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Everything posted by Andy Bown
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Storms and Convective discussion - May 2024
Andy Bown replied to Eagle Eye's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Turquoise why don’t you look closer at the % chances of a storm!? If you had looked at the convective forecasts in this very thread this morning the risk was 30/40% meaning 60/70% of it staying fine! An example from my back yard being I have heard thunder from 3 separate cells today, however overhead there’s been one brief shower and plenty of warm sunshine! It’s pointless moaning when it’s you who took a decision! Plus only a few weeks ago you kind of moaned when a storm happened near you at an inopportune time! -
It’s one of those days where the apps (Met Office, Apple for me) show cloudy due to a lot of Cirrus etc but in reality there will be plenty of warm hazy sunshine.
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In Absence of True Seasons I often think of that 2020 Spring and wonder how it happened at the most ridiculous time of our lives!
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Storms and Convective discussion - May 2024
Andy Bown replied to Eagle Eye's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and Convective discussion - May 2024
Andy Bown replied to Eagle Eye's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Dangerous55019 I think like Monday their warning area is too broad. The Southern extent of that yellow warning might get a few developing sharp showers running SSW-NNE, which will turn thundery from roughly the M4 Northwards. That often happens in the set up progged for Sunday with the Southern areas quickly returning to a sunny late afternoon into the evening. -
LetItSnow! fantastic account! I mentioned this period briefly in another thread yesterday. In West Wiltshire … The Thursday evening had elevated spectacular storms including awesome anvil crawlers. The Saturday afternoon had an MCS which is the only time I have ever witnessed a green storm cloud. The following Tuesday night featured very vivid lightning and very loud thunder .
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Andy Bown replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
LetItSnow! now that (1999) had an epic thundery 5/6 days! Elevated, surface based, MCS’s the lot!