Tropical Storm Marco

[Somerset Squall]

A tropical depression has formed from invest 96L which has emerged in the Bay of Campeche. TD13 consists of a small LLC with a deep but limited coverage of convection. This tiny system has potential to strengthen into a tropical storm before landfall, as outflow is good and sea temps warm. However, what TD13 is lacking is time. The depression will make landfall on the coast of Mexico tomorrow, so a peak of 40kts is all NHC are forecasting. The depression is small, so will respond to favourable condtions quickly, so the forecast of 40kts is more than achieveable.

TD13 is the small circular blob to the left of the image:

[Somerset Squall]

As I metioned before, TD13 was a very small cyclone, and as a consequence, it's managed to rapidly intensify. TD13 is now Tropical Storm Marco, with intensity now at 55kts. Indeed, there is a risk that Marco may become a hurricane before landfall early tomorrow. Recon have just investigated the system reporting the very much stronger winds than earlier. I certainly didn't expect to see a strong tropical storm in the Bay of Campeche this evening!

[Somerset Squall]

The East Pacific image has TS Marco and TS Norbert in shot. Look at the difference is size! Marco really is a very tiny storm!

[Cookie]

been a bit wait for this system

Storm Alert issued at 6 Oct, 2008 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MARCO is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)

Mexico

probability for TS is 35% in about 21 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)

Tuxpan (21.0 N, 97.4 W)

probability for TS is 35% in about 21 hours

Note that

Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.

TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

[*Stormforce~beka*]

A tropical depression has formed from invest 96L which has emerged in the Bay of Campeche. TD13 consists of a small LLC with a deep but limited coverage of convection. This tiny system has potential to strengthen into a tropical storm before landfall, as outflow is good and sea temps warm. However, what TD13 is lacking is time. The depression will make landfall on the coast of Mexico tomorrow, so a peak of 40kts is all NHC are forecasting. The depression is small, so will respond to favourable condtions quickly, so the forecast of 40kts is more than achieveable.

TD13 is the small circular blob to the left of the image:

How extrodinary! Possibly the smallest TS i've ever seen!Looks more like a MCS than a TS.

[Somerset Squall]

How extrodinary! Possibly the smallest TS i've ever seen!Looks more like a MCS than a TS.

Indeed, the NHC said it could well be the smallest tropical cyclone on record! It truly is very tiny!

Marco has now made landfall as a 55kt tropical storm. Dissipation will be rapid due to the size of the storm, as the rugged terrain quickly tears apart the small LLC. A very interesting storm, will report back if anything is confirmed about it actually being a record braker for how small it is.

[Cookie]

Storm Alert issued at 7 Oct, 2008 21:00 GMT

Tropical Depression MARCO is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)

Mexico

probability for TS is 70% currently

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)

Tuxpan (21.0 N, 97.4 W)

probability for TS is 35% currently

Note that

Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.

Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.

CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.

TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

[*Stormforce~beka*]

Indeed, the NHC said it could well be the smallest tropical cyclone on record! It truly is very tiny!

Marco has now made landfall as a 55kt tropical storm. Dissipation will be rapid due to the size of the storm, as the rugged terrain quickly tears apart the small LLC. A very interesting storm, will report back if anything is confirmed about it actually being a record braker for how small it is.

Shame it wasn't out in the atlantic to see it become a hurricane. Would love to have seen the changes in it.

[The PIT]

So small I can't even see it on the posted images. I reckon it's a Radar glitch in reality.