Snowplough33
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Posts posted by Snowplough33
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first signs of a stream of ppn starting to build just off the north coast on radar
You beat me to it !!!!
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12z NAE ppn charts
as far out as it is so far
Nice. These charts look a little better than the 06z run which was still ok. Very interesting period coming up .
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Interesting update from fergieweather in model thread thought I would move it over as many of you dont venture in there..!
Fascinating synoptics for March when apparently...
Great update. Given he is referring to 12z Monday, is that post possibly englandshire bias, or is your point this is possible generally in North Sea and therefore could be our trigger tomorrow ?
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06z stil looks good. -11 or -12 uppers through most of tommorow with -14 across the SE of Scotland at the end of the run. Not sure I've seen such low uppers? My memory of 2009/2010 was just touching -10 at the lowest?? And still showing some showers in the flow.
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Snow snow snow!! Everything is white outside
Only a covering at the moment, but I couldn't care less Excellent !!! and the MO are finally talking of snow showers becoming heavier and and more frequent tomorrow. Cross agreement for showers tomorrow. The dew points are very low and we almost get to -15 uppers tomorrow evening. I suspect the strong sun will melt any deposits between showers
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Is the site froze or really this quiet.... Excuse the terminology
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Can't copy it across on tablet, but there is still a feature on the 0z fax charts approaching the east coast on Sunday afternoon. NAE also showing something spilling out of Norway early Sunday (last frame if the 0z)
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Latest N24 forecasts showing no snow anywhere in the NE on Sun?
Just saw this aswell. Quite a detailed review, but not a flake in sight. Looked like the strong cold cloudy easterly.
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Thanks LS.
Look forward to updates from you if time permits over the next day or two.
Hope it turns out to be a good event with lots of us involved.
Been a while since I gazed at the lamppost.
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Hi,
Have to say, I'm a little unsure of what to expect. Probably brain washed by the MT, but to my untrained eye, the charts look fab through Sunday and Sunday night, but the MO txt says dry and sunny. The MT has just about every weather possible Sunday to Tuesday and the txt above from LS is back to convective showers. Some say cloud in the flow again so no connection.
LS , was the above a quote from meteocentre or your own thoughts. I hope the latter !!!
On a positive, at least there are some kinks starting to appear in the charts.
So.....cold, sunny and convective, or cold cloudy and dry on Sunday ????
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Can you please add me, although in a months time I shall be leaving for my summer break, but will be back in October
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Thanks for that LS. What are your thoughts on possible height rises to the north next week? I guess it's likely to happen, but exact positioning will,be critical. Would I also be correct that if heights shift west towards Greenland once built, it may become very interesting.
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I am aware that not all areas had particularly impressive breakdowns, but many areas in the east, particularly north of Edinburgh but also SS and CMD land, have had 2 major events during the breakdown. Now the showers clipping the coast yesterday evening were marginal, yet today the event was dry snow (certainly early on). So was the main component of the event the dew points being very low, and are due points directly related to humidity as it felt extremely dry and cold this morning?
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Quick post as in late due to road chaos on the A90.
Defo the best event this winter. Several inches lying. Second fantastic breakdown. Can't understand why no upgraded warnings....???
Some great charts showing up later next week. All FI but constant trends from UKMO and ECM. UKMO on its txt 2 to 4 weeker has not budged from cold spell for the last week or so.
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From the various reports of snow coming in from lots of us across Scotland, is it possible that this event may be just onto the correct side of the margin ?? Had a look at NAE and all looks pretty good. Uppers, dew points and 950's all where they need to be.
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Yeh an impressive flow when the showers are making it full length west to east. Aberdeen still slightly sheltered by the Highlands but your time will come on Wednesday. Small covering here. Good showers passing through. Fun evening coming up watching the radar. At least with the west flow, we loose the marginality issue of the east coast.
Enjoy
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Since snow stopped the temp has risen from 0.6c to 0.9c but the snow has gone from being pretty wet to now crunchy.
Anyone know why this would happen? Dew points perhaps or some sort of ground cooling?
I guess both of the above. The water suspended through the damp snow probably also drains out the ice to the ground I would think. Probaly a combination of all.
Any thoughts on the band out west? Defo something again forming.
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Just home. Best fall off the spell. The cover is a bit wet, but thick cover. Great to see. Still heavy just now. Cover at the back of Dundee is easily up to a foot now.
Happy days. Glenshee tomorrow!!
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Given how low sea level pressure will be I think uppers of around -1C or lower would be enough to preserve cover on most of the runs and keep it falling as snow for the hills. Most models don't have anything higher than this until 6 days away so the first and probably the second band will be all snow events for the ski runs. After that things might turn dicey from the southwest but for the foreseeable the cover looks pretty well intact.
Thanks LS. Appreciated as always.
Today has been the most "classic" easterly day of the cold spell for me in Dundee with good convective snow showers. Still coming through just now.
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Anyone have any idea what uppers roughly would be needed for continuation of snowfall and limited snow loss at +/- 2000 ft (650mts). I'm curious as regards how Glenshee will fair during this likely spell of average temps that's coming up and would like to be able to gauge this while looking at the charts.
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Frequency and intensity have definitely increased here. Temp dropped a couple of notches to 0.8c but dewpoint up slightly to 0.2c. Wonder if this 'event' is going to go out with a bang? My interest is back! (for now)
Yeh agree with both. Band appears to be intensifying in its entirety and I'm getting very frequent blizzards after a brief respite. Still very windy. A few cms wet snow.
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Glenshee will be doing extremely well from this event. Enormous drifts will be forming. West facing slopes wil have deep cover. A continuation of the east facing slopes beings stripped.
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Edinburgh, though by looking at the New Inn camera my other part of the world is getting a bit of a pasting now too.
Do you see much movement of the front tonight? Things look likely to remain as they are at present, with some Northerly movement.
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Yes. The youngest's footie training just been cancelled as has the oldest's Zumba. Here snow when heavier but back to sleet when lighter. A good bit lying now up towards auchterhouse I am told
It wet but ill take it !!
LS, are you in Fife or Edinburgh ?
Only a covering at the moment, but I couldn't care less 
Scotland Regional Discussion 14th February 2013 >
in Regional
Posted
A very rare set up with that chart and tomorrow's uppers, dewpoints, and temps.