AC 011237

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0737 AM CDT MON MAY 01 2006

VALID 011300Z - 021200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE MID MS/LWR OH VLYS SW

INTO PARTS OF THE SRN PLNS...

...SYNOPSIS...

TODAY WILL MARK THE BEGINNING OF A FAIRLY ACTIVE PERIOD FOR STORMS

FROM CNTRL/SRN PLNS E INTO THE MID MS/LWR OH AND LWR TN VLYS AS LOW

AMPLITUDE LARGE SCALE TROUGH PERSISTS OVER THE N CNTRL STATES.

IMPULSE NOW OVER CO LIKELY WILL BE THE MAIN SHORTWAVE FEATURE OF

NOTE DURING THE NEXT 24 HRS. THIS TROUGH SHOULD MOVE E/SE INTO WRN

MO BY THIS EVENING...AND THEN E INTO IL/KY BY 12Z TUESDAY.

AT LWR LEVELS...WEAK COLD FRONT LEFT FROM SYSTEM THAT AFFECTED MO/IL

YESTERDAY SHOULD SETTLE SLOWLY E/SE INTO FAR ERN IA/SW MO/S CNTRL OK

AND NW TX BY LATE IN THE DAY. FARTHER E...REMNANT OCCLUSION NOW

OVER WRN IL EXPECTED TO EDGE SLOWLY NEWD AS A WEAK WARM FRONT ACROSS

ERN IL/WRN KY.

...OZARKS INTO MID MS/LWR OH VLYS...

WEAK SHORTWAVE RIDGING WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON OVER THE

MID MS VLY...IN WAKE OF UPR IMPULSE NOW CROSSING SRN IL. THIS MAY

TEND TO DELAY AND/OR INITIALLY LESSEN CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT LIKELY

TO OCCUR BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON ALONG PREVIOUSLY-MENTIONED FRONTS

FROM SRN/ERN MO INTO CNTRL/SRN IL. NEVERTHELESS...PERSISTENT

HEATING AND EVENTUAL ARRIVAL OF FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH

CO DISTURBANCE SHOULD YIELD AN INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE SETUP FOR

SEVERE STORMS THROUGHOUT REGION.

WHILE BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WILL BE FAIRLY MODEST /DEWPOINTS IN

THE UPR 50S TO LOW 60S/...HEATING BENEATH STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATE

PLUME SHOULD BOOST SBCAPE TO AOA 1000 J/KG FROM SW MO/NRN AR ENE

INTO SW IL/WRN KY. AT THE SAME TIME...35-40 KT DEEP WLY SHEAR ON

SERN FRINGE OF UPR TROUGH WILL FOSTER UPDRAFT ROTATION.

THEREFORE...SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY HIGH WIND APPEAR

LIKELY. WHILE THE NEAR-SURFACE FLOW SHOULD REMAIN WEAK...AND LOW

LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE A BIT LIMITED...RATHER SUBSTANTIAL LOW LEVEL

VEERING PROFILES WILL EXIST INVOF OLD OCCLUSION/WARM FRONT.

THUS...AN ENHANCED TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL EXIST OVER SE

MO...CNTRL/SRN IL...WRN KY AND PERHAPS SW IND THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

AN UPGRADE TO MDT RISK MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY IF BOUNDARY

MOISTURE AVAILABILITY PROVES TO BE MORE SUBSTANTIAL THAN NOW

INDICATED.

AS THE CO IMPULSE CONTINUES EWD AND LLJ DIURNALLY VEERS AND

INCREASES...EXPECT THAT STORMS OVER THE MID MS/LWR OH VLYS WILL

CONSOLIDATE INTO ONE OR MORE CLUSTERS THAT COULD REMAIN STRONG TO

SEVERE /WITH POSSIBLE BOWING SEGMENTS/ INTO THE NIGHT. THESE STORMS

COULD REACH WRN OH/ERN KY BY EARLY TUESDAY. AT THE SAME TIME...

UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP WIND PROFILES SHOULD ALSO SUPPORT

BACK-BUILDING/REGENERATIVE ACTIVITY WITH LARGE HAIL WWD ACROSS

SRN MO/NRN AR/NW TN.

...SRN PLNS...

WEAK COLD FRONT SETTLING S/SE ACROSS OK AND NW TX WILL BE FOCUS FOR

LATE DAY/EVENING STORMS AS EML CAP IS BREACHED. MID/UPR LEVEL FLOW

WILL BE SOMEWHAT WEAKER RELATIVE TO POINTS FARTHER NE. BUT 30+ KT

DEEP W/NWLY SHEAR SHOULD NEVERTHELESS BE SUFFICIENT FOR SUSTAINED

STORMS/SUPERCELLS WITH VERY LARGE HAIL GIVEN DEGREE OF INSTABILITY

/SBCAPE TO 2000 J PER KG/. DIURNAL STRENGTHENING OF LLJ AND

GRADUALLY INCREASING MOISTURE AVAILABILITY SUGGEST THAT SOME OF THE

STORMS WILL REMAIN ACTIVE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. POTENTIAL WILL ALSO

EXIST FOR MERGERS WITH BACK-BUILDING ACTIVITY IN WRN/NRN AR.

..CORFIDI/TAYLOR.. 05/01/2006

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z

CURRENT UTC TIME: 1520Z (4:20PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME

[kold weather]

Just a quick update in regards to current obs. Temps now getting into the high 60's and low 70's, dew-points now touching 60 in the far east of OK. This already gives 1200kjs of cape ready for use, and during the day this will rise some more I suspect.

Satellite shows a westerly wind with still some fairly decent condtions, though increasing amounts of cloud is now forming as solar heating works it stuff. Ob's suggests that humidty is increasing slightly in front of the disturbance moving in from the NW, now upto 52%, up from the recorded 48% 4hrs ago.

[wolves78]

Another round of severe weather will move through the central and southern Plains and into the Ohio Valley Monday. Gusty thunderstorms passed through this area on Sunday with gusty winds, large hail and even a tornado. A similar set is shown above with hot and humid air moving northward along southerly winds and a weak cold front slowly moving eastward. Showers and heavier thunderstorms will build later Monday and Monday night with the biggest threat being gusty winds and hail

[wolves78]

[wolves78]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0708

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0222 PM CDT MON MAY 01 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...EAST CENTRAL THROUGH SRN/SERN MO...SWRN IL...FAR

WRN KY...FAR NWRN TN...FAR NRN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 011922Z - 012015Z

WW MAY BE REQUIRED.

THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP MID-LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS EAST

CENTRAL MO...THEN SWWD ALONG COLD FRONT INTO SRN MO. HAIL/STRONG

WIND GUSTS SHOULD BE PRIMARY THREATS WITH STRONGEST ACTIVITY.

18Z MESOSCALE SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM WRN

IL SWWD THROUGH EAST CENTRAL-SWRN MO INTO NERN-CENTRAL OK. LATEST

OBJECTIVE ANALYSES INDICATED INHIBITION HAS WEAKENED ENOUGH FROM

EAST CENTRAL MO SWWD INTO CENTRAL MO NEAR TBN TO SUPPORT SURFACE

BASED STORMS. HOWEVER...WEAK SHORT WAVE RIDGING ACROSS THIS REGION

ATTM PER TRENDS IN WIND PROFILER DATA/12-18Z SOUNDINGS APPEARS TO BE

INHIBITING DEEP MOIST CONVECTION FROM FORMING THUS FAR.

LARGE SCALE ASCENT SPREADING EWD WITH SHORT WAVE TROUGH...NOW OVER

CENTRAL KS/NRN OK...AND ADDITIONAL SURFACE HEATING SHOULD FURTHER

WEAKEN CAP PER 18Z SGF SOUNDING...WITH INITIAL TSTM DEVELOPMENT

LIKELY ACROSS EAST CENTRAL MO WHERE LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS

MAXIMIZED. MLCAPE VALUES APPROACHING 1000 J/KG COMBINED WITH

INCREASING DEEP LAYER SHEAR EXPECTED TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORMS.

[wolves78]

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 270

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX

449 PM CDT MON MAY 1 2006

TXC097-121-133-237-337-363-367-429-497-503-020400-

/O.NEW.KFWD.SV.A.0270.060501T2149Z-060502T0400Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH

270 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING

AREAS

IN TEXAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 10 COUNTIES

IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS

COOKE DENTON EASTLAND

JACK MONTAGUE PALO PINTO

PARKER STEPHENS WISE

YOUNG

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...BOWIE...BRECKENRIDGE...BRIAR...

BRIDGEPORT...CISCO...DECATUR...DENTON...EASTLAND...FLOWER MOUND...

GAINESVILLE...GORMAN...GRAHAM...JACKSBORO...LEWISVILLE...

MINERAL WELLS...NOCONA...OLNEY...RANGER...

THE COLONY AND WEATHERFORD.

[NL]

Storms now startin to develop 40mls south east Tulsa.

[fuzion]

dont you mean north east like springfield

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 271

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

520 PM CDT MON MAY 1 2006

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS

WESTERN ILLINOIS

SOUTHERN AND EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI

NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON FROM 520 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND

GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE

AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE

MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTHWEST OF POTEAU

OKLAHOMA TO 35 MILES NORTH OF CARBONDALE ILLINOIS. FOR A

COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE

UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR

TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 270...

DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE

TO INCREASE AND SPREAD ENEWD ACROSS WW THIS EVENING. PRIMARY SEVERE

THREATS WILL BE FROM LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. HOWEVER...LOW

LEVEL SHEAR WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR

TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY INTO S-CENTRAL/SERN MO AND IL PORTIONS OF WW.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL

SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE

WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO

500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.

...EVANS

[Stu]

Last I heard was the the Net-Wx team were down in Ada, Oklahoma. Which is about 70 miles South East of Oklahoma City.

[NL]

Just small at the moment.. Dont know if they'll develop further but are getting pushed east.. But i do see the storms North east Springfield into Rolla County..

Expires 7:45 PM EDT on May 01, 2006

Statement as of 5:54 PM CDT on May 01, 2006

The National Weather Service in Lincoln has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...

northwestern Peoria County in central Illinois

Stark County in north central Illinois

eastern Knox County in west central Illinois

* until 645 PM CDT

* at 554 PM CDT... trained weather spotters reported a tornado near

Williamsfield... or about 19 miles east of Galesburg... moving

northeast at 15 mph.

* Locations impacted include...

West Jersey...

Duncan...

Toulon...

Wyoming...

Castleton...

Bradford...

Lombardville...

Other locations in the warning include... Elmore.

[fuzion]

ditto

WFUS53 KILX 012254

TORILX

ILC095-143-175-012345-

/O.NEW.KILX.TO.W.0067.060501T2254Z-060501T2345Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL

554 PM CDT MON MAY 1 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTHWESTERN PEORIA COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS

STARK COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS

EASTERN KNOX COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS

* UNTIL 645 PM CDT

* AT 554 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR

WILLIAMSFIELD...OR ABOUT 19 MILES EAST OF GALESBURG...MOVING

NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

WEST JERSEY...

DUNCAN...

TOULON...

WYOMING...

CASTLETON...

BRADFORD...

LOMBARDVILLE...

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...ELMORE.

DO NOT USE YOUR CAR TO TRY TO OUTRUN A TORNADO. CARS ARE EASILY

TOSSED AROUND BY TORNADO WINDS. IF YOU ARE CAUGHT IN THE PATH OF A

TORNADO...LEAVE THE CAR AND GO TO A STRONG BUILDING IF POSSIBLE. IF

NO SAFE STRUCTURE IS NEARBY...SEEK SHELTER IN A DITCH OR LOW SPOT AND

COVER YOUR HEAD.

REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER OR DAMAGE TO YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY

MANAGER...OR THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY...FOR RELAY TO THE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4099 8966 4095 8994 4089 9004 4100 9014

4118 8979 4123 8968 4123 8965

seems to be action everywhere the nw team arnt

[wolves78]

just starting to kick off now

24 strikes so far

http://www.lorickweather.net/ss/NorthEast.png

[NL]

I'm sure they'll get their chance... Lookin good for this and next week.

[wolves78]

A frontal boundary arcing southward across the Midwest and mid-Mississippi Valley will be the main focus for strong thunderstorms Monday night. There is not a great deal of upper-level energy available to this front, but there is a fair amount of moisture, and there is concern that thunderstorms that form from Missouri and northern Arkansas eastward into Illinois, Indiana and western Kentucky can produce heavy, drenching downpours and perhaps even some localized flooding. We cannot rule out the threat for hail and damaging winds with any of these storms as well.

The strong thunderstorm threat is expected to shift a bit to the west Tuesday. As another cold front moves out of the northern Rockies and onto the Plains, it will interact with warm, moist air riding northward from Texas. The main threat appears to be from central and eastern Nebraska and western Iowa on southward to northern Texas. Any thunderstorms in this area later Tuesday will be capable of unleashing hail and damaging winds.

http://wwwa.accuweather.com/severe/index-s...weather&myadc=0

[fuzion]

WFUS53 KLSX 020339

TORLSX

ILC157-020415-

/O.NEW.KLSX.TO.W.0084.060502T0340Z-060502T0415Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO

1040 PM CDT MON MAY 1 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTHERN RANDOLPH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS

* UNTIL 1115 PM CDT

* AT 1036 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG ROTATION 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF

EVANSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

EVANSVILLE...

BALDWIN...

SPARTA...

COULTERVILLE...

THIS TORNADO WARNING IS AN UPGRADE TO THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

PREVIOUSLY ISSUED FOR THE WARNED AREA.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A

WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS

AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN

INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO

COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A

SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE

NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 3817 9001 3808 9001 3801 8960 3821 8960

$$

BRITT

WFUS53 KLSX 020349

TORLSX

ILC189-020415-

/O.NEW.KLSX.TO.W.0085.060502T0349Z-060502T0415Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO

1049 PM CDT MON MAY 1 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS

* UNTIL 1115 PM CDT

* AT 1046 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG ROTATION 6 MILES WEST OF LIVELY

GROVE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

LIVELY GROVE...

NASHVILLE...

ADDIEVILLE...

THIS TORNADO WARNING IS AN UPGRADE TO THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

PREVIOUSLY ISSUED FOR THE WARNED AREA.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A

WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS

AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN

INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO

COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3837 8973 3828 8973 3833 8917 3850 8920

$$

BRITT

[Paul Sherman]

Well today has been a big Bustola!!! Left Norman Ok and headed towards Ada in East Central Oklahoma, we were positioned just south of the advancing Cold Front with a chance of Severe T-Storms breaking out late afternoon, nothing fired though, our 2nd chance was from Rapid convection in South Oklahoma and West Central Texas as the Cap became eroded and a low level jet increased Mid level instability. But this also fell foul of the Capping Inversion. Got some piccies i will upload but alas nothing to Great just yet. Currently in Ardmore South Central Oklahoma which has just had it's record Temp for 1st May today at 91f. Currently still 79f at 10pm.

Tomorrow and until Saturday still looking good for Severe Storms and Tornadoes so everything to play for this week. Total Chase Miles so far 444 and tomorrow is looking very hard to pick a chase target. If any of you have a hunch please share with us and i have never seen a SPC Discussion so hard to decipher. One thing that is apparant this year is how hard it is to grab data on the move as most Hotels have secured their Wireless connections, so if you don't here from us this is why.

Regards

Paul Sherman & Team