Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

Project On Weather Forecasting And Society


Science Bac. Poll  

27 members have voted

  1. 1. Do you believe that more accurate seasonal forecasting would benefit society in general?

    • Yes, very much so
      10
    • Yes, to an extent
      15
    • Probably not
      2
    • Not at All
      0
    • Unsure
      0
  2. 2. What are your views on the accuracy of current seasonal forecasts?

    • Generally very accurate
      0
    • Generally gives a reasonable synopsis
      3
    • Hugely varied in accuracy depending on the 'quality' of forecaster
      18
    • Not particularly accurate
      5
    • Very Inaccurate
      1
    • Other (please state on thread)
      0
  3. 3. Do you believe further investment in weather models with monthly/seasonal range would be worthwhile?

    • Yes
      24
    • No
      3


Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: cold and snowy in winter, a good mix of weather the rest of the time
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)

I'm currently doing a 'Science Baccalaureate' on the impact of seasonal forecasting on society and thought it'd be interesting to hear your views on Long Range Forecasting.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: NH7256
  • Weather Preferences: where's my vote?
  • Location: NH7256

Accurate seasonal forecasts would have varied and potentially huge benefits to individuals (leisure, domestic repairs & improvements spring to mind), businesses (farms, forestry, construction, etc., etc.) and at the global scale (which corner of Africa's going to get no rain this year?) This would be a fantasy come true for some activities and it seems a really huge topic. How far off is accurate long-term forecasting?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Lochgelly - Highest town in Fife at 150m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and cold. Enjoy all extremes though.
  • Location: Lochgelly - Highest town in Fife at 150m ASL.

You can only work with the tools you've got I suppose. If what the models are able to churn out at the moment is anything to go by then it doesn't fill anyone with confidence. I certainly wouldn't bet my life on any current long range/seasonal forecast. I realise that it is a lot more involved than 'Will I be able to organize a BBQ 4 weeks from today?' sort of thing. I know that companies pay a great deal of money for accurate forecasts as this type of information is vital for their businesses ie: which type of crops are best suited to a wet,dry,hot or cold summer. Do we fill our shops with rainwear or beachwear? If they get it wrong too often, then this leads to loss of business which in turn could lead to the business closing down and therefore creating unemployment. Unemployment then creates lots of social, mental/ physical issues. The weather affects absolutely everything and it can and often does destroy people's lives. We all know that weather forecasting is complex but I do feel that we must strive for much greater accuracy and therefore any investment in this area can only be a good thing for all of our futures.

Edited by Blitzen
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Mad March Weather: A Wonderland of Change

    Forget predictable spring weather, it's Mad March! This month lives up to its name with a mix of sunshine, showers, frost, and even snow. The reason? A clash of complex weather systems is bringing a bout of changeable conditions to the UK. Read the full update here

    Netweather forecasts
    Netweather forecasts
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    The best way to see Northern Lights in Norway

    Seeing the Aurora in the Arctic Circle has become a bucket list activity. What does a Weather Holidays chase tour in Norway involve, by day and night? Read more here

    Jo Farrow
    Jo Farrow
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    February's Warmth Yields to Cooler March Temperatures

    February 2024 delivered unusually warm temperatures, nearly breaking centuries-old records. However, the mild weather won't continue. March is forecast to bring a noticeable shift, with cooler temperatures replacing February's warmth. Read the full update here

    Netweather forecasts
    Netweather forecasts
    Latest weather updates from Netweather
×
×
  • Create New...