Cold Coming Soon?

[Guest]

There is a lot of talk at the moment as to whether there will be a change in the weather patterns during the second part of January to bring some colder weather to the UK. How likely is this though?

Read full story here

[towbar0]

I have just read this http://www.telegraph.co.uk/topics/weather/9000650/Spring-arrives-early-in-Britain-following-mild-winter-weather.html

It particularly struck me that after -15°c last December it went off with little follow up right through. As someone pointed out Feb hasn't brought much cold since 1947 and 1963.

And I do have lots of bird song and early buds and even blossoms on the way.

I'm not keen on late start winters. Long cold snowy yes, but starting in late Jan... I'd rather not.

[osmposm]

......As someone pointed out Feb hasn't brought much cold since 1947 and 1963....

Um....February 1991?

[osmposm]

...not to mention (daily CET mean figures):

Feb 69 - 13 days < 1C, incl 7 straight days ≤ 0C (lowest -3.5C)

Feb 70 - 8 days < 1C, incl 6 straight days ≤ 0C (lowest -2.3C)

Feb 78 - 12 days < 1C, incl 5 straight days ≤ 0C (lowest -3.3C)

Feb 79 - 12 days < 1C, incl 5 straight days ≤ 0C (lowest -3.4C)

Feb 85 - 12 days < 1C, incl 11 straight days ≤ 0C (lowest -4.1C)

And now the 5th coldest Feb recorded since 1659 (@ -1.1C significantly colder overall than 1963):

Feb 86 - 24 days < 1C, incl 22 straight days ≤ 0C (well, almost..lowest day -4.6C)

Feb 91 - 14 days < 1C, incl 12 straight days ≤ 0C (lowest -4.7C)

The Februaries of 1954, 55, 56 all had some bitter weather, too.

How, exactly, do you define "much cold", I wonder?! :winky:

Edited January 9, 2012 by osmposm