Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

BlueHedgehog074

Forum Host
  • Posts

    3,657
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    2

Everything posted by BlueHedgehog074

  1. @fatyido: To be honest, even if the storm did not turn out to be as bad as the BBC said for South of England (I ended up with pieces of light rain and some wind), I think the BBC still made the wise choice to predict the worse outcome and that it would be rather stormy, just in case it did actually happen. And it would have also given people the chance to prepare.
  2. I'm really not looking forward to the gloom, wind and rain this low will bring us (despite the fact I don't mind heavy rain), but what do you think the chances are for some of us getting snow from that deep low tommorrow? (Edit: I did orignally think that tommorrow afternoon would give us our best shot for something wintry)
  3. Although this Winter has, so far, turned out be cold, frosty, and in some aspects, quite snowy, especially for Eastern/South-Eastern and Northern areas, I think next Winter could be a warmer one I think. Perhaps not much warmer than this Winter, and the frequent stoppage of the usual mild South-Westerly winds, which happened this Winter, may continue for the next few Winters. Afterall, the Winter before this was on the cold side (although not quite as cold as this one). And this could mean that we are going through a period of some very chilly Winters ahead, with chilly Northerly and Easterly winds, and the blocking of mild Atlantic weather. However, one reason why I still think next Winter would be warmer is that this and last Winter could be one offs, and if I had to look at the history of our Winter seasons, there would probably be some years where it was cold one Winter and that was then followed by a milder one. And then a chillyier Winter happened after that... Also, should the rest of this Winter suddenly become much warmer (even though it looks set to be cold and drier for the next two weeks), then this could be a set up for what the weather could be like, generally, for the rest of the year. This would also include the beginning of Winter 2010/11. Then again, this may depend on the developement of lengthy warm/hot spells and the frequency. Should it suddenly become really hot and dry in the Summer, this could show the lack of South-Westerly/Westerly winds, which would bring the cooler weather in the Summer, and that the Easterly or South Easterly winds are dominating the country. These winds may continue to be a popular trend, with the continued barrier to the West stopping the Atlantic winds breaking through, although I do get a feeling that once we get towards Autumn, this pattern may be destroyed - and areas of low pressure may try and push away the high pressure from the South. I reckon this would then help the South Westerly winds to return; and bring in some mild Autumn weather. Alot of power may be generated from the Atlantic, particularly if the winds are strong and were constant - the cooler winds may struggle to win against the Atlantic, at times. These South West/West winds may contain a lot of moisture, too, and building up intense precipitation to our areas. It is this eventual cause, I think, will help make next Winter warmer, and probably wetter. With the Atlantic blocking to consider, I do think this will still make some come backs, and high pressure should still set in from time to time, therefore not making Winter 2010/11 overly mild. Note: This is probably unlikely happen (since this is mostly based on my opinion), and I am still learning how the Atlantic blocking works and how the placement of the high and low pressure determines what the weather will do (as well as convection). But I hope this still gives one or two ideas about what Winter 2010/11 could be like.
  4. It could be because they looked at numerous forcasts and the data associated with them, and then gave an overall likely outcome from those forecasts. There were some forecasts/data, I imagine, they took a particular interest to, such as the Met Office with a chance of something snowy for Sunday. To be honest, though, there was always an outside chance for sleet/snow on Sunday from that low pressure, but with rain still being the most possible outcome. However, (having gazed at the local snow risk forecast) I would say that the high-up temperatures for Sunday are looking a little more warmer than I expected (for the beginning part anyway), but with the high-up temperatures tending to get a few degrees below freezing the further on into the day. The overal dam's are looking okay and improve further on in the day; the best chance of snow, I think, would indeed be during the afternoon. Some of the heavyier areas of precipitation could possibly help to squeeze some snow down to some lower levels during the earlier part of the day, with the warmer air being more easily absorbed. I think it could make quite a reasonably wintry day, although if it does end up being very windy with some strong gusts possible, then clearly it could be quite stormy outside. Blizzards certainly could happen, too. It will be interesting to see what alterations the forecasts will make in the next day or so (hopefully Sunday won't be too windy).
  5. Next Wednesday is looking pretty tasty with over 30mm of precipitation expected and an 80% chance and above of that falling as snow. The HPA dam's are also looking extremely good with 521's quite apparent. Clearly, the amount of snow that settles will depend on how cold the ground is and whether it is dry enough. It probably won't happen with changes here and there to be made, but it would be a smashing way to round off Winter, even though there is still March and possibly April for further snow events. It would be nice, at the same time, to look forward to some warm spells between any chilly periods we may still get.
  6. Some moderate snow falling, although with some very wet flakes. I kinda hope it doesn't turn into rain yet.
  7. Good luck for then, dude. May the snow follow you where ever you go (as well as warm dry sunny weather in the Summer mixed with huge storms).
  8. There is about one and a half to two inches on the ground, although with a slight thaw going on.
  9. I have to agree with grab my graupel and pottyprof. Those snow sculptures are extremely good, and the attention to detail is just incredible. I really like the look of the face, in particular; very beastly, yet cheery at the same time. I imagine the snow monster must be guarding the area and monitoring the weather. In fact, with its very tough snow skin, no warm sunny weather will have a chance to melt this snow monster. This is why snow monsters have been known to survive a whole Summer without fully melting, although some of those have also hibernated during the Summer.
  10. And good morning/afternoon to you, too. A spell of heavy snow gave some accummulations of upto 5cm early this morning, although it tended to become a little wetter as the snow moved away to the North East. But, the best part of all was that the whole area looked like it was scattered with sheets of A4 paper from the fresh cover of snow. Since the snowfall, the rising temperatures and the warm sun have already began to eradicate the snow on the ground.
  11. @Serendipity: I think Mondays event could be quite marginal in that it may struggle to reach far North, and at the same time, the further South you are the more likely that the precipitation will be of a sleety mix/rain. Now looking at it, the HPA dam's look as though they could be a little high for snow tommorrow. But I think it will depend how far North the low will go and whether enough could air will be pulled in from the North-East.
  12. Which ever way it turns out, it looks like all (or many) of us will be seeing two snow events from the next three days.
  13. Some lovely decorative shower clouds amongst the blue sky, with lots of light greyish-blue and yellow tones to them.
  14. The roads are looking pretty awful out their with cars almost slowing down to a halt. The local music school have had to close due to the bad weather. Kind of a shame really, as I had the "Love Is All Around" (by Wet Wet Wet) keyboard piece ready to play at the school. But considering the intensity of the snow earlier, I suppose I can't blame the music school. Currently, there is around an inch outside on the patio and grass. Not too sure we are going to get much more, but very pleased with the results nonethelesss. Anyway, good luck for this evening and tonight everyone, particularly those who have been unlucky with the wintry weather.
  15. Yep. There has been some pretty heavy flakes falling from the sky, which has settled a little on the grass, trees and cars and although dense, the snowflakes are beginning to get alot smaller now. Looking at the 5 minute radar, though, there seems to be a great deal more to come. Edit: As a matter of fact, the flakes are getting a tiny bit bigger again.
  16. Some sizeable snowflakes falling and still going as strong as diamond. Edit: @Tommyd1258: Nice picture. Looks very heavy that snow.
  17. To be honest, I don't think today has been too bad so far with a mixture of rain, sleet, snow (some of which become quite heavy 30 minutes ago). And it looks like a bigger band of heavier precipitation is heading this way.
  18. Was raining here, although it looks like the wet snowflakes, which are gradually increasing within the raindrops, are winning the upper hand. Well just about.
  19. I hope so. I guess I may miss out on some accumulating snow, with that updated snow risk reducing the further East you are. Still, even some wet snow will be a nice return from the murky weather I've had in the last few days. Plus, the dam's are looking good with 527 or below predicted; (at least when I checked the local snow risk forecasts).
  20. Within every ten square meters, it seems to be raining at 10rps (that's raindrops per second), and at 600rpm (that's raindrops per minute if multiplying the rps number by 60). No spm yet (snowflakes per minute). But looking at the radar, it looks like some places up North are getting over 2,000rpm with some spm mixed in.
  21. I'm not too sure it is possible to be greedy over something we have no control of. When someone receives a 20cm dumping of snow, for instance, it would be a little unfair to say were greedy, especially since it is not one of those events where you go up and take it - the weather provides it all for you. Just like when it snows on a day you didn't want the weather to (so it wouldn't really be the persons fault for getting alot of snow). I do understand how people feel, though, when they see areas that have received much more snow then they have, and I think it is okay to get a bit upset about it at times. Afterall, with some of the previous winters being low on snow, it is understandable to be eager about this particular weather and I am happy to admit that I really love the snow and have always begged for a 15cm (and over) dumping. I mean, okay, I suppose begging for a large amount of snow is a bit greedy, and obviously there are other aspects in the world other than snow. But I think it's just going to be one of those things where it would be hard to never get excited about.
  22. This cold spell is turning out to be more unsettled than what was predicted a few days ago with heavy snow showers being unleashed upon us. Almost 1cm of snow on the ground from the big snow shower earlier.
  23. Correct. To be a bit more exact, though, I live in the Solihull area (just a few miles South-East of Birmingham). I hope next week can really deliver then should nothing else pop up this week. The discussion in the Model Output thread does seem to suggest it being quite dry anyway.
×
×
  • Create New...