john pike

hi all tonight looks to start chilly but cloud over later watch for mist and fog again locally -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- tomorrow a weak northerly flow rainfall barring the far east and north east of our region who may get some drizzly muck it looks mainly dry but looks more cloudy today so only small glimpses of the sun likely temps around 8-10 but could be cooler coastal regions --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- sunday night a breezier easterly flow rain some showers could get driven in land from the strong east wind but areas to the west likely to stay dry temps not cold but this is why mist looks possible but the wind should stop it becoming too much of an issue ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- monday a weaker flow from the east-north east rainfall should be none but again east coastal may get cloudy drizzly much through the day temps will feel chillier today around 8 degrees again very cloudy but maybe the odd sunny spell in the afternoon ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- monday night an east - north east flow but not strong rainfall again looks dry but the front close by to the east coast may let some drizzle get to the coasts watch for mist and fog temps cooler tonight and a frost looks possible all that is subject to where the cloud breaks ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- tuesday a north east flow and will get breezy again rainfall when that cold front drops south we will see some rain all on timing and not easy to call at present temps around 6-8 degrees cloudcover some sun but a lot of cloud tuesday likely to need amending which i wil do tomorrow thats my lot hope your well john

Bárdarbunga volcano news & activity updates Bardarbunga volcano update: Lava fall in Holuhraun’s growing lava field Saturday Nov 29, 2014 11:46 AM | Two night time images of lava falls cascading down from the edge of the new lava field. Photo:University of Iceland. Crater and eruption column seen from hills southwest of the eruption site on 26 November 2014. Photo: Morten S. Riishuus. These two images were posted on the twitter account of the University of Iceland after their recent field expedition. As the lava field continues to expand, new branches of red hot rivers reach its edge and cascade down on the sandy plain below in a spectacular ‘water’fall of glowing lava. Scientists report that by now the Holuhraun lava field covers almost 75 square kilometres which represents an area bigger than the Reykjavik metropolitan area. The intensity of the eruption declined so that the present amount of emitted lava is only a quarter of what it was at the eruption’s most intense phase. But according to Ãrmann Höskuldsson, volcanologist at the University of Iceland Earth Science Institute, there are no indications that the volcanic activity will stop anytime soon. He points out that it remains a very intense eruption despite the recent (temporarily?) weakening of its activity. Scientists observed fluctuations in the eruption plume last week due to sporadic emission of powerful lava jets. The lava flow discharge pulsated accordingly. The exact amount of magma flowing from the Bárðarbunga magma chamber through the intrusive dike below the Vatnajökull glacier and eventually erupting in Holuhraun is presently unclear. The Icelandic Broadcasting Service (RUV) reports it to be 130 cubic metres asecond, whereas the newspaper Morgunblaðið (mbli.is) estipmates it to be between 60 and 100 cubic metres per second. The area continues to be very seismically active with every day a few earthquakes larger than M = 3 at the Bárðarbunga caldera and weaker trembling around the dike intrusion (Icelandic Met Office). All news about: Bardarbunga volcano Information about: Bardarbunga volcano

Nyamuragira volcano (DR Congo): new lava lake Saturday Nov 29, 2014 02:14 AM | The lava lake at the summit of Nyamuragira volcano in DR Congo.Photo: Benoit Smets A satellite view of lava lakes and gas plumes from Nyamuragira and Nyiragongo volcanoes. Photo: NASA Earth Observatory Time series of monthly SO2 amounts detected near Nyamuragira volcano. Images framed in red represent the most recenteruption. Comparison between SO2 emissions registered before and after this eruption clearly show elevated amounts of SO2 gas after the eruption. Image: Robin Campion Volcanic gas steams from Nyamuragira volcano. Photo: Benoit Smets The Nyiragongo lava lake is presently the world’s largest lava lake with a diameter of approximately 250m. Photo: Tom Pfeiffer / www.VolcanoDiscovery.com For the first time in 75 years, a new lava lake appeared on some of Africa’s most active stratovolcanoes: Mount Nyamuragira in the Democratic Republic of Congo. The neighbouring volcanoes of Nyamugira and Nyiragongo are both part of the Virunga volcanic chain in the East African Rift, situated along DR Congo's border with Rwanda. They are famous as two of the few volcanoes on Earth that have sustained lava lakes for several decades. The previous lava lake at Nyamuragira emptied in 1938 as its lava poured out of the summit and flowed more than 30 kilometres down to Lake Kivu. The new lava lake seems to have formed at the bottom of the 500 m deep crater that was left behind by this 1938 lava flood. Nyamuragira’s last eruption started in November 2011 and ended in March 2012 by the partial emptying of the magma chamber through the effusion of large lava flows. This eventually resulted in the collapse of the pit crater, an event after which the magma is likely forced to follow a new route higher up to the volcano’s summit. Such reconstruction of the volcano’s plumbing system with transport of magma higher in the volcano’s cone could trigger the formation of a lava lake. Nyamuragira’s past eruptions all seem to follow a typical eruptive cycle of lava being progressively emitted from the volcano’s base to its summit, ending in the formation of a lava lake. But when exactly did this lava lake form? Robin Campion, volcanologist at the Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México in Mexico City, has been monitoring the emission of sulphur dioxide gas in Nyamuragira’s surroundings during and after the most recent 2012 eruption. As expected, SO2 emissions were very high throughout the volcano’s last eruption. After the pit crater collapse that marks the end of this eruption, however, sulphur dioxide levels remained high – something Campion could only explain by the formation of a lava lake. He published his findings in the November 7 issue of the Journal of Geophysical Research Letters. Campion’s suggestion of an early-formed lava lake seems supported hotter-than-usual temperatures picked up by sattelites above Nyamuragira in April and late Juneand interpreted by NASA's Earth Observatory as the presence of a new lava lake. Nyamuragira’s summit also started to glow red at night in April and June, and scientists at the Goma Volcano Observatory (the Congolese scientific institute in charge of volcano monitoring) detected unusual earthquake swarms that are typical of molten rock (magma) moving underground during these months. Benoit Smets, a volcanologist at the European Center for Geodynamics and Seismology in Luxembourg. is however not convinced that the Nyamuragira lava lake formed that long ago. Last July, United Nations peacekeepers dropped Smets and an international group of scientists off at the volcano’s summit by helicopter, to check on the crater. Their October 21 report in Eos, the weekly newspaper of the American Geophysical Union, describes observations of lava fountains but no sight of a lava lake. This disagreement reflects both science-in-progress (varying scientific monitoring methods might lead to different interpretations) and the difficulty of working in the DR Congo (instruments can’t be left in the field for safety reasons and dozens of armed groups continue to fight in the area). The debate whether or not there is a lava lake at Nyamuragira was finally settled when on the 6th of November a helicopter survey of the Goma Volcano Observatory reported visual confirmation of an active lava lake. Likely evolution of this volcanic activity Benoit Smets describes the present volcanic activity at Nyamuragira as ‘a very small, bubbling lava lake’. And although the churning lava seems to come and go, scientists think within a few years to decades the volcano may spawn a long-lived lava lake similar to the one at neighbouring Nyiragongo volcano. Both Nyamuragira and Nyiragongo can show volcanic activity that threatens nearby towns such as Sake and Goma. The January 2002 eruption of Nyiragongo, for example, destroyed large parts of Goma and left 200,000 people homeless. Nyiragongo’s closer proximity to local communities does, however, make it more of a hazard than Nyamuragira which is surrounded by a national park. Nyamuragira’s immediate threat is therefore not so much lava flows or volcanic debris but acid rain from its volcanic gas which can corrode roofs, destroy crops and affect human health. All news about: Nyamuragira volcano Information about: Nyamuragira volcano

sorry forgot this pressure on the way up again

hi all very tricky one but when you read this http://icelandreview.com/news/2014/11/24/bardarbunga-magma-closer-surface and the gps sinking out of range it still means the situation could turn at bara re the different chamber i have seen that too but i was on the assumption that the chamber at bara was feeding huloruan its all very confusing and while the imo keep the 3 options open i would not rule anything out anyway bedtime for me goodnight all

hi all oh i agree with you maybe they now think its not safe enough now to do this now not sure on that however if we keep seeing these large quakes i would think they will need all the info they can get http://www.livefromiceland.is/webcams/bardarbunga-2/ when i look at that link i personally do not see much difference to the last couple of weeks what happens next???

http://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/alert/?id=qa509;NEIR&date=2014-11-28 raw data for the 4,6 quake expect 5,1-5,3

hi chris haha daily excess tonight http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ note the trough on there re the showers on the radar chilly and breezy but should not get too cold ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- tomorrow should all be under a mainly south east flow looks dry temps around 10-11 degrees cloud should be a fairly sunny day after the misty muck clears likely to cloud over again in the afternoon -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- saturday night a weaker east-south east flow rainfall the fronts will cross overnight but should not really do much (maybe a bit of drizzle) temps between 5-8 degrees --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- sunday a variable flow but more likely a northerly rainfall maybe some cloudy drizzly murk east coast and far south,ither than that it should stay dry temps chillier around 9-10 but may be lower if you see the cloud stick around ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ sunday night a breezy east-north east flow looks dry but possible east coastal showery bits possible temps 7-8 degrees watch for some dense fog with this set up ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- monday a weaker east flow looks dry temps around 8 degrees and cloudy again anyway be back later john

The river of lava continues to expand the lava field. It's now almost 75 km2 https://twitter.com/uni_iceland all info in link with some superb photos photos: Glowing Lava Fall in Holuhraun By Eygló Svala Arnarsdóttir November 28, 2014 09:25 Updated: November 28, 2014 09:56 The lava fall. A lava fall has formed in Holuhraun in the northeastern highlands. A branch of the lava river flowing from the crater has reached the edge of the new lava field in the north and cascades like a red-hot waterfall over the edge and down to the sand plains below. The above picture was posted on the University of Iceland’s Twitter account yesterday. The accompanying text said that the new lava field is continuing to expand and now covers almost 75 square km (30 square miles), which is larger than the Reykjavík metropolitan area. Approximately 130 cubic meters (4,600 cubic feet) of magma flow from the Bárðarbunga volcano magma chamber under Vatnajökull glacier every second through the intrusive dike and erupt in Holuhraun, ruv.is reports (mbl.is reported yesterday that 60-100 cubic meters of lava were being emitted every second). IR editor and photographer Páll Stefánsson flew over Holuhraun on Tuesday and captured pictures of the lava river, which he says are his “most spectacular yet.†The result of his fourth and fifth trip to the eruption site will be published in the upcoming issue of Iceland Review magazine (click here to subscribe). More photos of the lava fall can be seen here. http://www.mbl.is/english/nature_and_travel/2014/11/27/stunning_new_images_of_the_eruption/ click the link above still a large event and still ongoing

http://new.livestream.com/muzikatv/fogo/videos/69755269 link above for fogo eruption Volcanoes Today, 28 Nov 2014: Aso volcano, Fogo, Zhupanovsky Friday Nov 28, 2014 17:00 PM | Screenshot of eruption video showing the two active vents at Fogo Eruption at Aso volcano Wednesday (Kumamoto university webcam) Fogo (Cape Verde): Activity, after having slowed down a bit yesterday, picked up again this morning, as a new vent opened above the eruption fissure. Lava fountaining and associated lava effusion mainly occur from the lower vent, while the upper one shows strombolian explosions, strong degassing and ash emissions. As typical for flank eruptions, eruptive activity has by now concentrated to and continues from two vents (as compared to 6 active ones on the first day): The main lava flow, as well as several secondary ones that start as overflows in the vent area, remain well alimentated. The lava flows have covered approx. 400 hectars of land, including 26 hc of farmland. Zhupanovsky (Kamchatka, Russia): A moderately strong ash emission occurred this morning. A plume at 20,000 ft (6 km) drifted east. Weaker ash venting continued afterwards. (Tokyo VAAC). Aso (Kyushu): Activity at the volcano picked up and went through an intense phase of strong, continuous ash emissions Wednesday. An ash plume rose to approx. 3 km altitude, according to Tokyo VAAC. A video showed incandescent ash-rich fountains from the crater, confirming that new magma has arrived there, i.e. a new magmatic eruption has formally started at the volcano: After the most intense phase, activity calmed down again and turned into strong steaming mixed with minor ash emissions.

http://www.livefromiceland.is/webcams/bardarbunga/ clear again and amazing background colours tonight

since jonboys post above Friday 28.11.2014 14:31:40 64.677 -17.461 8.0 km 3.6 99.0 5.1 km NE of Bárðarbunga Friday 28.11.2014 13:03:20 64.672 -17.409 2.5 km 3.8 99.0 6.7 km ENE of Bárðarbunga Friday 28.11.2014 12:57:18 64.669 -17.441 3.6 km 4.0 99.0 5.2 km NE of Bárðarbunga Friday 28.11.2014 11:24:42 64.672 -17.476 7.7 km 3.0 99.0 4.3 km NE of Bárðarbunga Friday 28.11.2014 10:00:38 64.674 -17.481 6.5 km 3.6 99.0 4.3 km NNE of Bárðarbunga http://en.vedur.is/earthquakes-and-volcanism/earthquakes/#view=table

Updated information 28 November 2014 11:30 - from the Scientific Advisory Board Scientists flew over Bárðarbunga on Wednesday, 26 November. According to data acquired in the flight, the total subsidence of the caldera is 50 meters and the volume is 1.4 cubic kilometers. No signal is now received from the station in the caldera and the most likely explanation is that subsidence of the caldera is so great that the GPS station is now below the caldera rim and is therefore out of sight of the relay station in Kverkfjoll. http://en.vedur.is/media/jar/Factsheet_Bardarbunga_20141128.pdf

your welcome jax :drunk:

fax for monday a weak north - north west flow rainfall = nil subject to cold front incoming which at present would be monday night temps 8-9 degrees --------------------------------------------------------------------------- tuesday a breezy northerly-north west flow high pressure so dry after a frosty start temps should manage around 6 degrees uppers will feel cold and tuesday night could be a bit on the chilly side brrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr wednesday ukmo raw fax (bottom right) oh something different high pressure thats it for tonight goodnight all

New IR Photo of Holuhraun Lava River By Eygló Svala Arnarsdóttir November 27, 2014 09:36 Updated: November 27, 2014 11:09 The lava river. Photo: Páll Stefánsson. Iceland Review editor and photographer Páll Stefánsson flew over the volcanic eruption in Holuhraun, the northeastern highlands, along with Morgunblaðið photographer Ragnar Axelsson (aka RAX) yesterday. It was Páll’s fifth trip to the eruption site. They observed a red hot river of lava flowing through blackened lava fields. “It’s a massive eruption and even though we have started noticing some changes to it, the activity is still intense,†volcanologist Ãrmann Höskuldsson at the University of Iceland Earth Science Institute said in an interview with mbl.is today. Bárðarbunga volcano looked peaceful under the pristine white Vatnajökull icecap. Photo: Páll Stefánsson. Last week scientists observed fluctuations in the volcanic plume with powerful jets being emitted sporadically. They also noted pulsing in the lava flow. The intensity of the eruption has declined and the lava flow is now only a quarter of what it was when the eruption was at its most intense stage. Yet 60-100 cubic meters (2,119-3,532 cubic feet) of lava are currently being emitted every second.

http://sacs.aeronomie.be/nrt/index_OMPS.php?&Region=106&InstruGOME2=0&InstruOMPS=2&InstruOMI=1&InstruAIRS=0&InstruIASI=0&InstruIASIb=0&InstruSCIA=&obsVCD=1&obsAAI=2&obsCCF=0 link for checking so2 and ash http://www.livefromiceland.is/webcams/bardarbunga-2/ http://www.livefromiceland.is/webcams/bardarbunga/%C2'> looks very gassy there nice and clear still

tonight the odd shower around but looks mainly dry temps around 5-8 degrees (plenty of cloud and localised mist) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- tomorrow a windy south east flow rainfall looks dry temps around 10-11 degrees cloudcover we should see some sun in the afternoon today makes a change :) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ tomorrow night still a breezy south east flow but will ease down overnight temps due to cloud in east -north east and far south east temps around 6 cooler west of our region down to 5-6 degrees rain = nil ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- saturday still a south east flow and looks weaker temps around 10-11 degrees and locally might go a tad higher rainfall = nil cloudcover looks to me like a day of sunny intervals ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- saturday night looks dry and chilly another night to watch for fog -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- sunday a variable but weak east-north east flow rainfall = nil cloudcover lack of sun looks likely today this will restrict temps around 7-9 degrees and if exposed to the wind a chill will be noticeable so overall not too bad anyway back later with the rest if not too late john :drinks:

Wednesday 26.11.2014 18:53:12 64.674 -17.376 4.1 km 4.4 99.0 8.1 km ENE of Bárðarbunga Wednesday 26.11.2014 18:52:38 64.667 -17.457 1.5 km 3.5 99.0 4.5 km NE of Bárðarbunga http://en.vedur.is/earthquakes-and-volcanism/earthquakes/#view=table pretty close together them heres something odd http://en.vedur.is/#tab=vatnafar very high flow at svarta but very low flow at laxa most odd

hi again updated fax charts sunday breezy east-south east flow looks dry but cloudy temps around 10-12 degrees cool in the breeze sunday night mist -fog and close to a frost monday looks like an easterly flow but likely to change barring the odd localised shower it looks dry temps cooler around 8 degrees ecm 12z ensembles temps cooling down the 2nd on with more frost risk wind the odd windy day there but nothing of note rain barring the odd day here and there it looks mainly dry according to these i cannot see atlantic coming in http://www.weathercast.co.uk/services/ensemble-forecast.html?eps=london ukmo raw fax bottom right for tuesday high pressure still in control however in this set up thats fi as could go either way from there my personal thoughts are high pressure will not be that easy to get rid off anyway off now nite all

Volcanoes Today, 26 Nov 2014: Semeru volcano, Pavlof, Aso, Fogo Wednesday Nov 26, 2014 10:00 AM | Explosive activity at the eruptive vents of Fogo on 25 Nov 2014 (MuzikaTV) Incandescence at Nakadake crater (JMO) The active lava dome of Semeru in late Nov 2014 (photo: Andi / VolcanoDiscovery Indonesia) Fogo (Cape Verde): The eruption continues, but the situation is critical inside the Cha caldera. The northern lava flow branch has started to enter the village of Portela and today destroyed and/or damaged several buildings, including the headquarters of the Fogo Nature Park. The village, located at the northern end of the main road inside the caldera, is at risk of being cut of by lava flows: If the main road becomes covered, only a difficult and long passage to the NE via Monte Velha remains as land evacuation route. According to a geologist from the Instituto da Meteorologia e Geofísica in an interview with Televisão de Cabo Verde (TCV), the intensity of the eruption started to decrease today. As of today, only the northern branch of the lava flow seemed to be active. Its advance rate decreased from 35-40 meters per hour yesterday to approx. 25 m per hour today. On the other hand, other local news sources and recent video footage rather suggest an increase in activity: Several vents have opened at the fissure on the southwestern foot of the Pico del Fogo cone. Activity at most of the vents is violently explosive with significant gas and ash emissions: Aso (Kyushu): Activity from the Nakadake crater has intensified. Since yesterday, ash emissions and comparably strong incandescence have been observed, suggesting that a new magmatic eruption could be under way. The height of the emitted ash plumes was up to 8,000 ft (2.4 km) and light ash fall was reported from Namino village 11 km NE of the Nakadake cone: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0rJseJWnr4E The volcano had been showing signs of unrest since 2013, with intermittent small, probably phreatic explosions and weak to moderate glow sometimes visible from the crater. Semeru (East Java, Indonesia): A recent visit at the summit of the volcano by our expedition leader Andi and Markus confirmed that "Semeru's lava dome is growing bigger and wider, and now has a diameter of 100-200 m. Strombolian explosions occur from time to time and eject bombs up to 100 m above the vent. Gas venting from two vents is loud and continuous. According to our observations, part of the dome has collapsed recently to the south flank. A moderately viscous lava forms a long tongue descending into the southern ravine" Pavlof (Alaska Peninsula, USA): The Alaska Volcano Observatory concluded that "the most recent period of explosive eruptive activity at Pavlof Volcano has ended" and downgraded the volcano alert level again. "For about the past week, seismicity at the volcano has remained at low levels and shows no indication of the unrest typically associated with lava fountaining or ash emission. Satellite observations show no evidence for continuing eruptive activity. Thermal signals at the summit are occasionally visible, but are likely being generated by the cooling of previously emplaced lava and debris and not newly erupted material.

A 5.8-magnitude earthquake jolted Kangding county, Ganzi Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture in Sichuan province at 11:19 p.m. on Tuesday, three days after the same area was devastated by a 6.3-magnitude quake that resulted in five deaths and dozens of injuries. The epicenter was monitored at a latitude of 30.2 degrees north and a longitude of 101.7 degrees east. The quake hit at a depth of 16 kilometers, with three people slightly injured, according to the China Earthquake Networks Centre said earlier this morning. Many local residents rushed out of their homes to the streets and a gymnasium after the quake. Zhao Ming, the director of the China Earthquake Emergency Rescue center, said the quake was around 10 km in distance to the previous one. Whether the earthquake was an entirely separate one or an aftershock hasn't been confirmed yet. http://hisz.rsoe.hu/alertmap/site/index.php?pageid=event_desc&edis_id=EQ-20141126-46135-CHN

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ tonight rain around and may get a shade heavy for a time as the rain heads north not cold but watch for mist and fog building ------------------------------------------------------------------------- tomorrow a weak southerly flow there looks likely to be a lot of dry weather around however to the far south east we may see some showers driven in from the warm front to our south east looks cloudy but we should see some brighter bits locally later in the day temps somewhere between 10-12 so not cold --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- tomorrow night a breezier south east flow rainfall it looks like the far south east will see some showers dryer the west of our region temps probably a shade lower than shown 6-8 degrees but certainly not cold mist looks less of a risk due to the wind ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- friday quite a gusty south east wind rainfall early drizzly murk will move north and clear all by lunch then looks dry cloudy early but should brighten up later temps around 10-12 degrees -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- friday night still a breezy south east flow but slowly easing down rainfall it looks dry but a slim chance the far east and south east may see some drizzly muck temps around 6-8 degrees but locally may see lower where the skys clear ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- saturday not doing this yet will do tomorrow as looks too close to call what flow we will be under this will effect temps quite a bit hope your all well john

http://www.livefromiceland.is/webcams/bardarbunga/ if anything this looks more lively as you say mia

updated information 26 November 2014 14:00 - from the Scientific Advisory Board Notes from the Scientific Advisory Board (pdf 0.4 Mb) Now 74 square km Landsat 8 thermal image 25 November 2014 at 22:07 from NASA and USGS. The extent of the lava is now 74 km². According to a field report, the activity is pulsative again. Lava is thrusted from the vent in frequent surges, lasting 2-3 minutes every 5-10 minutes, causing bulges along the upper stretches of the lava channel. These surges seem to be related to bubble bursts at the northern end of the lava lake. Institute of Earth Sciences.